Parkev Tatevosian, CFA
YouTube channel feed
Total Ideas
173
With Returns
120
Equal-Weighted Return
-1.64%
All Ideas (173)
173 TotalAmazon stock is a buy
"So, in fact, not only do I think Amazon stock is a buy, but I've rated Amazon as one of the best stocks you can buy this year, one of the best seven stocks you can buy this year. And I own Amazon stock in my own portfolio. I recently bought maybe a couple of months ago, and I'm interested in adding more shares to my Amazon investment."
The speaker explicitly recommends buying Amazon stock, highlighting its undervalued status relative to a discounted cash flow fair value of 270 compared to a current price of 232, as well as strong growth prospects in its profitable AWS segment. He supports his view by citing robust organic revenue growth and a favorable asset allocation towards AWS.
TSMC Overvalued Ahead of Earnings; Buy on Dip Below $280
"So as it stands Taiwan Semiconductor stock to answer the question, should you buy before the company announces earnings? I would say no. I would say it looks overvalued. And when you're heading into an earnings release, especially the earnings release for Q4 2025 where management teams sometimes discuss their annual forecast for the year ahead, it's coming with extra volatility or in other words extra risk. So, for now, I don't see it as an attractive opportunity, but if it gets to 280 or below, I would start to see it as a lot more attractive than where it is today."
The analyst advises against buying TSMC stock ahead of the quarterly earnings due to overvaluation and expected volatility. He recommends that an attractive entry point would be around $280 or lower, signaling a potential dip buying opportunity rather than a near-term buy.
Accumulating Nvidia Shares for AI Leadership
"So, this decision is a relatively easy one for me. It points to Nvidia as being the best of these three AI stocks to buy for 2026 and beyond. I might be biased. I own Nvidia stock myself. I bought Nvidia shares at around $93, but even at the current market price, I would be interested in adding more to my Nvidia position. I'm still in accumulation mode for Nvidia stock. Rather than being interested in selling my existing shares, I'm actually interested in adding more shares to my portfolio."
The speaker expresses strong bullish sentiment on Nvidia, emphasizing its superior performance metrics, valuation, and market leadership in the AI data center category. He indicates his intention to accumulate more Nvidia shares, positioning Nvidia as the best investment among the three stocks discussed for 2026 and beyond.
Netflix Remains a Buying Opportunity Amid Acquisition Risks
"I'm going to give Netflix's management team the benefit of the doubt here because they've been so effective in being allocators of capital. Now, they haven't made very many acquisitions. They don't have very much experience in making acquisitions. So, that is a risk that they overpaid and they won't be able to incorporate the assets they acquired because they just don't have experience in doing this. That's the big risk and that's something that I am concerned about to be sure. But overall, I've had Netflix stock rated as a buy. And after this acquisition, I'm going to update that I think this stock is still a buying opportunity. However, I will say that I liked Netflix business, the valuation, and everything before they made this acquisition."
The analyst acknowledges the risks associated with Netflix's acquisition strategy, including management's limited experience with acquisitions and potential integration challenges. Despite these concerns, he reiterates his buy rating on Netflix, highlighting that the acquisition, while increasing debt and slowing growth in the near term, ultimately improves the company's intrinsic value and long-term prospects.
Buy Adobe to Mitigate AI-Related Portfolio Risks
"Adobe especially, I have rated as one of the best stocks to buy in 2026."
For investors approaching or in retirement, the speaker recommends buying Adobe as a means to counterbalance exposure to AI stocks. He points to Adobe's relatively attractive valuation and its potential to be less correlated with the rapid changes in AI investment plans.
Fortinet (FTNT) - Best Cybersecurity Stock for 2026 Trade Call
"So which one of these do I think is the best one to buy? Based on everything we looked at, it's close. If I had to pick just one of these for 2026, I would say Forinet is the best cyber security stock to buy among these companies right now given the current situation with all of the metrics considered."
The speaker analyzes several cybersecurity companies based on revenue growth, returns on invested capital, operating cash flow, and valuation. Concluding that despite close competition from Sentinel 1 and Octa, Fortinet (referred to as Forinet) stands out as the best long-term buy for 2026 due to its attractive undervalued status.
Meta Platforms Undervalued Trade Call
"So, speaking of Meta Platforms and my discounted cash flow value, I calculated a fair value for Meta's business at $739 compared to the current market price of $666, it looks undervalued using my DCF valuation framework. So whether I look at the market multiples basis or whether I look at the DCF basis, Meta looks undervalued. For my best social media stock, I would prefer Meta."
The host identifies Meta Platforms as the top pick among four undervalued social media stocks. Based on a discounted cash flow analysis, Meta's fair value is calculated at 739 versus a market price of 666, leading to a recommendation to buy due to its undervaluation.
Oracle Shows Best 2025 Performance
"The best recommendation I made this year was Oracle, which returned over 53%. Close behind that was Alphabet, which returned 53%. AMD did well at 46%, Eli Liy at over 40%. Nvidia at close to 39%, Uber was actually my top rated stock all year at over 35%. Amazon was a disappointment at 5%. Pinterest was the most disappointing and the only negative return out of all of my picks with negative 11% return. DraftKings also did well at 29%."
Oracle is highlighted as the standout pick for 2025, delivering a 53% return and outperforming several other top stocks in a rigorously analyzed, fundamentally driven portfolio. The commentary reviews detailed performance metrics, implicitly reinforcing a strong, positive outlook on Oracle.
Uber Not the Best Buy for 2026 Despite Long-Term Hold
"So, is Uber one of the best stocks or the best stock to buy for 2026? I'm going to say no. And the primary reason for that is the risks from driverless car technology over the next 12 months will continue to weigh on Uber's valuation. It'll be a sort of ceiling on Uber that it can't expand beyond because for one reason or another, investors believe the marketing coming from Tesla. So if Tesla achieves an incremental step forward, Tesla's going to be able to sell that to investors as 25 steps forward. And so that's going to keep a lid on Uber stock over the next 12 months in my opinion. So I wouldn't expect Uber stock price to appreciate all that significantly in 2026. Now, if you had a longer view, if you had a longer term perspective, if you were investing, if I was talking about the best stock to buy over the next 5 years or maybe the next 10 years, I would be a lot more positive on Uber. And personally, in my own portfolio, I do have a longerterm perspective. So, I'm not interested at all in selling any of my Uber shares. And in fact, I'll be interested in buying more Uber stock throughout 2026 as long as it remains around these valuations."
The speaker explains that despite Uber's strong performance in 2025, he does not consider it the best stock to buy for 2026 due to near-term risks from driverless car technology—particularly the influence of Tesla's marketing. However, he maintains a long-term bullish stance on Uber, stating he intends to hold and potentially add to his position if valuations remain attractive over the coming year.
Potential Intrinsic Value Upside for NVDA if Chinese Sales Go Through
"If Nvidia gains approval from the Chinese government and actually starts making these sales with these estimates that I've highlighted with an estimated $25 billion in free cash flow for 2026 and then sustaining that level and then increasing from that point forward, I would estimate a positive impact on Nvidia's intrinsic value per share of between 20 and 30%. So my intrinsic value per share would increase to between $240 to $275 per share if Nvidia is actually allowed to make these sales into China. That's a huge positive for Nvidia and that's why I'm surprised that the stock price is not reacting more positively. I think it's most likely because investors and Wall Street analysts are skeptical that the Chinese government will actually allow Nvidia to make these sales to China."
The analysis outlines that if Nvidia receives clearance to sell its H200 AI chips to China, its intrinsic value per share could jump by 20-30%, moving from an estimated $199 to a range of $240-$275. This positive catalyst is driven by significant free cash flow growth estimated at around $25 billion for 2026, although investor skepticism about regulatory approval remains a key risk.
Trade Desk Attractive Valuation Despite Leadership Concerns
"The next company on my list also benefits from the growth in the advertising industry, especially the digital advertising industry, and that's the Trade Desk, which is also trading near its 52-week low at $38.39. The intrinsic value per share I calculated is just over $65 per share. Interestingly, the Trade Desk stock price is trading near its 52-week low, partly because of competition from Amazon, which is expanding the products and services it's offering that compete against the Trade Desk. Also, a shuffle at the leadership positions near the top of the Tradeesk's leadership team has investors concerned about the company's trajectory and especially their prospects going into 2026."
Even though recent leadership changes and increased competition from Amazon have put pressure on Trade Desk's stock, its valuation remains attractive with an intrinsic value (~$65) well above its current price ($38.39). This suggests a potential buying opportunity as the ad industry continues to grow heading into 2026.
Amazon's Aggressive Capital Allocation as a Positive Signal
"The next on my list is Amazon, which also experienced a less than stellar year in 2025. Again, due to the rising impacts of tariffs and the company's aggressive spending on artificial intelligence, its capital expenditures turned out to be 25% or roughly $25 billion more than it was expecting. Now, some investors saw that as a bad sign, but I actually saw that as a good sign. When I'm evaluating a company that I feel has a strong management team and I see that management team allocating more money to a certain category, I'm generally optimistic about the results about the potential return on that investment. If that management team has proven to me that they are effective allocators of capital, which I do believe Amazon's management team is effective allocators of capital. The intrinsic value per share I calculated at $270 is well above the company's current market price of $232."
The speaker highlights Amazon's expanded capital expenditure as a positive indicator of effective management and future returns, noting that its intrinsic value ($270) significantly exceeds its current price ($232), making it an attractive buying opportunity for the long term.
Adobe Trading Opportunity Based On Intrinsic Value
"Starting with Adobe. So I calculated Adobe's intrinsic value or fair value per share to be $411 and the current market price for Adobe is $353. Adobe stock experienced a difficult year in 2025 as investors were concerned about the company's investments in artificial intelligence not being enough to keep up with competitors that are innovating more rapidly and the potential impacts to its business. Now, I agree that those are risks that Adobe stock investors should consider, but those risks are already priced into the valuation of this business. And I think from this point forward, there's a good risk versus return for Adobe stock investors."
The speaker presents Adobe as an attractive buy due to its calculated intrinsic value ($411) being significantly above its current trading price ($353), despite past challenges related to AI investments. The risks mentioned have already been factored into the stock's valuation, suggesting a favorable risk/reward balance moving forward.
Tesla's Declining EV Revenue Raises Concerns Over Future Cash Flow
"for investors that pay attention to actual information and investors that value a business based on the present value of the expected cash flow that's expected to be generated for the future, then of course that's information that suggests that this business is worth a lot less than what it's selling for today. And so if your cash flow is decreasing, which is what's happening with Tesla, as the EV sales decline, its cash flow will decline. And simultaneously, it's investing billions of dollars for the development of these new technologies, which are not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2026, not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2027, not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2028, and maybe starting 2029, the driverless car business will grow to sufficient levels where it can achieve positive cash flow for the business."
The speaker highlights that despite investor enthusiasm for Tesla's futuristic driverless and robotics segments, the company's core EV revenue is declining sharply, leading to deteriorating cash flow. This analysis suggests that when considering the present value of future cash flows, Tesla may be overvalued, especially as it invests heavily in new technologies that might not turn profitable for several years.
US Economy Expected to Remain Resilient in 2026 despite Inflation and Unemployment Concerns
"I don't expect a high probability of a recession. I don't expect a high probability of a crash in either the economy or the stock market. I see the economy and the stock market as being resilient. I see the central bank, the Federal Reserve has room to lower interest rates to fight this increasing unemployment, to slow down the increase in unemployment. And I think they have a lot of power to increase the pace of stimulus they can add to the economy by lowering interest rates, by quantitative easing, and other tools they have at their disposal should they need to use that to fight off the increase in unemployment."
The speaker forecasts a resilient US economy in 2026 despite rising inflation and modestly higher unemployment. He emphasizes that the Federal Reserve has the capability to deploy monetary stimulus measures, like lowering interest rates and quantitative easing, to counteract economic headwinds. This macro outlook is built upon broader confidence in market fundamentals and strong underlying labor market conditions, even as geopolitical and tariff-related risks persist.
Buy Lululemon (LULU) for Its Undervaluation
"So, if I had to pick between these two, I would pick Lululemon. It would be the clearly visible choice here between these two. And in fact, I own Lululemon stock and I don't own Nike stock. I'm not interested in buying Nike stock at these prices, but I am interested in adding to my Lululemon position at these current market prices."
The analyst expresses a clear preference for Lululemon over Nike based on superior revenue growth, profitability, and valuation metrics. He highlights that Lululemon is trading at an undervalued price compared to its calculated intrinsic value, making it a more attractive investment choice.
Archer Aviation Hold Rating Reflects High Risk and Uncertainty
"to answer the question whether I think this stock is a buy, hold, or sell, I've had this stock rated as a hold all year long here in 2025. I last updated it on July, I haven't seen enough from this company to suggest that this is an attractive buying opportunity with a good risk versus reward. So, I will reiterate my hold rating on this business and I'm rooting for its success because it's an exciting technology that can help alleviate traffic."
The analyst maintains a hold rating on Archer Aviation (ACHR), citing significant uncertainty, the company's early stage of commercial execution, and high associated risks. Despite the potential upside from innovative technology and solid liquidity, the lack of clear attractive risk/reward dynamics reinforces a hold stance.
Buy Rating Reaffirmed for Nebius Group Stock
"Well, let's look to my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation where I estimated the fair value for this business at close to 110 per share. It's trading at about 90 per share. So, the stock still looks undervalued even after applying my margin of safety, even after the stock jumped by over 15% today. But remember, even though I'm rating this stock as a buy, I want to caution investors to only look at this stock if you're okay with taking a lot of risk. That being said, if you do have a high risk tolerance, this offers a good upside for the risk that you're taking. And so I reiterated my buy rating for Nebius Group stock today at the current market prices."
The analyst reaffirms a buy rating for Nebius Group based on a proprietary discounted cash flow valuation estimating a fair value of around 110 per share versus a current trading price of about 90. While acknowledging the stock's high risk, he suggests that investors with a high risk tolerance can potentially benefit from its upside, despite recent volatility and a 15% jump in price.
Downgrade Oracle Stock Amid Elevated Valuations
"When the forward PE jumped to around 50 is when I started sending out alarm signals and I downgraded Oracle stock. Remember to start 2025 I had rated Oracle stock as one of the best stocks to buy this year and after the price increased by 50% and the valuations reached these upper levels I downgraded Oracle stock and warned investors that the valuation is getting stretched but now it's back down at near 25 where it was trading at to begin the year and Oracle is arguably in a better position today than it was to begin 2025 because the company has signed significantly more orders. They've delivered on a large percentage of those orders and the overall industry for artificial intelligence turned out the demand even though it was exceptionally high coming into 2025. The results were even better than expected if you can imagine right."
The speaker explains that after Oracle's forward PE spiked from around 25 to 50, he issued alarm signals and downgraded the stock, citing stretched valuations and concerns over Oracle's ability to convert massive orders into profits. Despite the downgrade, he notes that the current valuation has normalized and the company appears in a better position relative to the start of 2025 due to significant order bookings and improved AI demand, although the elevated capital expenditure continues to raise concerns.
Nvidia Buy Recommendation at Attractive Valuation
"So Nvidia stock looks attractive at these valuations. I'm uh certainly not interested in selling any of my stock. Nvidia is trading at an attractive valuation. So, if you get this upside from the sales from these newer chips, boy, that could really be the catalyst that lifts Nvidia stock even higher from where it is. So, I'm reiterating, not only do I think Nvidia stock is a buy, but I actually think it's one of the top five stocks you can buy right now."
The speaker explicitly recommends buying Nvidia stock citing its attractive valuation and potential upside from export developments despite current macro uncertainties. He indicates a strong conviction in Nvidia as one of the top five stocks to buy, emphasizing the current valuation as a catalyst for significant future gains.
Nike Stock Not a Buying Opportunity Yet
"So I would say no. Nike stock is not a buying opportunity here and I will be reiterating my hold rating and just kind of waiting to see more evidence of this turnaround. Or if I don't see any greater evidence of the turnaround, maybe I get to catch Nike stock at a much lower price in the next few months. That could also be attractive. But at these prices, I wouldn't touch Nike stock."
The analyst clearly states that despite the recent 10% drop, Nike stock remains fairly valued at current prices and is not an attractive buying opportunity. He cites persistent headwinds such as margin pressures from tariffs and a challenging macroeconomic environment, and notes that the turnaround strategy has not yet produced company-wide improvements. He prefers to wait for more convincing evidence or a lower entry price before recommending a buy.
Microsoft Buy Call with Attractive Upside
"However, I think it's most likely the stock price or the stock forward PE multiple increases. And all that being said, where do I think is the most likely outcome for Microsoft share price by the end of next year? As I mentioned, I expect that forward PE multiple to trend higher and I expect the share price to be somewhere in the range of $570 to $630 by the end of next year. Now, that would be a nice price performance compared to the current price of $484. And it's one of the reasons why I like Microsoft stock. It's one of the Hall of Fame businesses in the world. And the valuation multiple looks fairly valued. And you have a solid upside here for Microsoft with relatively limited downside. And so I've rated Microsoft stock as a buy. And the upside looks solid here for 2026."
The speaker provides a trade call on Microsoft (MSFT), anticipating an increase in the forward PE multiple and projecting the stock price to reach between $570 and $630 by the end of next year. The analysis is supported by current valuations and future earnings expectations, marking Microsoft as a buy with a favorable risk/reward profile for investors.
Uber Trade Call Based on Forward PE and Earnings Estimates
"I own Uber stock in my portfolio and I rated Uber as the best stock to buy this year. So, if the company remains on track to deliver $4.51 in earnings per share and the forward PE multiple remains the same, the stock price could end next year at $106 per share, which would be a rate of return of over 25% in a single year, which is a solid return on investment for a stock like Uber with relatively medium levels of risks. But I actually think Uber's forward PE multiple will increase next year. And if the forward PE multiple increases to 26, the stock price could rise to $117 per share."
The speaker asserts that Uber is the best stock to buy this year based on its current valuation and forward PE multiple. He provides a scenario analysis where if Uber maintains its earnings and the forward PE remains stable, the stock could hit $106 per share next year, offering a 25% return. He further suggests that an increase in the forward PE to 26 could boost the price to $117 per share, making a bullish case for Uber despite risks posed by Tesla's driverless technology.
Coreweave Buy on the Dip with Attractive Risk/Reward
"So, to answer the question I posed in the headline, is this price drop a buying opportunity? I think it is. I think Coreeave is an attractive risk versus reward opportunity but only for those investors with the highest risk tolerance. This is on the highest end of the risk spectrum of stocks you can buy. Coreweave is all the way on the right side. So it should only be considered for those investors with the highest risk tolerance that are looking for those high risk, highreward type situations, but at an attractive price. Right? So you're taking a chance, you're making a little bit of a speculative investment, but your investment has positive expected value. So on a riskadjusted basis, you're getting a good reward for taking this risk or you're getting a good potential reward for taking this risk."
The speaker argues that Coreweave, trading well below its intrinsic value, presents a buy opportunity on the dip for investors with a high risk tolerance. He emphasizes that, despite the inherent volatility and being among the riskiest stocks, the risk-adjusted potential reward makes it an attractive speculative play.
Broadcom's Valuation Shift Suggests a Near-Term Opportunity
"Broadcom's market price at $340 is actually below the intrinsic value per share I calculated for the company at $376. However, if I apply my usual margin of safety for companies like Broadcom, which is roughly 10%, it brings the stock price closer to being fairly valued rather than undervalued, which is a big change because about a month ago, the stock price was overvalued compared to my intrinsic value per share calculation. So those that are on the sidelines waiting for a good opportunity to buy Broadcom stock, I think it's almost here. I still have the stock rated as a hold, but I wouldn't be surprised if that rating changes over these new next few days or next few weeks as the valuation adjusts."
The speaker outlines that Broadcom's current market price of $340 is now closer to its intrinsic value, calculated at $376, after applying a 10% margin of safety. This shift, driven by concerns over lower gross margins from a higher mix of AI revenue, has moved investor perception from overvaluation to near fair value or slight undervaluation. While he currently holds a 'hold' rating, he signals that an opportunity may soon emerge for those waiting to enter the stock.
SoFi Stock Scenario Analysis for 2026
"All right. So now that I have the numbers I need, we can jump into my scenario analysis for SoFi stock for 2026. And you can see here the 83 cents in 2027 earnings per share and the forward PE multiple of 46. So I've identified four different scenarios that I see as being the most likely scenarios for SoFi stock. And unfortunately I think the most likely scenario is that the forward PE multiple continues to decline. If the forward PE multiple were to remain at 46 and the earnings per share remains on track at 83 cents, the stock price could end next year at 38 per share. If the forward PE multiple declines to 40, then the stock price could end next year at 33 per share."
The speaker presents a detailed scenario analysis for SoFi stock, using a forward PE multiple and analysts' earnings estimates for fiscal year 2027 to forecast potential share prices by the end of next year. He outlines multiple scenarios—ranging from a potential price of $38 per share if current multiples hold, to $33 per share if the multiple declines further—and highlights the risk of a falling multiple due to broader economic headwinds affecting profitability and loan defaults.
Micron Buy Rating Reiterated Amid Strong Financials
"So overall looking at Micron's valuation it looks slightly undervalued I would say and the company's performance has been excellent and improving. So to answer the question I still think it makes an attractive investment. I uh like the valuation even based on the current increase in price. So I will reiterate my buy rating from Micron stock."
The speaker reaffirms a buy rating for Micron (MU) based on its robust financial results, including record revenue growth, margin expansion, and strong cash flow generation. The commentary highlights that despite the stock's recent price increase, fundamentals remain strong and support the investment thesis for Micron going into the new year.
Costco Stock Rated as Hold Approaching Upgrade
"So again, right now the stock looks overvalued even after the decrease in share price this year. Even though it's trading near its 52-week low at $860, the 52-week low is $8.44. The intrinsic value per share I calculated is just over $700. So I'm keeping Costco stock rated as a hold, but it's approaching an upgrade. It's closer to an upgrade than it's been in a very long time for me. As I mentioned, I've only had Costco stock rated as a buy in brief moments over the several years I've been following the company because of its persistently expensive valuation."
The speaker analyzes Costco's current underperformance and expensive valuation, noting that despite a drop in share price, the intrinsic value remains lower than current levels. He cites strong fundamentals such as store expansion and revenue growth, explaining that the stock is rated as a hold but is nearing a point where it could be upgraded given its improving valuation relative to its historical premium. This presents a potential shift in sentiment for long-term investors.
Oracle Rated as a Buy Amid Valuation Concerns
"Still, even after those adjustments, Oracle stock looks undervalued at $179 a share compared to the intrinsic value of $29. Now, after applying a margin of safety, this undervaluation is not that extreme. So, I do have Oracle stock rated as a buy and I do think it's undervalued, but it's not all that much. It's not all that great of an investment considering the risk that you would be taking with Oracle stock right now."
The speaker highlights that despite Oracle's stock appearing undervalued at $179 compared to a much lower intrinsic value, the margin of safety is narrow. He explicitly rates Oracle as a buy but cautions about risks related to contract profitability and high spending, suggesting that while the stock has value, the potential rewards might be limited.
Nvidia Scenario Analysis: Potential Price Ranges
"I think the most likely scenario is that Nvidia's forward PE multiple increases. If it increases to 28, then the stock price could rise to $29 per share. If the forward PE multiple increases to 32, then the stock price could rise to $238 per share. However, there's also a scenario where Nvidia's forward PE multiple declines. And if it declines to 20, then the share price could fall to $149 per share."
The speaker provides a scenario analysis for Nvidia (NVDA) stock by evaluating changes in its forward PE multiple. He outlines that while a constant PE could result in a modest 10% gain, a rise in the PE multiple—with a potential target of $238 at a PE of 32—could drive the stock significantly higher. Conversely, a drop in the multiplier to 20 would lower the share price to $149. Ultimately, he conveys that the most likely outcome is a price between $210 and $230 by the end of 2026, highlighting both the potential upside and risks associated with customer concentration and financing dynamics.
Broadcom Overpriced at Current Valuations
"That's why I always caution investors when you're evaluating stocks that trade at premium valuations or at valuations above their historical levels that there's more downside than upside in some cases. That was the case with Broadcom and I warned investors about that going into the earnings release. I said it did not look like an attractive buying opportunity and one of the elements I pointed to was the company's increasing forward PE ratio which had soared from around 22 in January of 2024 all the way up close to 50 heading into the earnings release."
The analyst provides a clear warning on Broadcom stock, stating that its premium valuation—with a forward PE ratio that has nearly doubled from 22 to close to 50—is a significant downside catalyst, making it an unattractive buying opportunity at current prices.
Costco Benefits from Macroeconomic Headwinds
"Costco is arguably the best merchandiser in the world. At least the best merchandiser of any of the 300 companies that I'm following. Costco has demonstrated superiority in its performance. So Costco is benefiting from the current macroeconomic headwinds in the manner you would expect Costco to benefit and that's good news for Costco stock investors even though the economy and the macroeconomic situation it finds itself in is mostly negative."
The speaker highlights Costco's superior merchandising and robust performance despite broader economic challenges. He explains that macro issues such as increased tariffs and economic slowdown are negatively affecting many sectors, but Costco's strong value proposition and loyal membership base enable it to capture a larger share of consumer spending. This resilient performance positions Costco favorably relative to its competitors in tougher economic times.
Broadcom Valuation and Hold Rating Amid Price Correction
"The market price is now to $339. The intrinsic value per share I upgraded today. It increased by a couple of dollars up to $376. So after applying a margin of safety, Broadcom stock looks fairly valued or slightly undervalued when measuring by my discounted cash flow model. However, I still have Broadcom stock rated as a hold because the company's market multiples valuation is still stretched in my opinion and I would like to see another five or 10% improvement or decrease in Broadcom's market price in order to upgrade the stock to a buy, but it's almost there given this big sell-off in Broadcom stock. I had the stock rated as a hold. I told investors it was too expensive in early December. I told investors not to buy this stock going into the earnings release."
The analyst analyzes Broadcom's current valuation following a significant price decline, noting that despite impressive revenue growth and accelerating AI initiatives, the company's expanding AI business is pressuring gross profit margins. He maintains a hold rating due to stretched market multiples, suggesting that a further 5-10% decline might trigger an upgrade to a buy.
Ford's Strategic Pivot Signals Long-Term Upside
"So, huge news here for Ford and for Ford stock investors. I think the change in strategy, the change in tax policy by the government in the United States will ultimately be very good news for Ford because its skill is not in producing electric vehicles. It generates more profit from its other segment, the Ford Pro segment, and other segment that is more profitable. It can produce more of the cars that its customers want to buy without worrying about the government punishing the company and the company having to purchase EV credits from other providers. And so this is good news for Ford. The policy here in the United States, the policy change here in the United States is, I think, going to be good news for Ford in the long run."
The speaker highlights Ford's strategic pivot away from a full-electric focus toward a mix that better fits customer demand, emphasizing that this shift and favorable tax policy changes will benefit Ford over the long run. This commentary implies a positive outlook on Ford due to its stronger performance in more profitable segments, contrasting with the challenges faced by other EV makers.
Sell Call on Tesla due to Overvaluation and Expected Revenue Decline
"I have Tesla stock officially rated as a sell, I have put options on Tesla stock. I don't think Tesla stock is a good investment for 2026."
The speaker explicitly recommends selling Tesla stock, highlighting its excessive valuation and anticipated revenue decline in the coming years. He notes that despite Tesla's past successes, its current trend indicates a potential downturn, making it a poor investment for 2026.
Macro Resilience Driven by AI Investment Amid Economic Slowdown
"And that's why you've noticed that the stock market is increasing despite this data that I was showing you with an increase in unemployment and increase in unemployment claims, an increase in inflation. All of which points to bad news. But still, the US stock market has performed relatively well despite those developments. And it's because the offsetting factor is the hundreds of billions of dollars that's being invested in artificial intelligence which is boosting the potential for the US economy which is the rate at which it can increase without stoking inflation and that's been very positive. We haven't had an increase in the potential for US GDP since the 1990s I want to say when the internet was being built out and that created a big increase in the potential for the US economy and now we have another such technological advancement that increases the potential of the GDP of the US economy without stoking inflation."
The speaker explains that despite rising unemployment, inflation, and increased unemployment claims—factors that typically signal economic distress—the US stock market remains resilient due to significant investments in artificial intelligence. This investment is seen as boosting the economy's potential without exacerbating inflation, drawing a parallel to the transformative impact of the internet in the 1990s. The analysis suggests that this technological catalyst could support long-term economic growth, counterbalancing current negative indicators.
Buy McDonald's Based on Undervaluation for 2026
"But when I calculated the value of the business using my proprietary discounted cash flow model, I came to a conclusion that the business should be worth $417 per share and at $311 per share, the stock looks undervalued. So to answer the question I posed in the headline, do I think McDonald's stock is a buying opportunity for dividend stock investors? I say yes."
The speaker recommends buying McDonald's for dividend investors, highlighting a DCF-derived target of $417 per share compared to a current price of $311. He emphasizes the role of technology in boosting operational efficiency and reducing costs, which supports the stock's undervaluation and favorable long-term potential for 2026.
Updated Buy Call on Lululemon Stock
"Furthermore, I calculated a fair value for Lululemon stock using my proprietary discounted cash flow model and I get a similar conclusion that the stock looks undervalued. I calculated an intrinsic value of $268. Lululemon stock price even after this increase is at $27. Even after applying a margin of safety, Lululemon stock still looks undervalued. So, I have updated my rating on Lululemon stock as a buy. even after this increase."
The speaker reinforces his bullish stance on Lululemon by highlighting his DCF analysis which values the stock at $268 against a current trading price of $27, and confirms his updated buy rating despite recent price gains.
Broadcom Hold Rating Due to Overdone Premium Valuation
"That's why I pointed to investors not to buy this stock because the valuation had gotten in my opinion well ahead of itself. And even when I evaluated the stock using my proprietary discounted cash flow model, I calculated an intrinsic value of around $374. And after the 10% decline today, the market price is now below my intrinsic value at $363. This wasn't the case before the earnings; after the earnings, it's now below, but it's not enough to incorporate the margin of safety, which I utilize for every stock. I would say it's fairly valued using my proprietary discounted cash flow. Comprehensively, when including the market multiples and other valuation metrics, Broadcom stock looks slightly overvalued, so I maintain my hold rating on this business."
The analysis highlights that despite a decline in Broadcom's stock price following earnings, the discounted cash flow model still shows the stock trading near intrinsic value. However, the premium valuation driven by rapid AI revenue growth appears excessive, prompting a hold rating rather than a buy recommendation.
Rocket Lab Volatility Mirroring Early-Stage Success
"The pace is only possible because we are very intentional about designing Electron for sale, for scale, I should say. And when you're operating a company like Rocket Lab, your success is critical in early stages. Meaning that for every three months and every launch and every week and every deal, it magnifies the impacts on the company's share price. That's why you see this company's stock price go up and down so violently with new announcements and new data that comes out about the company because it's still very early stages."
The speaker explains how Rocket Lab's early-stage nature leads to high volatility, as each contract, launch, and deal significantly impacts the share price. The commentary underscores that unlike mature companies, incremental wins or setbacks in Rocket Lab have magnified effects.
Soundhound Overvalued; Wait for a Better Entry
"And right now, it's the current market price is $11.50. Sound stock has been in rally mode in 2025, but the intrinsic value per share I calculated is just $5.72. So, at the current market price, Sound AI stock looks overvalued to me. But that doesn't take away from the company's excellent prospects in the future. I just think that most of those prospects are already priced into the current valuation. So, if I was an investor that was interested in buying this stock, I would wait for a better price to enter."
The speaker explains that despite Soundhound's strong revenue and future prospects, the current $11.50 market price is overvalued compared to his calculated intrinsic value of $5.72. He advises investors to wait for a better entry point rather than buying at current levels.
Big Bear AI Overvalued - Avoid Buying at Current Levels
"And for all those reasons, I've been warning investors about this company. At the current market price of $582, I see it as being overvalued. The intrinsic value per share I calculated for Big Bear AI is $1.14. So, anything at these levels looks overvalued for Big Bear AI. And I will reiterate that I do not have this stock rated as a buy."
The speaker warns investors against buying Big Bear AI, citing its overvaluation relative to an intrinsic value of $1.14 per share. He notes that the company's practice of selling stock to raise capital is a negative signal and indicates management sees the stock as overvalued.
Palantir Overvalued: Hold and Wait for a Better Price
"So on November 3rd, I reiterated the hold rating or reinvigorated the rating of do not buy Palenteer stock. And my reasoning was that the price was too expensive. And whether I measured the company using the forward price to earnings ratio or if I evaluated the company utilizing my proprietary discounted cash flow model, the stock looked overvalued. In fact, following the company's latest quarterly financial performance, I upgraded the free cash flow expectations for this company and I downgraded the risk profile of this company. When I adjust the beta lower, it decreases the weighted average cost of capital."
The speaker updates his hold rating on Palantir stock, emphasizing that despite excellent performance metrics, the valuation remains far too high. Using both forward price to earnings metrics and a discounted cash flow model, he finds the stock overvalued, trading at multiples that significantly exceed its intrinsic value. He advises investors to wait for a better price before considering a purchase.
Big Bear AI Stock Overvalued Based on Intrinsic Value Calculation
"When you're a company that has a stock price that's inflated or overvalued, you will tend to use your stock when you're making an offer for acquisition because as a manager of your company, you know the real value of your company. And when the stock price is well above your calculation of intrinsic value, you might be more likely to use that to make acquisitions to plug into your company and generate revenue growth. And with Big Bear AI, I calculated an intrinsic value per share for this company at $1.13. And the current market price is $6.16. So, it's well above the intrinsic value per share I calculated. And so, this company, these shares are overvalued in my opinion."
The speaker discusses Big Bear AI's use of its inflated stock price for acquisitions, highlighting that the current market price of $6.16 is significantly above the computed intrinsic value of $1.13 per share. This overvaluation raises concerns about whether the company's acquisition strategy can generate sustainable revenue growth.
Nebius Group Trading at $90 Appears Slightly Undervalued Despite High Risk
"Now Nebius Group is trading at $90 per share and I've been talking about how I believed that this stock is undervalued for a few weeks now. The intrinsic value I calculated at $109. So even after applying a margin of safety, the stock looks slightly undervalued. And this should only be considered for investors with a very high risk tolerance. This is one of the riskiest stocks you can find in the market."
The speaker outlines that Nebius Group stock, trading at $90, appears undervalued compared to an intrinsic value of $109, suggesting a margin of safety. However, he warns that the stock is extremely risky, making it suitable only for investors with high risk tolerance. The commentary is rooted in recent earnings guidance revisions and contract wins, which are expected to drive revenue growth over the next 12 months.
Excellent Risk vs Reward Opportunity in Novo Nordisk
"I see that as an opportunity. The fair value I calculated for Novo Nordis stock is $88. The current market price is $48 and that's even after I adjusted upward the risk profile of the company by 25%, adjusting the beta higher by 25% to account for the greater risk in investing in Novo Nordis stock today. Overall I do believe this is an excellent risk versus reward situation for long-term investors to capitalize on the benefits of investing in a company with decades of experience in developing treatments that generate billions in revenue and cash flow."
The speaker highlights a significant undervaluation in Novo Nordisk stock, calculating a fair value of $88 against a current price of $48. Despite short-term negative sentiments and operational challenges, he presents this as a compelling long-term buy opportunity due to the company's robust pipeline and market potential in weight loss treatments.
Buy CoreWeave at its Undervalued Price
"So Coree stock has been under pressure in recent weeks. Over the previous month, it's down about 50%. The market price is down to $7553. But I think that's an opportunity for investors. I calculated an intrinsic value per share of $121 for core stock. So you're able to buy this business at a significant undervaluation right now."
The speaker highlights that CoreWeave (CRWV) has experienced a steep decline, down about 50% in the past month, which presents a buying opportunity. He calculates an intrinsic value of $121 per share compared to the current market price and suggests that the undervalued condition, despite associated risks, can provide significant returns for those willing to play high risk.
Buy Undervalued Visa Amid Inflation-Driven Revenue Gains
"Now, the first dividend stock I'm going to discuss is Visa. Now, Visa is one of those businesses that also benefits from increasing inflation because Visa takes a percentage of revenue of every transaction that happens using its network. So, if inflation is increasing and people are paying more for the same amount of things, then Visa's revenue is correlated to that increase in price level. Furthermore, Visa is trading at a market price of $320 and the intrinsic value per share is $488 as calculated by my proprietary discounted cash flow model."
The speaker highlights Visa as an undervalued dividend stock that benefits from inflation due to its revenue model, and supports this view by noting that its current market price of $320 is well below its intrinsic value of $488. The commentary underlines the competitive dynamics in the industry and the stock's ability to protect portfolios during market selloffs.
Trade Call: Buy Nvidia Stock Post Earnings
"I mentioned I've had Nvidia stock rated as a buy all year long, and I've rated Nvidia as one of the best stocks to buy. And I will update that recommendation following these results today. I still think this is one of the best stocks you can buy right now. And when I can buy a great business at a fair value, I think it's a great deal. It's one of the reasons why I own Nvidia stock myself."
The speaker reiterates his long-standing buy rating on Nvidia, highlighting strong earnings and robust operating margins as reasons for his buy recommendation. He expresses high conviction in the company's fundamentals and growth prospects post-earnings, affirming ownership and a top-five buy rating.
CELH Buy Rating Update: Undervalued Growth Opportunity
"So whether I look at my DCF or whether I look at the forward PE or forward price to OCF, the stock looks undervalued. And so all that being considered, let me answer the question that I posed in the beginning of the video. Do I think this decrease in stock price for Celsius is a buying opportunity? And for me, the answer is yes. So I updated my buy rating for Celsius today, November 18th, 2025."
The speaker explains that despite a recent drop in Celsius stock following earnings-related issues, valuation metrics from DCF, forward PE, and operating cash flow suggest the stock is undervalued. He highlights the catalyst of a $300 million share buyback and ongoing growth initiatives, ultimately updating his rating to a buy.
Hold rating update for Alibaba stock
"So all that being said, to answer the question, should you buy Alibaba stock before the company announces earnings? I would say no. I would say this is not one of those situations where you want to get ahead of the earnings release when the valuation is not especially attractive. So I will be updating this hold rating for Alibaba stock. As you can see, I last updated this on October 15th when I downgraded the stock to a hold. And today on November 18th, I will reiterate that hold rating for Alibaba stock."
The analyst advises against buying Alibaba stock ahead of its earnings release due to elevated volatility and an overvalued price. The update to a hold rating follows a period of significant price appreciation that is not supported by improved fundamentals.
Long-term Buy Opportunity for Novo Nordisk
"So I mentioned Novon Nordisk experiencing difficulties in 2025. Stock price is at $48. It's very close to the 52-week low of $45. So, it's trending down even though the company has this phenomenal product that's gaining significant sales, but the company is not growing sales as much as investors had hoped. And it's undergoing significant headwinds in the weight loss market with compounders with Eli Liy with the US administration pressuring Novo and others to lower prices and offer more accessible treatments. And so I can understand the lower enthusiasm from investors, but I've calculated a fair value of this business at $88. And I don't expect the headwinds to go away anytime soon, but I think longer term this could be an excellent addition to investor portfolios, especially if you don't already have a player in this industry to diversify your portfolio."
The speaker outlines significant headwinds facing Novo Nordisk, including competitive pressure and regulatory challenges, while highlighting that the stock is trading near its 52-week low at $48. However, based on a fair value calculation of $88, he suggests that the long-term potential of Novo Nordisk makes it an attractive buy for investors seeking exposure in the obesity and diabetes treatment space.
Trade Call: Buy NBIS Based on Undervaluation and Growth Prospects
"I've calculated an intrinsic value per share for Nebius Group at roughly $110 per share. The current market price is $85. So I see this business as being undervalued. I also see this business as still being a really high risk, but I think the high risk is the reward is sufficient to justify taking that risk with Nebius Group. And so I've rated this stock as a buy because there is significant potential for return to account for the fact that you're taking an elevated risk."
The speaker outlines a trade call for NBIS by emphasizing the stock's undervaluation, with a calculated intrinsic value of approximately $110 per share relative to its current price of $85. Despite acknowledging the high risk, the speaker believes that the potential return justifies the risk, and thus recommends buying the stock.
Uber: Best Stock to Buy Right Now
"And so I wanted to share with you my updated intrinsic value calculation for Uber. I believe these shares are worth $133 today, but you can go out in the market and buy them for $92. So for all these reasons, I still like Uber as the best stock to buy right now."
The speaker delivers an explicit trade call for Uber, highlighting an intrinsic value of $133 compared to a market price of $92. He underlines Uber's competitive convenience advantages and robust business metrics as reasons to consider it the best stock to buy at this moment.
CoreWeave Buy Recommendation Based on Intrinsic Valuation
"The intrinsic value per share I calculated for Core Weeave is $122 and the current market price after the big decrease over the previous month is $74. And so I will reiterate that I think this stock is a buy and I updated that recommendation today on November 17th. I do think this stock is a buy, but again it's only for those investors with a very high risk tolerance that are looking for those high-risk, highreward type situations."
The speaker calculates CoreWeave's intrinsic value at $122 per share compared to its current price of $74, presenting a strong buy call for investors with a high risk tolerance. The recommendation is based on the company's high revenue growth and anticipated continued demand for its AI cloud platform amid capacity expansion risks.
Buy Call on Novo Nordisk (NVO) Based on Undervaluation and Restructuring
"I also updated my fair value calculation for Novo Nordis stock. There was a few changes I needed to make. I updated the number of shares outstanding. I updated the company's total debt and not operating assets. And overall, that changed the intrinsic value per share to $88. And the fair value, that's the fair value. That's the value I believe this business is worth today. But you can buy Novo Nordis stock at $48 a share. So, I see this business as being one that's undervalued, of course, increased in risk because of the company's recent developments."
The speaker updates his fair value calculation for Novo Nordisk, arriving at an intrinsic value of $88 per share while noting the stock is trading at $48, thus calling it undervalued. He acknowledges the increased risk due to recent developments but maintains a long-term buy recommendation.
Nebius Group Trade Call: High Return Potential Despite High Risk
"for Mebius Group, for example, I've incorporated the added risk into the stock by increasing the beta by 15% which increases the weighted average cost of capital, which decreased the intrinsic value per share to $110 compared to the current market price of $85. But I still see this stock as an investment with a high return potential, but it also comes with a great deal of risk. It's on the riskiest side of the investing spectrum, so it should only be considered for those investors that are okay with extremely high risk, but with the potential of extremely high return. Now, this $109 intrinsic value is just what I believe these shares are worth today. But 10 years from now, I think these shares could be worth a lot more as this company continues to expand capacity and as the world starts to incorporate artificial intelligence."
The speaker assesses Nebius Group (NBIS) as a high-risk, high-reward investment. He highlights that after accounting for higher beta and WACC adjustments, the intrinsic value is around $110 compared to a current market price of $85, suggesting a potential undervaluation. Despite the inherent risk, he is bullish on the long-term prospects fueled by capacity expansion and AI integration over a 10-year horizon.
CoreWeave stock rated as a buy due to undervaluation and growth potential
"when you look at valuation, now I've shared with you the valuation on my proprietary DCF where I calculated an intrinsic value per share of 123 versus a current market price of 74 suggesting that this stock is undervalued at these prices. But if you go to fisc.ai, AI, which is my preferred data provider, and you look at Core Weave's forward price to operating cash flow, it's trading at a ridiculously cheap value at 6.4. But this valuation can be misleading because the large bulk of Core Weave's spending is going in capital expenditures, which is not included in operating cash flow. And so it's understandable why investors are shying away from coreweave stock. But I think overall the risk versus reward is worthwhile and I have core stock rated as a buy."
The analyst highlights CoreWeave's undervaluation, noting an intrinsic value of 123 versus a market price of 74 and an attractive forward operating cash flow multiple. Despite concerns regarding heavy capital expenditures and capacity limits, the recommendation is to buy, supported by strong contracted orders over the next 12 months that bolster revenue certainty.
Microsoft Fair Value Buy Trade Call
"Now, I've calculated an intrinsic value for Microsoft at $490. The current market price is $493. So, I see Microsoft's business as fairly valued. But Microsoft, I've said repeatedly, is a Hall of Fame business, and a Hall of Fame business trading at a fair value, I think, is an excellent stock to buy for long-term investors."
Microsoft is deemed fairly valued given its intrinsic value of $490 versus a current market price of $493, and is positioned as an excellent long-term buy based on its business quality.
Buy Call on Micron Based on Strong DCF Reassessment
"Furthermore, when I look at valuation using my proprietary discounted cash flow model, it looks fairly valued. It doesn't look cheap. And I updated this model today and the intrinsic value per share nearly doubled because I haven't updated my micron intrinsic value per share calculation for a few months now. And the changes in expectations and free cash flow have increased by so much for Micron throughout this year that when I fully updated my model to include those new higher expectations, it nearly doubled the intrinsic value per share up to $242. Given the current market price is $251. And I apply a 5 to 10% margin of safety. So at this level the stock looks fairly valued based on my DCF calculation. Now you have a stock that looks undervalued based on the market multiples method and it looks fairly valued based on my discounted cash flow valuation and the company has several tailwinds working in its favor. So I will reiterate my buy rating for Micron stock today, November 14th, 2025."
The speaker provides a detailed analysis of Micron, highlighting that despite its high current price, the stock remains attractive due to a near-doubling in intrinsic value as per a proprietary DCF model. He underscores strong revenue and free cash flow improvements along with industry tailwinds which justify his buy rating for Micron.
Apple Rated as Hold Due to High Valuations
"So Apple's now trading at valuations at the most expensive they've been in several years. On a forward PE basis, it's trading at a forward PE of 33. On a forward price to OCF basis, it's trading at over 28, both if you look back going to January of 2024 is near the higher end of where this stock has traded for according to these metrics in this time. I can understand why everyone else is excited about Apple stock, but at these valuations, I'm not very excited about Apple and I have this stock rated as a hold."
The speaker outlines that despite Apple's strong revenue figures and innovative product updates, its trading at peak valuations makes it less attractive. While investor enthusiasm remains high, the elevated forward PE and OCF multiples suggest caution, leading to a hold rating on the stock.
Microsoft Buy Rating Affirmed at Fair Value
"What do I think about Microsoft stock? Whether it's buy, hold, or sell. Well, I think Microsoft stock is a fairly valued business. If you look at my intrinsic value calculation for Microsoft stock, I value it at 49 490. It's trading at 503. I apply a margin of safety of 5 to 10% in most cases. And so, this is within the margin of safety. So, I would call it a fairly valued business, but it's a Hall of Fame business. As I mentioned, revenue growth near 20%, operating margins approaching 50%, very strong competitive advantages, difficult for any business to encroach on its territory. I like the business at the current prices. I reiterated my buy rating today."
The speaker reaffirms a buy rating on Microsoft, citing its fair value based on an intrinsic value calculation and strong financial metrics such as near 20% revenue growth and operating margins approaching 50%. The rationale highlights Microsoft's competitive advantages and its status as a 'Hall of Fame business', making it a compelling long-term investment.
Bullish on Nvidia with Timing Caution
"So to answer the question, should you buy Nvidia stock before the company announces earnings? Well, I have Nvidia rated as one of the top five stocks to buy. So I'm bullish on Nvidia stock overall. I bought Nvidia stock for my own portfolio a few months ago, and I have no intention of selling my Nvidia stock anytime soon. But if you're just thinking about timing, then the timing I would say would be on a risk versus return adjusted basis. It would be more prudent to wait until after the earnings results."
The speaker expresses a strong bullish view on Nvidia, highlighting its top-five buy rating and personal conviction from holding the stock, while advising investors to wait until after the earnings release due to increased near-term risk and timing concerns.
Uber as the best stock to buy early this year
"Early this year, I rated Uber as the best stock to buy. And then shortly after I made that conclusion, I believe it was a month or two after legendary investor Bill Aman came out and said how he thought Uber was an excellent investment and added billions of dollars of Uber to his portfolio."
The speaker highlights his early-year call on Uber as the best stock to buy, noting that his analysis was later reinforced by a prominent investor's large-scale endorsement.
Alphabet remains a buy despite high valuations
"In fact, I've had Alphabet stock rated as one of the best stocks to buy all year, and only yesterday or the day before did I bring it off that list of best stocks to buy. I still think it's a buy, but I just downgraded it from my list of best stocks to buy because the price had gone up by so much already in 2025."
The speaker maintains a bullish outlook on Alphabet, noting that despite recently removing it from his list of best stocks due to a significant price increase in 2025, he still considers it a buy.
Apple stock not a buy
"I've been talking all year long how I felt that Apple stock was an unattractive stock this year to start 2025. I told investors that Apple stock was not a buy, whereas I've had Alphabet stock rated as a buy all year long."
The speaker explicitly states that Apple is not recommended as a buy for this year heading into 2025, contrasting its unattractive valuation with his consistent buy rating for Alphabet.
Downgrading Intel Stock Recommendation
"Now, when I updated my discounted cash flow valuation model for Intel, and it increased the intrinsic value per share from from $25 to around $31. But it's still below the market price of $3562. If I apply a margin of safety, I'll I can say that Intel stock is slightly overvalued based on my DCF calculations. And given the company's share price has risen so significantly already in 2025, I'm going to be downgrading Intel stock from a buy down to a halt."
The analyst revises his recommendation on Intel, noting that while the intrinsic value per share improved from $25 to $31, the market price of $3562 makes the stock slightly overvalued. As a result, he downgrades Intel from a buy to a halt, citing the significant price increase in 2025 and overvaluation based on his DCF analysis.
Apple Stock Rated as Hold Due to Overvaluation
"Apple stock is trading near its 52- week high at $273. The 52- week high is $277. I calculated an intrinsic value per share at 218. So, even applying a margin of safety, Apple stock looks a little bit expensive here, a little overvalued. I would not be buying Apple stock at these levels. In fact, I have Apple stock rated as a hold."
The speaker highlights that despite Apple's strong performance, the current trading price of $273 is significantly above its calculated intrinsic value of $218, signaling that the stock is overvalued and not a buy at current levels, with the recommendation to hold.
Microsoft Buy Trade Call at Fair Valuation
"So, Microsoft, in my opinion, is a fairly valued business trading at a market price of $52. The intrinsic value per share I calculated is $490. And I consider Microsoft as one of the Hall of Fame businesses in the world. One of the best of the best businesses. Not thinking about valuation, just thinking about the quality of the business, the competitive advantages, the opportunities, the growth prospects, all of that with the management team. Microsoft is arguably one of the best in the world. And so when I see a business of this caliber trading at a fair value, I think it's a great deal for long-term investors. So I have Microsoft stock rated as a buy."
The speaker highlights that Microsoft is trading at $52 while its intrinsic value is calculated at $490, emphasizing its status as a high-quality, Hall of Fame business with strong fundamentals and competitive advantages. With a solid track record in cloud revenue growth and strategic investments in AI, the speaker calls Microsoft a buy for long-term investors.
Bullish Progress and Market Traction for AMD
"I remember I would make videos recommending AMD stock as a buy and it was underperforming and it was trailing Nvidia by a large margin and investors in the comment section were disappointed and continued to express their frustration. When is AMD going to gain traction in this category? It's taking so long. They're never going to catch up to Nvidia. They're never even going to approach Nvidia. They started calling AMD the advanced money destroyer. And all of that sentiment has almost vanished here in 2025 as AMD has made progress. They've developed this 350 series and now the next generation 400 series and they're gaining significant orders, making large deals and partnerships with some of the buyers in deals worth billions and tens of billions of dollars approaching hundreds of billions of dollars. And so you could understand why investors are excited about AMD stock."
The speaker contrasts earlier bearish views on AMD with the notable turnaround driven by the company's technological advancements and significant partnerships, which have led to a surge in investor excitement. This commentary underscores strong growth prospects and increased market traction for AMD, bolstering its position as a compelling long-term stock idea.
Buy IREN Stock for High Risk, High Reward Opportunity
"So overall to answer the question, do I think what do I think about iron? Is it a buy hold or sell? I think the stock is a buy, but it should only be considered for very high risk tolerant investors. This is in the category of the highest risk possible. So highreward potential to be sure, but it comes with extremely high risk. So if you're anyway concerned about risk, I would not approach this investment. But if you're the type of investor that likes high risk and high reward, this could be a good way for you to potentially increase your wealth by a significant amount by taking a large risk."
The speaker explicitly calls IREN a buy, emphasizing that the stock's strong Microsoft deal and associated prepayment offer significant upside. However, the trade is recommended only for high risk tolerant investors due to the inherent high risks involved.
Hold Recommendation for ENPH Amid Significant Headwinds
"Do I think it's a buy, hold, or sell? Well, I updated my buy, hold, or sell rating to make this stock rated as a hold. As of November 30th, November 13th, 2025, the stock is trading at a forward price to earnings ratio of 14 and a forward price to operating cash flow ratio of 10 12. But I think the headwinds facing this business are too significant even with the relatively cheap valuation. I would wait to see how this business adjusts to these major changes to the business uh given the macroeconomic factors worked so heavily against the company in the current administration. So this is a business I would be waiting on rather than making a move right now at current market prices."
The speaker updates his rating on ENPH to a hold, citing significant headwinds from the elimination of tax credits, increased tariffs, and challenging macroeconomic factors despite a relatively cheap valuation. He recommends waiting to see how the company adjusts before taking action.
Trade Call: Buy Amazon Over Apple Based on Growth Metrics
"Overall, if I had to pick between these two companies, I would pick Amazon as the better stock to buy. I believe Amazon's advantages and prospects looking ahead are stronger than Apple's advantages and the headwinds, the impacts of tariffs are going to be significantly negative for each of these two companies. But I think that Amazon's AWS segment gives it some protection against the impacts of tariffs and its international operations also allow each of these companies to mitigate some of the impacts of tariffs as well. But the tariffs will be negative for each of these two companies. But I think there will be more of a negative uh to Apple unless Apple is able to continue to be able to work and negotiate exemptions for its products and its product categories, which it may or may not be able to do."
The host explicitly favors Amazon over Apple, citing superior revenue growth, improving operating cash flow trends, and the defensive nature of Amazon's AWS segment as key factors. He believes that while both companies face challenges from tariffs, Amazon's strategic investments in cloud computing provide a more resilient growth trajectory, making it the preferable long-term stock pick.
AMD Stock Buy Recommendation
"AMD stock is up over 112% year-to date in 2025. And of course, I'm happy about that because I've been recommending AMD stock as a buy almost all year long. And I had it recommended as one of the best stocks to buy in the first half of the year and for all of 2024."
The speaker provides an actionable buy call on AMD, citing its impressive 112% YTD gain and past recommendations. He underscores AMD's potential as its stock price is finally reflecting the intrinsic value identified years ago, making it one of the best stocks to buy across multiple timeframes.
Palantir's Strong Revenue Growth and Expanding Margins Fuel Investor Excitement
"Palantir stock is soaring in 2025. It's up over 140% even though it's come down off its highs a little bit in the recent week or two. I'm going to talk about why so many investors are excited about Palunteer stock right now. In its most recently completed quarter, Palunteer generated their highest ever reported revenue growth rate of 63% year-over-year. And that exceeded the high end of their prior guidance by 300 basis points, 13%. So when Palantir gave investors a forecast of what they expected to achieve in the upcoming quarter, they told investors that look 50% is on the higher end of what we think we'll achieve in revenue growth."
The speaker emphasizes Palantir's explosive revenue growth and improved operating margins, which have surpassed even the high-end forecasts. This strong performance, including a 63% revenue growth rate, is fueling market excitement around Palantir stock heading into 2025 despite its premium valuation.
Palantir's Strong Cash Flow and Strategic Balance Sheet
"Palantir's management team, Dave Glazer specifically, said that on a trailing 12-month basis, they generated 2 billion in adjusted free cash flow in the first time in the company's history. Palantir has become a cash flow generating machine and that positive cash flow generation is really really meaningfully improving the company's balance sheet which was already a pristine balance sheet to begin with. It now has billions of dollars in cash and zero debt. That balance sheet is an opportunity for Palantir to make some strategic decisions that could meaningfully improve the business prospects even further from where it is today."
The commentary highlights Palantir's impressive free cash flow generation and its impact on the balance sheet, emphasizing the strategic opportunities provided by a strong cash position and zero debt.
AMD Valuation Reflects Cautious Outlook Despite Growth Prospects
"Now all that being said, I feel these positive prospects are mostly reflected in AMD stock price valuation. It's trading at a forward price to earnings of 46 compared to the forward price to earnings of Nvidia at 33. So AMD stock right now is trading at a valuation that's roughly 33% more expensive than Nvidia when measuring on a forward price to earnings basis. Furthermore, when I calculate the company's fair value using my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model, the current market price at 237 is above the intrinsic value per share I calculated at 193. So regardless of the valuation metric I'm using, AMD stock looks uh either fairly valued or slightly overvalued given its current market prospects. I can understand if you already own the stock. It's a reasonable stock to hold because it's got great prospects both in the near-term and the medium-term and the longer term as I think it will continue to grow to gain more market share in this industry."
The speaker provides a detailed assessment of AMD stock, noting that despite the company's promising margins and growth in its data center segment, the stock appears fairly valued or even slightly overvalued based on its forward P/E and discounted cash flow analysis. The commentary suggests that while AMD may be a reasonable hold for current investors, it does not present a compelling buy opportunity.
Buy Call on Meta Platforms Based on DCF Undervaluation
"Meta Platforms, I calculated its intrinsic value per share at $853 and the current market price is $623. So according to my proprietary DCF model, Meta Platforms looks significantly undervalued. Its weighted average cost of capital is 10.77% and its ROIC tow ratio is also close to 3:1 but it's less than the ROIC tow ratio for Alphabet because Alphabet has a slightly lower weighted average cost of capital. I still like both of these companies. I think they'll make great long-term investments. But if you're forced to pick one, I think Meta Platforms is the better value right now."
The speaker compares Meta Platforms and Alphabet using a proprietary DCF model and other key metrics. Despite both being strong long-term investments, he highlights that Meta Platforms is significantly undervalued compared to its current market price, making it the preferred buy call at this moment.
Meta Undervalued Despite Increased AI Spending
"I mentioned that investors have not been happy about Meta's investments in growing the capital expenditures in order to support their artificial intelligence capabilities. And that disappointment is leading to an undervaluation in meta stock which is trading at $626 today. The intrinsic value per share I calculated is $853. So, while the increasing spending is increasing risk, I think the price correction has more than offset that increase in risk. And so, I still see Meta as a great long-term investment opportunity."
The speaker highlights that despite concerns over rising AI-related expenditures, META stock is undervalued, trading at $626 compared to an intrinsic value of $853. This discrepancy suggests a compelling long-term investment opportunity, as the price correction has mitigated the increased spending risk.
Updated Rating Indicates Alphabet is Fairly Valued for Long-Term Hold
"However, all that being said, the price has increased by so much that I no longer think Alphabet is one of the best stocks to buy right now. Now, I own Alphabet stock myself. I have no intentions of selling my Alphabet stock anytime soon. I still think this stock is a great buy at current market prices, but I don't think it's one of the best stocks to buy. So, that's my big change, my big update in this video. I downgraded Alphabet stock to a buy. I had it rated as one of the top six stocks to buy, and today I'm lowering the ranking to just buy, and I updated that today."
The speaker provides an update on his rating for Alphabet, noting that despite strong performance and excellent execution in related segments, the significant price increase has eroded its status as a top pick. He emphasizes that while he remains a long-term holder and considers the stock a great buy at fair value, its appeal as a best stock to buy has diminished.
Buying Opportunity on Coreweave Following Dip
"Now, this wasn't the case the last time I evaluated the company on October 22nd where I told investors and informed investors that the valuation was too expensive for me to rate this business as a buy. But, uh, if you were interested in buying this stock and you were waiting for a dip, waiting for an opportunity, I think this is that opportunity. I think the price decline following this earnings release and the subsequent increase in the backlog and revenue and expectations for growth in the next coming years make this an interesting investment. Now I would only recommend this for those investors that have a high risk tolerance. This is a high-risk high-reward type investment. This is the type of investment that could significantly add to your wealth in a short amount of time, but it's also one of those investments that can crash by 30, 40, 60% and nobody would be surprised. So, make sure your ability to tolerate risk is above average, well above average in order to jump into this investment."
The speaker believes that the recent dip in Coreweave's stock presents a buying opportunity, noting its intrinsic value and cheaper valuation on a forward price-to-OCF basis. Although there is high risk involved due to potential volatility and heavy capital expenditure needs, he suggests that investors with a high risk tolerance may find significant upside in an investment that can quickly add value.
Buy Rating for Nebius Group Stock
"Well I covered the company and I initiated the rating on Nebius Group as a buy on October 22nd 2025. What do I think about it following the earnings results? The stock price is down over 7% following these announcements and the current market price at $102 is still well below the intrinsic value per share I calculated and updated today at $144. So I will be reiterating my buy rating for Nebius Group stock and I will remind investors that this should only be considered for investors with a very high risk tolerance. This is a high-risk, highreward type of investment."
The speaker reiterates a buy rating for Nebius Group stock, highlighting that its current market price of $102 is significantly below his updated intrinsic value of $144 following a 7% drop in price. He underscores the strong demand for the company's AI infrastructure and notes that this opportunity is recommended only for investors with high risk tolerance.
Undervaluation Commentary on Mastercard
"Looking at valuation on my DCF basis, Mastercard looks uh slightly undervalued at a market price of 548 compared to the intrinsic value of 591."
The speaker provides a valuation commentary on Mastercard, noting that, based on his DCF analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued, which suggests potential modest upside.
Reiterating Buy Rating for Visa
"Overall, I will be reiterating my buy ratings for Visa and Mastercard. And I'm also really interested in adding to my positions. I own Visa and Mastercard. I already highlighted I'm interested in adding to my Visa position than the Mastercard position."
The speaker reiterates his buy rating for Visa and expresses a stronger interest in adding to his Visa position compared to Mastercard, citing the company's strong competitive positioning and profitability.
Long-term Opportunity in Meta Platforms Based on Undervaluation
"Meta stock is trading at a forward PE of 26. And if you took a look at my DCF calculation earlier, you'll notice that it's trading at a significant discount to my intrinsic value per share calculation of $853. Meta stock is trading at $632. So, all these things being considered, I see this as an opportunity for long-term investors to scoop up Meta shares at a relative discount."
The speaker argues that Meta Platforms is undervalued relative to its DCF-based intrinsic value, trading at $632 compared to an estimated value of $853. They emphasize Meta's effective capital allocation and robust ROIC relative to its cost of capital despite increased capex, framing it as a compelling long-term buying opportunity.
Reiterating Buy Rating for DraftKings Stock
"DraftKings stock is riskier than I can ever remember the stock being. The introduction of prediction markets competitors raises the risk significantly, but it also raises the upside significantly because it gives DraftKings an opportunity to participate in markets like California, which I never thought it was going to gain entry inside. So, you've got a riskier stock, but you've also got a stock that looks undervalued. I will be reiterating my buy rating for DraftKings stock today."
The speaker highlights the dual nature of DraftKings stock, citing increased risk due to prediction market competition yet significant upside from potential entry into the California market. Despite the risks, the stock appears undervalued, leading to a reiterated buy rating.
Buy Call on The Trade Desk (TTD)
"So, to put it all together, do I think the Trade Desk stock is a buy on this dip? I think so. Yes. It's trading near its 52-week low. And while the risks are elevated, the upside is huge. And I like this business. The way they've been able to demonstrate capability and effectiveness and growing market share in a very attractive industry, the advertising industry, and the most attractive part of the advertising industry, which is the digital advertising industry. They've been buying back shares, signaling the management team thinks the shares are undervalued with a $500 million buyback authorization. I own Tradeesk stock myself and I'm interested in adding more shares. I will reiterate my buy rating for this business today."
The speaker expresses a bullish view on The Trade Desk (TTD), emphasizing that despite elevated risks from competition and decelerating revenue growth, the stock is trading near its 52-week low and appears undervalued based on its valuation metrics and active share repurchase program. He indicates that this presents a buying opportunity, and he is personally interested in adding to his position.
Revised Intrinsic Valuation Highlights Overvaluation
"So, my intrinsic value per share I updated today for Palunteer stock increased by 40%. I previously had this business rated at $50 per share and I increased that today to $70 per share. Now, the stock is still overvalued in my opinion, trading at a market price of 194 compared to my intrinsic value calculation of 70, but the company's making great progress. And the reason why the intrinsic value per share increased is because the company's beta was significantly higher before."
The speaker details an updated intrinsic valuation for Palantir (PLTR), raising the per share value from $50 to $70 due to a downward adjustment of the company beta, reflecting reduced risk. Despite the progress and expanded enterprise focus, the market price at 194 remains significantly above the intrinsic estimate, underscoring an overvalued condition.
IonQ stock: Too early, hold position
"To answer the question, what do I think about ION Q stock right now? Do I think it's a buy, hold, or sell? For me personally, it's still too early stage for me to consider investing in this company. It's too speculative for me at this point. So, I will be rating this stock as a hold, but I can understand if you're the type of investor that's looking for very, very high risk, very, very high reward potential type of investments to consider ION Q."
The speaker reviews ION Q stock and highlights its volatile revenue pattern, noting that despite recent positive earnings surprises, recent events such as Amazon's exit and revenue volatility create concerns. He concludes that the stock is currently too speculative, recommending a hold position until there is more clarity on its breakthrough potential.
Arista Networks Borderline Buy Call Amid Mixed Valuation Signals
"The last time I updated my recommendation or rating on Arista Networks was on September 12th where I rated the stock as a borderline buy and it was for the reasons why I highlighted in this video as well. You see a lot of mixed signals with Arista Networks. And so I'm feeling the same here with Arista Networks. I'm feeling like I like the company's revenue growth and the industry it operates. I'm loving absolutely loving the cash flow margins and the returns on invested capital and then the valuations I'm a little bit you know on the fence about I'm not uh very positive I'm also not negative so I'm like neutral on its valuation so overall it leads me to feel like this stock is a borderline buy one that I don't think it's like between a buy and a hold but closer to a buy."
The speaker evaluates Arista Networks (ANET) by highlighting its robust revenue growth, impressive cash flow margins, and high ROIC, while noting competitive pressure from Nvidia due to bundling advantages. Despite these strong operational metrics, the valuation signals are mixed: a discounted cash flow model indicates undervaluation while the forward PE ratio suggests overvaluation. Consequently, he rates the stock as a borderline buy, leaning closer to a buy than a hold, indicating an actionable trade call with some lingering uncertainties.
Maintain Hold on AST Space Mobile Amid Elevated Risk and Uncertain Upside
"So, because of the elevated risk, I'm keeping AS Space Mobile. I had it rated as a hold all year long here. The reasoning being it's too early for me for my investment taste. It's too speculative at this point. It has huge upside to be sure, but as it stands right now, I can't tell what the actual upside is. I have a difficult time quantifying that upside."
The speaker maintains a hold rating on AST Space Mobile due to elevated risks and uncertainty regarding its future cash flow and revenue potential. While acknowledging significant upside from strategic partnerships like the one with Verizon, he highlights that the lack of concrete data makes it difficult to quantify the stock's true potential, reinforcing a cautious stance.
Hold Recommendation on RGTI Amid High Risk, High Reward Quantum Computing Landscape
"What do I think about the company right now in terms of buy, hold or sell? For me, the quantum computing industry and these pure play quantum computing stocks, Regetti included, is a little early for me, is a little too speculative for me. I have this stock rated as a hold. I last updated that recommendation on October 13th, 2025, and I will update that recommendation today, November 7th, 2025. I think there's huge upside with Regetti stock. I mean, this is one of those companies that could 1,000x your money over the next 5 years or 10 years, but it can also lead to 99% loss of your money in 6 months time. So, it's one of those very volatile, very high risk, very high reward type investments. It should only be considered for investors with a very high risk tolerance."
The analyst provides a hold rating for RGTI, acknowledging its high volatility and speculative nature within the quantum computing space. While there is significant upside potential if quantum breakthroughs occur, the inherent risks mean that RGTI is suitable only for investors with very high risk tolerance.
NVDA Stock is a Buy at Fair Valuation with High Growth Potential
"So overall, Nvidia a great business to own at the current market prices. A risky business to be sure, but I own Nvidia stock myself. If I bought it for my own portfolio at about $90 a share and I've rated Nvidia stock as a buy as one of the best six stocks to buy right now and I updated that recommendation on November 3rd."
The speaker highlights Nvidia's strong fundamentals and competitive advantages, emphasizing robust revenue growth, superior unit economics, and an excellent market position enabled by its proprietary CUDA ecosystem. Despite risks related to revenue concentration and supply chain dependencies, he affirms his bullish stance and recommends Nvidia as a buy at current levels, noting that its fair valuation and growth prospects justify its inclusion in a portfolio.
Eli Lilly Deal with Trump Administration Offers Tariff Relief and Market Expansion
"So, Eli Liy and Novo Nordis secured deals with the Trump administration to slash prices for their blockbuster weight loss drugs in exchange for tariff relief and wider access for Medicare patients. This seems like a win-win situation. Novor Nordisk and Eli get greater access to more patients which delivers a broader access of customers that can be on the company's treatments. Furthermore, Eli Lily and Novo Nordisk get tariff relief, which could save the company significant sums of money because they do import some of their products from outside the United States. The deals with Lily and Novo were announced Thursday at a White House event with President Donald Trump."
The transcript discusses a deal where Eli Lilly (focused ticker LLY) and Novo Nordisk secure tariff relief and enhanced market access through an agreement with the Trump administration. This arrangement could boost profit margins by reducing import costs and expanding treatment access, acting as a long-term positive catalyst despite lingering uncertainties on deal specifics.
Novo Nordisk Buy Recommendation Post Earnings
"But still, even after adjusting the risk higher, the intrinsic value per share is meaningfully higher than the company's market price. It's trading at $46 a share. And the intrinsic value I calculated is $116. So even after all of these difficulties, I still feel this stock is a good risk versus reward for long-term investors. Given the significant headwinds from pricing pressures and competitive challenges, I believe the upside remains compelling."
The analyst updates his recommendation on Novo Nordisk post-earnings by highlighting that, despite competitive and regulatory pressures affecting its weight loss treatments, the company's intrinsic value of $116 per share far exceeds its current trading price of around $46. He maintains a buy rating, believing that the long-term risk versus reward remains favorable.
SoFi's Innovation Expected to Boost Valuation
"With the press release and the launch of this product and with the availability of the product, it's going to create a lot of investor enthusiasm and investor interest in SoFi stock leading to an increase in valuation for SoFi stock. Now maybe 5, 10, 15 years down the road, it can become a meaningful part of SoFi's business in generating revenue and profit."
The speaker explains that SoFi's recent product innovation, including the launch of SoFi pay leveraging blockchain technology, is expected to generate considerable investor enthusiasm, potentially driving up SoFi's stock valuation. Although the immediate revenue impact may be modest, the long-term potential for growth and increased market share is highlighted as a significant positive catalyst.
Buy Meta Stock Based on Undervaluation and Growth Catalysts
"But when you look at the history going back to January of 2023 and you look at the forward PE, it's trading at near the most expensive it's been according to its trend on this metric. But a company like this trading at a forward PE of 26 I think is attractive. Furthermore, I conduct my own proprietary discounted cash flow valuations on businesses I'm following and the valuation I calculated for Meta. The fair value for this stock in my calculation is $853. The current market price is $640. So whether I'm looking at this valuation on the forward PE basis or whether I'm looking at my proprietary PCF, Meta Stock looks undervalued. And so I think and I will reiterate my buy rating for Meta Stock at current market prices."
The speaker highlights that despite Meta trading at a forward PE of 26, the company is attractive due to solid revenue growth, operating margins, and attractive cash flow metrics. His proprietary discounted cash flow analysis values the stock at $853 compared to a current market price of $640, prompting a reaffirmed buy rating for Meta Stock.
Amazon Buy Trade Call on Accelerating Revenue and AI Expansion
"So as I've been talking about, I think Amazon is one of the best opportunities for long-term investors right now. I've had it rated as one of the best stocks to buy this year. And the intrinsic value per share I calculated is $34. The current market price is $249. So, this stock is undervalued and I would be willing to pay a fair price for a business of Amazon's caliber, but I'm able to buy it at a discount, which I took advantage of a few weeks ago and I added Amazon shares to my own portfolio."
The speaker explicitly recommends buying Amazon due to its accelerating revenue growth in key segments like AWS and advertising, alongside significant investments in AI infrastructure. He highlights that the stock is trading at a discount relative to his intrinsic value estimate, making it an attractive long-term opportunity.
Downgrading AMD Stock to Hold Due to Overvaluation
"So to update my recommendation for AMD stock, I've had this stock rated as a buy all year. I had it rated as a buy in 2024 and 2023, but now that the price has increased by so much, I think the valuation has gotten ahead of itself and I'm downgrading AMD stock to a hold today, November 5th, 2025."
The speaker revises their recommendation on AMD, downgrading it from a buy to a hold due to the stock's overextended valuation relative to its intrinsic value, despite strong earnings and growth prospects.
Buy Recommendation for Upstart (UPST) Based on Valuation and Earnings Results
"I don't own Upstart stock, but I'm very interested in this company. And I wouldn't be surprised if I purchase this stock for my portfolio sometime soon. I've been watching this company more closely in recent months. About a month and a half ago, I upgraded this stock to a buy on my stock recommendation list. And following the earnings release, Upstart is now trading at a forward P/E of 26, near the lowest level this stock has traded for since early 2025. I did reiterate my buy rating for Upstart stock following these earnings results."
The speaker conveys a bullish stance on Upstart (UPST), emphasizing a buy recommendation based on the recent earnings results and attractive valuation, marked by a low forward P/E ratio. This suggests that the stock is seen as an attractive entry point.
Buying Opportunity in Pinterest (PINS)
"Furthermore, when looking at my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation calculation, the stock is trading at a significant discount in my opinion. Current market price is $26. Intrinsic value per share is over $75. So, you can understand why I've had this stock rated as one of the best stocks to buy. And this price decrease of more than 21% on the day following the earnings release, I see as a big opportunity. I see this as a buying opportunity and what I'll be doing with my shares, I will not be selling any of my shares. In fact, I'm likely more interested in adding shares to my portfolio, even if it bounces up 5 or 10% from these lows."
The speaker outlines a strong bullish trade call on Pinterest (PINS) due to the stock trading at a significant discount. Highlighting a low forward price-to-earnings ratio and a deep undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis, he indicates plans to add to his existing position despite a recent drop following earnings.
Caution on SoFi Stock Valuation
"Now, all that being said, SoFi has great prospects longer term, but I just want to caution investors about the valuation. SoFi stock price is already up significantly in 2025, and I'm happy about that because I rated SoFi stock as a buy for most of the year. I was uh rating SoFi stock as a buy. I only downgraded it to a hold about a month ago when the stock price was already up 85% and was already approaching roughly $30. And you've seen the share price has hovered around $30 for a while now. And I feel it's limited upside for the rest of this year at this current market price. I think the share price has accelerated ahead of the tangible performance improvements from the company."
The speaker advises caution regarding SoFi's current high valuation, suggesting that despite strong fundamentals and growth catalysts, the stock's upside is limited at its current price, and investors should wait for a better entry point.
Amazon Undervalued Trade Call
"Now, despite the momentum in Amazon stock price, I still feel these shares are undervalued. I recently bought Amazon stock for my own portfolio a couple of weeks ago, and the current market price at $250 is still well below the fair value for this stock I calculated at $34. Furthermore, when I go to fiscal.ai, my preferred data provider, and retrieve the forward price to earnings ratio, Amazon is trading at near the lowest valuation. So, even though investors are getting excited about Amazon stock, I think there's significant upside ahead at these current valuations. I believe Amazon is one of the best stocks you can buy right now."
The speaker expresses a strong buy recommendation for Amazon (AMZN), emphasizing that despite current market excitement, the stock remains undervalued. Citing current trading at $250 compared to a calculated fair value of $34 (as mentioned in the transcript) and supportive forward PE data, the speaker indicates significant upside potential, particularly given robust AWS performance. This trade call highlights Amazon's profitability and growth trajectory.
UBER Best Stock Buy: Undervalued with Growth Catalysts
"So now let's take a look at valuation. So I calculated an intrinsic value per share for Uber at $132. The current market price after the 6% decline today is $94. So it looks considerably undervalued based on my DCF calculation. When I go to fiscal.ai, which is my preferred data provider, there's a link in the description if you're interested in these kinds of charts where you can get the forward price to earnings ratios. Uber's trading at a forward PE of 30, which I think is cheap for a company that's growing revenue at 20% with an asset light business model. So, I think the stock is cheap. The risks of driverless car technology disrupting its business remain. All things being considered, do I still think Uber is the best stock to buy right now? The answer is yes. I still like Uber stock. I still think it's one of the best and in fact the best stock you can buy right now."
The speaker explains that Uber is significantly undervalued based on his DCF calculation, highlighting an intrinsic value of $132 versus a current price of $94 and a forward PE of 30. He emphasizes strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements, positioning Uber as the best stock to buy despite risks from potential driverless technology disruptions. His analysis underscores both valuation catalysts and growth potential.
Nvidia Buy Amid Undervaluation Despite High Price
"And before that I bought Uber and then earlier in the year I bought Nvidia. I still feel all of those stocks are undervalued. And the most surprising one might be Nvidia. You might think Nvidia stock is overvalued because the share price has increased by so much. But the big difference between Nvidia's share price increase and some of the other ones I mentioned like Tesla, Tesla's stock price has been increasing based only on hope and enthusiasm about what they will maybe do in the future. Whereas Nvidia's stock price has been increasing based on the profits and cash flow that they're delivering right now today. They already have these products in the market that are already generating tens of billions of dollars in revenue and profit."
The speaker explains Nvidia's price rise is underpinned by strong current profits and cash flow, contrasting it with Tesla's more speculative growth. He indicates confidence in Nvidia's fundamentals, highlighting its ability to generate significant revenue and profit as a catalyst for a potential buying opportunity.
Alphabet is a Buy for Long-Term Investors
"So, I do see this as a good thing for Alphabet to be incurring debt. And I've had Alphabet rated as one of the best stocks to buy this year. And I still think that's the case. I think this is a great investment for long-term buyers. And I own the stock myself."
The speaker endorses Alphabet as a long-term buy, emphasizing that its strategic use of debt to lower its weighted average cost of capital and fund AI investments makes it an attractive opportunity. The recommendation is backed by a positive view on the stock's fundamentals and capital structure optimization.
Buy Recommendation for CAVA
"Now I also updated my discounted cash flow valuation model for Cava Group, which decreased the intrinsic value per share because the estimates for cash flow over these next few years were downgraded by Wall Street analysts that are following the company. Still, even after the downgrade, the stock looks undervalued near its 52-week low. Right now it's trading at $52 per share where I calculate the intrinsic value closer to $130 per share. So to update my recommendation for Kava Group stock, I will reiterate my buy rating for this restaurant company."
The analyst updated his DCF valuation for Cava Group, noting the stock is significantly undervalued at $52 compared to an intrinsic value of $130, and he reiterates a strong buy recommendation based on this disparity.
Downgraded SoFi from Buy to Hold Due to Stretched Valuation
"However, I think SoFi stock has gotten a little bit ahead of itself in terms of the stock price increase compared to the increase in fundamental performance of the business. You see here, my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation values this stock at around $19 a share, but the current market price is over $30 a share, $31 a share. That's why a couple of weeks ago, I downgraded SoFi stock from a buy to a hold. I'm still bullish on the long-term prospects of this company. However, at the current market prices, I think there are better risk versus reward available in the market for other companies right now."
The analyst explains that despite long-term bullish prospects, SoFi's current valuation is too stretched relative to its fundamentals, prompting a downgrade from a buy to a hold. He suggests that the risk/reward profile is less attractive at current price levels, and that investors might find better opportunities elsewhere in the near term.
Hold Call on PLTR Due to Overextended Valuation
"I've had Palunteer stock rated as a hold and following these earnings results, I will be reiterating that hold rating. It's a great company delivering excellent performance with excellent prospects for several quarters, perhaps even several years into the future, but the valuation I feel already incorporates all of those excellent prospects looking ahead several years. And so, I don't see very much upside in buying Palunteer stock today."
The speaker reiterates a hold rating on PLTR, noting that while the company delivers spectacular financial performance and growth, its stock is overvalued with a forward PE of 256. This implies limited upside potential and significant downside risk if growth metrics were to falter, cautioning investors against initiating new positions at current levels.
Trade Call: Eli Lilly
"The next stock I rated as one of the best ones to buy is Eli Liy, which is trading at a market price of $8.96. And the intrinsic value per share I calculated is $1,317. Eli Liy is gaining investor attention because of its weight loss and diabetes treatment, with the oral pill version expected to come out early next year, which is likely to open a much larger market opportunity. Despite current negative sentiment driven by the administration's stance on healthcare, I see this as an opportunity given its strong drug pipeline and historical innovation."
Trade call for Eli Lilly based on a significant intrinsic undervaluation and robust pipeline in weight loss and diabetes treatments, seen as an opportunity amid regulatory headwinds.
Trade Call: Uber
"The next on my list mentioned is Uber. The ride share and food delivery company is trading at a market price of $9953. I calculated an intrinsic value per share at $130, leaving 30% upside. I bought shares of Uber stock for my own portfolio and I'm happy with the return on investment I've seen so far, having purchased Uber shares at around $70 and seeing gains up to around $100. I rated Uber as the best stock to buy in 2025, expecting it to continue outperforming due to new customer acquisition and strategic investments addressing risks from driverless car technology."
Trade call for Uber highlighted as the top pick with clear intrinsic undervaluation and strong performance gains, despite concerns from driverless technology competition.
Trade Call: Nvidia
"Nvidia, the next of the stocks I rated as one of the best stocks to buy. I bought Nvidia stock for my portfolio at around $93 per share. Its current market price is $28 per share. Now the intrinsic value per share I calculated for Nvidia is $191. So I apply a margin of safety and this is well within the margin of safety where I can call Nvidia stock fairly valued. But furthermore, I've been increasing my estimates for Nvidia stock all year long. Seemingly every 3 months when Nvidia reports quarterly results, I revise my targets higher because Nvidia reports better than expected results, locking in orders, increasing capacity, and expanding the services it's offering to its enterprise customers."
Trade call for Nvidia based on a strong margin of safety, rising intrinsic valuation, and consistent upward revisions tied to strong quarterly performance.
Trade Call: Amazon
"I calculated an intrinsic value per share for Amazon at $38 per share. I spoke about Amazon as one of the best stocks to buy right now and the current market price is $255 while the intrinsic value per share I calculated is $38 per share. Just this morning alone, I upgraded Amazon stock because of the deal it announced with Open AAI where it will receive roughly $38 billion in cash flow in sales to its AWS segment, its most lucrative segment overall. I recently purchased Amazon stock for my own portfolio and I like the value I got for the shares I purchased and I still think it's an attractive option for long-term investors."
Trade call for Amazon emphasizing its AWS deal and a significant upgrade that underscores its attractiveness for long-term investors.
Trade Call: Alphabet
"So I mentioned Alphabet as one of the best six stocks to buy right now. And according to my discounted cash flow valuation calculation, Alphabet stock is worth $312 per share, but you could buy Alphabet stock today for $283. I've had Alphabet stock rated as one of the best six stocks to buy all year long in 2025, and I've owned Alphabet stock in my portfolio since 2020. The reason why Alphabet stock was trading so cheaply to begin 2025 is because of the risks from artificial intelligence and changing consumer behavior. However, Alphabet has effectively dealt with the changes thus far, reporting quarterly growth in its Google search business and incorporating artificial intelligence into the Google search business, as well as developing its own large language model, Google Gemini, which now has over 650 million monthly active users."
Trade call recommendation for Alphabet based on discounted cash flow valuation and robust performance in its search and AI integration despite existing risks.
Amazon Trade Call: Undervalued with Strong OpenAI Deal Catalyst
"The current market price after increasing by 5% today is up to $256. The intrinsic value per share is $295. And now investors are getting more excited about Amazon stock. I've been excited about Amazon stock for a while now, and I'm glad to have secured some shares for my portfolio earlier this year. So, great news to be sure for Amazon stock investors. I will reiterate the fact that I believe this is one of the best stocks you can buy right now. I own Amazon stock myself and I'm interested in adding more shares to my existing position."
The speaker details the impact of a new $38 billion deal with OpenAI, highlighting that Amazon's cloud services are expected to see significant free cash flow benefits. With the stock trading at $256 against an intrinsic value of $295 based on DCF analysis, he considers Amazon undervalued and expresses a strong personal intent to add more shares.
Meta Platforms Borrowing Strategy Highlights Strong Capital Fundamentals
"So, Meta Platforms is planning to sell $30 billion of investment grade bonds on Thursday, the biggest high-grade bond corporate offering of the year and the company received record orders for the debt. And what that means is demand for this debt is very strong. Uh, lenders want to purchase. Lenders want to lend money to Meta Platforms because they feel relatively comfortable about getting their money back and making a good return on their investment. So, they're happy to lend the company money. And I'm not surprised. Meta Platforms is a cash generating machine. It operates on profit margins, operating profit margins that is above 40%. Really lucrative business model, very low debt to equity ratio. So, it's a relatively safe bet for lenders to give Meta Platforms money."
The speaker explains that Meta Platforms is issuing $30 billion in bonds—a record high-grade debt offering—due to strong demand from lenders. He emphasizes that Meta's robust cash generation, high profit margins, and low debt-to-equity ratio make it a safe borrower. The analysis outlines the benefits of debt financing over equity, highlighting the lower cost of debt and its positive impact on the company's weighted average cost of capital, ultimately boosting its intrinsic value per share.
Upgrade from Sell to Hold on CHEG Amid Restructuring
"I would not want to own this stock by any stretch of the imagination. But I no longer think it's an allout sell. I no longer think this is a situation where you need to avoid it at all cost. I think there's, you know, there's a chance that it can succeed and I can't confidently say that I think this stock price will be lower 12 months from now. Now, last year I was pretty confident and to start 2025 I was really confident that the share price would be lower. I no longer feel that way. I think they've cut enough of their expense and they've changed enough of their business model that they've got a chance to succeed and so I'm upgrading their stock to a hold up from a sell. So, this is still a business that's in a poor situation. I would not want to own this stock, but I also don't think that you need to dump it if you have it at this point. Hopefully, you never owned it to begin with, but if you have it right now, yeah, I would say it's a 50/50 chance whether it would be higher one year from now or lower one year from now."
The speaker explains that although CHEG has experienced significant declines and structural challenges due to competition from Chat GPT, management's cost-cutting and restructuring measures have led him to upgrade the rating from a sell to a hold. He cautions that he would not want to initiate a position in CHEG and views holding as a 50/50 play over the next 12 months.
Buy UnitedHealth Based on DCF Undervaluation
"So, all that being said, do I still think this stock is a buy? Remember, I've had it rated as a buy for several months now. So, let's look at my updated fair value calculation for United Health. So, what you're looking at is my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model, which values a business and gives me a fair value that I think is a reasonable price to pay. And that price I calculated at $458 for United Health and the current share price is $358. So, it's still meaningfully undervalued according to my calculations. So, I will update my rating for United Health. As I noted earlier, I've had it rated as a buy and today I updated and reiterated that buy recommendation for United Health Group."
The speaker reaffirms his buy rating on UnitedHealth Group, citing a proprietary discounted cash flow model that estimates a fair value of $458 compared to the current price of $358. He underscores the stock's recovery from earlier price declines and believes upcoming price increases will help restore profit margins.
Avoid Buying IONQ Stock Pre-Earnings Update
"So, all that being said, do I think you should buy ION Q stock ahead of its investor update? I don't think so. I don't think there is any reason to rush ahead and buy the stock ahead of the investor update. I would wait for the announcement to come out, digest the results, and then make a decision after this company gives you those figures."
The speaker advises against purchasing IONQ stock ahead of its upcoming investor update. He explains that the current elevated stock price and inherent volatility before the earnings announcement increase risk, making it more prudent to wait for the earnings results before making any investment decisions.
Overvalued Robinhood: Avoid Buying Ahead of Investor Update
"So all that being said, let me share with you my valuation of Robin Hood stock. I updated my intrinsic value per share calculation today and I increased the free cash flow expectations over the next several years by a meaningful amount which increased the intrinsic value per share. Prior to the update today, I valued Robin Hood business at around $35 a share. I upgraded that value to $48 per share. But still, compared to the current market price of 145, the stock looks meaningfully overvalued. And I'm not surprised. It's been one of the most popular stocks. And when stocks become popular, overvaluation tends to follow. Look no further than Tesla, Palunteer, etc. These are several of the most expensive, most overvalued stocks in the market. And Robin Hood is approaching that territory. I would have put Robin Hood in the category of Tesla. I would put Robin Hood in the category of Palunteer, meaning that it's a business that's experiencing excellent growth and is in a great position and capitalizing on trends that are improving the fundamentals of the business. Revenue is growing, customer counts are increasing, profits are expanding. That's more similar to Palunteer and less similar to Tesla where it's going in the opposite direction, but the stock price is increasing. So, all that being said, do I think Robin Hood stock is a buy ahead of its investor update? I would say no. The share price is already soaring. I see a bigger downside than I do any upside in the upcoming earnings release."
The speaker provides a detailed valuation of Robinhood, noting an intrinsic value increase from $35 to $48 per share despite a current market price of $145, which suggests that the stock is significantly overvalued. Consequently, he advises against buying the stock ahead of its investor update, citing a greater potential downside.
Bullish Trade Call on Nvidia with a Strong Buy Recommendation
"Very exciting news for Nvidia stock investors. Of course, I'm happy about this 5% increase. I own Nvidia stock myself and I've rated Nvidia as one of the best stocks to buy right now. And I've said this about Nvidia stock all year long in 2025 and all year long in 2024 and all year long in 2023. So, I'm happy to see Nvidia stock performing well."
The speaker expresses a strong bullish outlook on Nvidia (NVDA), explicitly stating that he regards Nvidia as one of the best stocks to buy right now based on its innovative capabilities and recent positive developments, including significant collaboration with the US Department of Energy.
Buy Pinterest Stock Pre-Earnings Based on Attractive Valuation
"I've felt this year that the risk versus reward is very worthwhile. And not only did I rate Pinterest as one of the best stocks to buy, but I bought Pinterest stock for my own portfolio a few weeks ago. And then when I look at Pinterest on a forward price to earnings ratio, it's trading at a forward PE of 18, which is less than the average stock in the S&P 500, which is trading at a forward PE of around 23 to 25. So Pinterest is below even that while it's growing revenue at 20%, its profits are expanding faster, its cash flows are expanding faster, it's operating in the advertising industry, which is one of my favorite industries because of the growth potential for decades or centuries actually. And it's just the scale over $1 trillion in expected spending on advertising globally in 2026 are the early estimates for the figures. So risk versus reward, I like Pinterest and this stock is undervalued enough where I think it does make sense that you can buy before the company announces earnings. But remember, an earnings release creates increasing volatility and the share price could move much larger than it typically moves on a regular trading day."
The speaker explains that despite short-term volatility risk ahead of earnings, Pinterest trade is compelling due to its significantly undervalued price relative to an intrinsic value of over $87 compared to a current market price of $33, supported by favorable forward PE and strong revenue metrics.
Wait for AMD Earnings Before Buying Due to Overvaluation
"So given that there's elevated risks surrounding an earnings release and the valuation of AMD not being cheap, I don't see any reason for investors to rush ahead and buy AMD stock ahead of earnings. This is one of those situations where I would rather wait until after the earnings results to come out, evaluate the figures, and then make the purchase allocation."
The speaker advises investors to hold off on buying AMD stock before the upcoming earnings release, citing high risks and an overvalued price relative to the intrinsic value, despite maintaining a long-term buy rating for AMD.
Nvidia's Driverless Catalyst Amid Data Center Transition
"So for Nvidia, I've been talking about this uh driverless car technology as the next catalyst. The data centers optimized for AI are likely to continue expanding robustly for the next two to three years and then at that point there's going to be a gap between the growth rates of those data centers and it'll become more of a replacement story, as those built in 2022 and 2023 start to be replaced four, five, six years later with next generation technology. At that point, I expect that driverless car technology can be the next catalyst for Nvidia to drive growth once the growth rate of data centers starts declining."
The speaker highlights Nvidia's potential to capitalize on a turning point in data center spending. As older data centers are replaced, driverless car technology is positioned as an important catalyst for Nvidia's future growth, marking an opportunity beyond its current AI data center investments.
Positive Outlook for Uber's Driverless Technology Integration
"So, more and more news is coming out that's suggesting that there is a lot of upside for Uber with driverless car technology, but that wasn't the case starting 2025. There was so much fear surrounding Uber about how Tesla was going to develop its driverless car technology. And since Tesla was going at it alone, not partnering with anyone, it was going to take a lot of market share away from Uber. The odds are more likely that Uber harnesses the technology and moves forward incorporating driverless cars into its fleet and serving its customers. Remember, it has over 150 million monthly active platform customers."
The speaker believes that despite previous fears about Tesla's independent driverless initiatives, Uber is poised to benefit from integrating driverless technology. This integration could reduce costs related to driver payouts and leverage its massive user base to drive future growth.
PayPal Undervalued Trade Call Based on Attractive Valuation Metrics
"PayPal is trading at a forward price to earnings of 13. This is the lowest the stock has traded for going all the way back to 2019. There have been very brief moments where you've been able to buy this stock at a lower price, but those moments have been rare. Furthermore, it's trading at a forward price to earnings of 13. This is, let's say, it's 1/5th the valuation of SoFi stock. It's, um, 1/20th the valuation of a company like Palanteer or Tesla. It's 1/2 or roughly 1/2 or maybe 40% the value of the average stock in the S&P 500. So this is a cheap valuation regardless of how you measure valuation. I also measure valuation using a proprietary discounted cash flow model. And so, sorry, PayPal stock is trading at a market price of $76 even after this increase. And the intrinsic value per share I calculated is $133. So even in this valuation metric, PayPal stock looks cheap. So across the board, nearly every valuation metric I use and compare, PayPal stock looks cheap. And so when I'm looking at these kinds of performance results for a stock that this cheap makes it a really attractive investment."
The speaker highlights that PayPal (PYPL) is undervalued given its forward P/E ratio of 13, its current market price of $76, and an intrinsic value of $133. With valuation metrics comparing favorably to peers like SoFi, Tesla, and the S&P 500 average, the speaker considers the stock an attractive trade and explicitly supports a long-term buy recommendation.
Buy Recommendation on LULU Due to Undervaluation and NFL Partnership
"Lululemon's a stock I've been recommending as an undervalued growth stock you can buy right now. And I personally bought Lululemon stock for my own portfolio a few weeks ago, and even after this news and the share price rising, it's still undervalued. The current market price is $182. The intrinsic value per share I calculated for Lululemon is $255. I will reiterate my buy rating on Lululemon stock today."
The speaker reinforces his bullish stance on LULU by emphasizing its undervaluation, with a notable gap between the intrinsic value of $255 and its market price of $182. He points to the new NFL partnership as a catalyst that may boost market share and premium pricing, and reiterates his buy rating despite minor share price fluctuations.
Amazon Stock Undervalued Amid Layoffs and AI Investment
"Now does this mean investors should dump Amazon stock? Does this make Amazon stock more attractive? Uh I think more so that it makes Amazon stock more attractive because it is evidence that the company is benefiting from those investments in artificial intelligence and it can do more with the same amount of people or it can do the it can do the same amount with fewer people. And so the intrinsic value per share I calculated and updated today for Amazon is $295. The stock price is $227. So, I still see this stock as being meaningfully undervalued. I bought Amazon stock for my own portfolio a few weeks ago. And then on top of this news, we got more news over the weekend about thawing trade war negotiations between the United States and China, which of course means a whole lot for Amazon because a large percentage of the products on the Amazon platform that are sold in the United States are sourced from China. So the increase in trade barriers, the increase in tariffs will likely make a lot of those items more expensive and will likely cause a lot of disruption on the platform. None of which will be good for Amazon. It'll be negative, but it'll just depend how negative it will be. And of course, if the relations are improving, the tariff percent might not be as large and the impact might not be as negative. So all in all, I still like Amazon stock. I still think it's undervalued. These developments are mixed. It's not all positive, but overall positive. And I like Amazon a lot more today than I did over the weekend."
The speaker argues that Amazon stock is materially undervalued based on an updated intrinsic value of $295 compared to its current price of $227, citing cost efficiencies from mass layoffs and significant investment in AI initiatives. Despite mixed signals from macro factors such as rising tariffs due to trade tensions, the overall conviction remains bullish, prompting a personal portfolio buy.
Approve the $1 Trillion Pay Package to Sustain Premium TSLA Valuation
"Do I think Tesla shareholders should approve this pay package? I think yes. And I'm going to disclose my reasons why. I own a put option on Tesla stock, so I would benefit if Tesla's stock price lowers, yet I'm recommending approval because if shareholders do not approve this pay package, Tesla's stock price would go down. The only reason why Tesla stock is trading at this super premium valuation is Elon Musk's ability to market to investors, convincing them that the company will achieve massive revenue even when current fundamentals are weak. Shareholders are in a position where they almost have to approve this pay package if they want Tesla stock to trade at these super expensive valuations."
The speaker advises Tesla shareholders to approve Elon Musk's $1 trillion pay package as a necessary step to maintain the high, albeit overvalued, market cap driven primarily by Musk's marketing prowess. He highlights that if the package is rejected, the stock could drop to a more justified valuation, stressing the role of Musk in sustaining investor sentiment despite poor underlying fundamentals.
Uber: Best Stock Buy and Attractive Valuation Despite Driverless Risks
"Uber stock price is up 60% year-to date in 2025 and of course I'm happy about that. I rated Uber as the best stock to buy this year and of course I'm happy about a 60% rate of return. I also bought Uber stock for my own portfolio. So I'm benefiting from my own research. I couldn't be happier with the performance here."
The speaker explicitly endorses Uber as the best stock to buy this year, citing a 60% year-to-date return and his personal investment. He emphasizes strong fundamentals including user growth and asset-light business model, while acknowledging risks from driverless technology advancements by Tesla. Despite potential risks, his high conviction is backed by valuation metrics indicating the stock is undervalued.
Qualcomm Stock Remains a Buy Amid Data Center Expansion
"I've been rating Qualcomm stock as a buy for some time now. Certainly for all of 2025 and for most of 2024, I had Qualcomm stock rated as a buy. So, I'm happy to see the stock price gaining as my viewers have been following this company and I know many of you purchased based on my initial recommendation. The current market price is 189 while the intrinsic value is 216, and even after a 13% share price increase, the stock still looks like an attractive value."
The speaker reiterates his buy rating for Qualcomm, emphasizing its undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis and its expansion into the data center market. He highlights significant future catalysts from the new AI chips and overall confidence in the company's management to capture new market opportunities, despite past challenges in this segment.
Avoid Buying PLTR Pre-Earnings Due to Overvaluation Risk
"So to answer the question, should you buy Palunteer stock ahead of these earnings results? I would say no. I would say there is big big risk to the downside here. Should Palunteer report anything with a question mark, the stock price could fall by 20, 30, 40% easily because it's trading at such a super premium valuation. It needs to report every single quarter almost to perfection. Otherwise, the stock price could fall by 20, 30 or 40%, maybe even more."
The analyst advises against buying PLTR stock ahead of the earnings release due to its highly overvalued premium and significant downside risk if earnings disappoint. The recommendation is to wait for the post-earnings reaction before considering a purchase.
Walmart Faces Pricing Pressure Due to Tariffs
"With regard to their US pricing decisions, given tariff related cost pressures, we're doing what we said we would do, which is keeping our prices as low as we can for as long as we can. And hidden in this statement is Walmart's acknowledgement that they will not be able to keep prices the same for very much longer, but they're trying to keep it as low as they can for as long as they can, understanding that eventually they will need to raise prices because the impacts of tariffs are too large for the company to absorb. if they were to absorb all of the tariff impact without passing it along to the customer, Walmart's business will quickly turn to negative profit margins because the company doesn't generate a high enough profit margin to absorb all of the tariff impacts."
The speaker outlines how Walmart is managing its pricing in response to rising tariff-related costs. While the company is holding prices down for the moment, it acknowledges that sustained tariff pressures will eventually force a price increase to avoid negative margins. This commentary highlights potential margin compression as a risk catalyst for the stock.
Updated Buy Recommendation for TGT Amid Undervaluation and Tariff Risks
"Now, that being said, I felt for the past uh month or so that Target stock has been undervalued. I last updated my recommendation for Target stock about a month ago and today the share price still looks hugely undervalued considering the relatively I don't want to say safe but relatively safer business model of Target. The current market price is at $94.62. The intrinsic value I calculated and I updated today is $120. So you're getting a 25% undervaluation here for target stock which doesn't usually trade at this kind of undervaluation or even overvaluation. Target stock is not like some of those high-flying tech stocks where the price is volatile. This is a moment in time where it's very risky to be a Target stock investor, which is not usually the case, but I think the risk is worth the reward at current market prices."
The speaker updates his buy recommendation for Target (TGT) stock, citing a 25% undervaluation based on an intrinsic value calculation of $120 versus a current market price of $94.62. He acknowledges the inherent risks due to tariffs and geopolitical tensions but believes the potential reward justifies the risk in the current scenario.
Rivian Overvaluation Signals Caution
"Rivian's market price is over $13 a share, and I still feel this stock is overvalued. The intrinsic value I calculated for Rivian is just over $3.50. Current market price is $13. So, it's still overvalued. Even after all of these declines, even after all of these years of difficult performance, the share price remains overvalued."
The speaker outlines a clear valuation gap for Rivian, noting its current market price of over $13 compared to an intrinsic value of just over $3.50. Despite management maneuvers amidst industry headwinds and restructuring, the stock is considered overvalued, signaling a trade caution or potential sell/avoid stance for investors.
Avoid Buying AAPL Ahead of Earnings Due to High Valuation
"Apple share price is trading near its 52- week high. So even though its actual results have improved only like slightly, the stock price has reacted aggressively to the positive developments getting ahead of itself here. The share price at $264 is near the 52- week high of 265 and it's well above the intrinsic value or fair value I calculated for Apple at 215. So to answer the question, should you buy Apple stock ahead of earnings? I would say no. I would say there is no urgency to buy Apple stock ahead of earnings. I would wait until after the results come out, digest the financial results, digest the information that the company's management team provides. Learn more about the impact of tariffs and how much longer Apple can earn these exemptions uh and avoid some of these tariffs and just how large will the impacts of tariffs be on Apple moving forward."
The speaker advises investors not to purchase Apple stock before the upcoming earnings release. Despite recent improvements in sales and revenue, the stock is trading near its 52-week high and is expensive relative to its intrinsic value. The recommendation is to wait for the earnings report to better assess Apples performance and risks related to tariffs and manufacturing costs.
Intel Stock Buy Recommendation Backed by Improved Fundamentals
"And of course, I\'m happy about that because I\'ve had Intel stock rated as a buy all year long. I last updated that recommendation on October 1st. Do I still think the stock is a buy after these results? Uh the answer is yes. I still like Intel stock."
The speaker reiterates a long-standing buy rating on Intel (INTC), emphasizing the company\'s improved balance sheet, cost cutting, and strategic manufacturing investments that have reaped positive results, despite cautious future revenue forecasts.
Split Allocation Strategy for Microsoft Stock Around Earnings
"Now should you buy before or after earnings? uh I don\"t see any reason to rush in and buy before earnings. I also don\"t see any big downside for doing that. And when I\"ve encountered these situations before, the advice I give to people that ask me is what I would do is if I\"m thinking about spending, let\"s say, $1,000 for Amazon, uh why do I keep saying Amazon when talking about Microsoft? I don\"t know. Anyways, the purchase allocation, I would take the $1,000 and split it into 500 and 500 and I would buy 500 before the earnings announcement and 500 after the earnings announcement. And that way, I reduce the risks on two sides, right?"
The speaker discusses a tactical approach for purchasing Microsoft stock ahead of the earnings announcement. He suggests splitting the investment capital equally between buying before and after earnings to mitigate the risk of missing out on a strong earnings-driven rally or suffering a post-earnings decline. His advice is rooted in balancing potential upside with downside risk.
Maintaining a Buy Rating on DraftKings Amid Elevated Risks
"I had DraftKings stock rated as a buy this year. I had it rated as one of the best stocks to buy for about the first seven months of the year. And as I noticed the share price had increased and then competition was increasing. I took it off of my list of best stocks to buy and I downgraded it to just a buy. Now, as I'm following further, I'm still keeping it rated as a buy to answer the question I posed in the introduction of the video. I still keep it rated as a buy, but now it's getting closer and closer to another downgrade where I will bring it down to a hold. I'm not doing that just yet. I'm keeping a close eye on how these markets are developing."
The speaker acknowledges that DraftKings remains undervalued based on an intrinsic value calculation, but emphasizes that increased competition and evolving market dynamics are elevating risk. Although he maintains a buy rating for now, he warns that the stock could be downgraded to hold if the risks continue to mount.
Buy Rating for PayPal Based on Undervaluation and Earnings Growth
"Let me share with you my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation for PayPal. I updated this this morning and I value PayPal at an intrinsic value of $135. The current market price is only 70. So this stock looks very undervalued at the current market prices. The risks are like I mentioned that its losing market share as other companies are innovating more quickly. It risks being left behind. However, I do see the reward being worth the risk here. And so to answer the question, do I think PayPal stock is a buy before earnings? I think so. I think the answer is yes. And so I will reiterate my buy rating for PayPal stock today, October 23rd, 2025."
The speaker reiterates a buy rating for PayPal, emphasizing its undervaluation with an intrinsic value of $135 compared to a market price of 70, strong earnings per share growth, and a low forward price-to-earnings ratio. Despite risks from diminishing engagement and competitive pressures, the valuation and growth catalysts make the stock an attractive opportunity.
Meta Buy Call Based on Undervaluation and Robust Metrics
"So to answer the question, do I think Meta Stock is a buy before earnings? Well, I think the stock is meaningfully undervalued. I calculated a fair value at $857. The current price is $735. So this is one of those stocks where if you wanted to buy before earnings, I think it makes sense. You can buy before earnings or do staggered purchases over time. This is a business where I like the long-term prospects and if I were interested, I would invest incrementally to reduce timing risk."
The speaker explicitly states a buy call for META, citing a calculated fair value of $857 versus a current price of $735. He suggests that the stock is undervalued and recommends buying it either entirely before earnings or through a staged investment strategy to manage risk, emphasizing long-term prospects.
Amazon Trade Call: Buy Ahead of Earnings
"To answer the question, is Amazon stock a buy before earnings? I think so. I bought Amazon stock before earnings. It was a few weeks ago, but I guess it was before earnings. Um, if youre interested in Amazon stock, buying before earnings is fine. If you want the less risky approach, you can buy it after earnings or you can split your purchase in two and buy half before and half after. But I wouldnt mind buying ahead of earnings. Its not so uh clear-cut where I would say yes, definitely buy it before earnings. You dont want to miss out on the upside. I cant say that. I also wont say that its too expensive that you should wait until after earnings. No, I think its a buy right now."
The speaker explains his rationale for buying Amazon (AMZN) stock before earnings. He notes that while the decision isnt clear-cut, he believes buying ahead of earnings can capture the upside, citing fair value estimates and strong fundamentals, particularly in AWS and cash flow generation.
Trade Call: Wait for Earnings Before Buying SOFI Due to Overvaluation
"So, if you're interested in buying SoFi stock before they announce earnings on Tuesday, October 28th, I would say it would be more prudent to wait until after the earnings results, digest the information, and then make your purchase after seeing what the company reports. I'm okay with missing out on the upside here because I think there's much more downside following these earnings results than upside."
The speaker advises investors to avoid buying SOFI stock ahead of the upcoming earnings announcement, citing that the stock has significantly overvalued levels with a current market price well above intrinsic value and a forward PE near historical highs. He believes waiting until after the earnings report will provide clearer insights and reduce downside risk.
Positive Catalyst for Alphabet via Specialized AI Chips Deal
"All right, so Alphabet will supply up to 1 million of its specialized AI chips to Anthropic. A deal worth tens of billions of dollars that deepens its partnership with the fast growing AI startup. I did not expect this deal to be this large. So really, really positive news for Alphabet. Not only does it get tens of billions of dollars in revenue, but it also gets to scale up the manufacturing, which will lower the cost per unit and improve its competitive positioning against rivals like Nvidia."
The speaker highlights a transformative deal where Alphabet supplies specialized AI chips to Anthropic, a move that could generate tens of billions in revenue and enhance manufacturing scale and cost efficiency. This deal is seen as a significant catalyst that improves Alphabet's competitive stance in the chip market and offsets other business pressures.
McDonald's Undervalued with Strong Unit Economics
"And last but not least, McDonald's. So you have one company in financial services, you have one company in technology, and you have one company in restaurants or food delivery. McDonald's has demonstrated a capability to deliver food or provide people with food at a very low price in a very consistent way. What's also impressive about McDonald's, and I think many of you might be underestimating, is the company's use of technology to incorporate and adapt to the times and serve customers more effectively. The fair value I calculated for McDonald's is $429. Current market price is $311. So, McDonald's stock looks undervalued at these prices as well. And again, one of the things underestimated, don't underestimate McDonald's on technology, the food delivery and robotics, right?"
The speaker highlights McDonald's as an undervalued long-term investment with a fair value of $429 versus a current price of $311. Besides its competitive pricing and consistent service, the company is innovating in technology and robotics to improve service efficiency.
Microsoft as a Reliable Technology Leader
"The next stock I'm recommending here or rating as one you can buy now and hold forever is Microsoft. And I purposely selected these three in three different industries, right? ... The fair value I calculated from Microsoft is $481. The current market price is 520. I would say the business is not undervalued, but it's also not overvalued. It's in that range of between undervalued and overvalued, a place where I call a business fairly valued because I apply a margin of safety to these calculations. So, Microsoft is another one that you can buy now and hold forever."
The speaker recommends Microsoft as a long-term investment, citing its leadership in technology and AI innovation. Although its current market price of $520 is above the fair value of $481, the business is viewed as fairly valued and resilient due to its ability to adapt over the decades.
Visa Undervalued for Long-Term Hold
"So, I mentioned Visa as one of the stocks you can buy now and hold forever. What you're looking at is my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model for Visa, which calculates a fair value for the stock. And I calculate this business to be worth $467 per share. And you can buy Visa stock for $346. So, the stock is undervalued. But I will say that valuation is not as important to me when I'm looking at a stock for very long-term investment. One of the main criteria I look at for investments that I want to hold forever is that the business will be around 20 30 40 50 years from now and I feel relatively confident with Visa that they will be around 30 40 50 years from now."
The speaker presents Visa as a long-term buy, highlighting its strong market position and durability with a discounted cash flow assessment showing a fair value of $467 versus a trading price of $346, indicating undervaluation.
Company Commentary: Adobe's Valuation Amid AI Competition
"Next, let's move on to Adobe, which is trading at a current market price of 356 and the current intrinsic value, the fair value I calculated is $418. I'm forecasting Adobe's free cash flow rises from 9.2 billion to 20 billion by 2034 and the weighted average cost of capital I'm using for Adobe is 12.34%. I estimated an after tax cost of debt of 6% and I calculated a cost of equity of 13%. The reason why Adobe stock is trading at such a low valuation is because investors are concerned about competition that's utilizing artificial intelligence to gain market share in the industry. All that being said, I believe Adobe's management team is capable enough and they have the resources to incorporate the features that customers like."
The speaker discusses Adobe's current undervaluation, highlighting a fair value of $418 versus a market price of $356. Although facing competitive pressures from AI-driven rivals, he expresses confidence in Adobe's management and its ability to innovate, making it an interesting prospect for further consideration.
Trade Call: Trade Desk Offers Attractive Valuation
"And last but not least the trade desk trading at a current market price of $53 per share. The fair value I calculated for the trade desk is $67 per share. I'm estimating its free cash flow grows from 790 million in 2025 to 3.6 billion in 2034. I recently bought the Tradeesk stock and added it to my portfolio. The trade desk is trading at a cheap valuation because of increasing competition from the likes of Amazon and Netflix, yet it operates in the digital advertising industry that's estimated to reach $1 trillion in spending soon."
The speaker highlights The Trade Desk as an attractive buy at a current price of $53 versus a fair value of $67, underpinning the call with forecasts for significant free cash flow growth and long-term industry tailwinds, despite competitive pressures.
Trade Call: Buy Lululemon at Undervalued Levels
"Now, let's start with Lululemon stock. The apparel retailer, the athleisure company, is trading at a current market price of $178 per share. The fair value I calculated for Lululemon is $256, signaling that this stock is undervalued at the current market price. I'm forecasting that Lululemon's free cash flow increases from 1.36 billion in 2025 to 2.31 billion in 2034. Why are they down so much this year? Well, mostly because of tariffs. The company imports a tremendous amount of products into the United States, and higher tariffs have made their products more expensive to U.S. consumers."
The speaker recommends buying Lululemon, noting its market undervaluation compared to a calculated fair value of $256, driven by robust free cash flow growth and the impact of tariffs on pricing.
Undervalued Trade Call on Amazon (AMZN)
"The next undervalued AI stock I'm going to present is Amazon. Amazon's trading at a current market price of $219, and I calculated a fair value for the stock at $295. Of course, Amazon stock is under pressure here in 2025. It is directly exposed to the negative impacts of tariffs and that's why you're seeing Amazon stock trading at such a low valuation. Additionally, investors are concerned about the outages caused by Amazon this week. But that really hasn't had a negative impact on the company's stock price. In fact, on the day of the outage, Amazon stock price was up."
The speaker highlights Amazon as an undervalued stock trading at $219 with a calculated fair value of $295, noting that negative factors like tariffs and outages are offset by favorable trade developments. This presents an actionable buy call based on strong free cash flow projections and tailwinds in online shopping.
Meta Platforms Demonstrates Cost Discipline Amid Aggressive AI Spending
"But with Meta Platforms, the company generates so much free cash flow, right? $49 billion in free cash flow it generated in 2024 and it's estimated to generate 57 billion in free cash flow here in 2025 even after all of that aggressive spending. So I like to point this out for investors to keep this in perspective that for many years the risk with these companies was that they were generating all this cash and they didn't know what to do with it. But now with artificial intelligence, they found that category they can invest and they expect to get a good return on that investment. In fact, I expect Meta's free cash flow to rise from 57 billion all the way up to 151 billion by 2035 or roughly triple between now and then over the decade."
The speaker highlights Meta Platforms' ability to generate robust free cash flow despite its aggressive $65 billion capital expenditures on AI expansion. He underscores the discipline in cost management by noting that even with cutting 600 AI jobs, the company remains well-positioned to invest in AI initiatives. The expectation is a significant rise in free cash flow by 2035, reinforcing the company's efficient capital allocation strategy.
Robust Merchant Partnerships and Revenue Growth in CLA
"CLA's already signed some major merchants and four of the top five in fact in the US work with CLA including eBay and Walmart. So these are huge retailers that generate billions of dollars in sales. Walmart approaching 700 billion in sales. And so working with CLA offers them the access to all of their customers. So revenue in the most recently completed quarter grew to over 800 million and they have 20% growth in revenue on a like forlike basis. Transaction margin dollars before provisions for credit losses grew 19% year-over-year on a like forlike basis which was an 8 point acceleration."
The speaker outlines CLA's strong merchant partnerships and significant revenue growth, underlining the company's ability to leverage high-profile retailers to drive a virtuous cycle of customer acquisition and enhanced transaction margins.
Netflix Stock Rated as Buy Despite Earnings Miss
"So to update my recommendation, I will keep Netflix stock rated as a buy after evaluating those results. And here's an example of um why you know surrounding earnings events. Sometimes it's better to wait for the earnings to come out, digest the figures, and then make your allocation, especially when you had a company that was trading at a relatively expensive valuation going into the earnings release."
The speaker reviews Netflix's Q3 earnings where missed operating margin forecasts, due to an unexpected one-time tax expense in Brazil, led to a downgrade of its full-year margin forecast. Despite these issues, he emphasizes Netflix's structural strengths and dominant position in streaming, updating his recommendation to maintain a buy rating on NFLX.
Trade Call: Upgrade to Buy UPST with Significant Upside
"So if the company's on track and all else remains equal, the share price could rise all the way to $84 by the end of next year. That would be a nice increase from the current stock price of $52 per share. That would be an almost 60% increase in a little over one year. But what I see as a more likely scenario actually is the forward PE multiple increasing. And if we're to increase to 30, the stock price could rise to $97 a share, a much better increase closer to 80%. If the forward PE ratio were to increase to 35, a scenario I don't see as the most likely. The share price could rise to $113 per share. And that's one of the reasons why I recently upgraded Upstart Stock to a buy."
The speaker provides an actionable trade call for UPST, outlining multiple scenarios where rising forward PE multiples could drive the stock price significantly higher. He forecasts a potential increase from $52 to between $84 and $113 per share, and based on this scenario analysis, he upgraded UPST to a buy.
Buy Call on Alphabet Over Rally
"I ranked Alphabet stock as one of the best stocks to buy this year. So hopefully you saw that research and uh came to a similar conclusion as Alphabet stock has rallied. Now it's trading at a forward PE ratio of 25. It's about in the middle of where this stock has traded for according to this valuation metric going all the way back to 2016. So if you're interested in this kind of data, fisc.ai has this and much much more."
The speaker explicitly calls Alphabet (GOOG) one of the best stocks to buy, citing its current forward PE ratio of 25 which aligns with its historical valuation range. The commentary implies a bullish stance as the stock has rallied and data support from fisc.ai is noted to back up the analysis.
Bullish Commentary on Alphabet's Growing Cloud Revenue
"Okay, so I've highlighted here in their most recent quarter which ended June 30th. That's the most recent data we have available for Alphabet and their Google Cloud Business. In the same quarter that ended last year, they generated $10.3 billion in this segment, which increased to $13.6 billion most recently—a roughly 30% growth year-over-year. To put that into comparison, Amazon's web services increased by around 17%. Even though Google Cloud is still a small part of overall profitability, this deal could add north of $2 billion annually, making it great news for Alphabet stock investors."
The speaker outlines strong growth in Alphabet's Google Cloud segment with a 30% year-over-year revenue increase. He highlights the potential for a multi-year deal that could boost annual revenue by over $2 billion and compares these gains to Amazon's lower growth rate, establishing a bullish case for Alphabet.
Explicit Buy Call on PINS with Detailed Price Scenarios
"I've had Pinterest stock rated as one of the best stocks to buy all year long in 2025. And I recently bought Pinterest stock for my own portfolio. So, investors are asking me, what do I think about Pinterest stock in its upside for next year? Where do I think the stock price will end up by the end of 2026? Between $46 and $50 a share is where I think Pinterest shares end up by the end of next year. And that's one of the reasons why I bought Pinterest stock myself, and I see nice upside here for 2026."
The speaker explicitly endorses Pinterest (PINS) as a top buy, sharing that he recently added it to his portfolio. He outlines a scenario analysis based on forward PE multiples and earnings estimates, suggesting that if trends hold, the stock could reach between $46 and $50 by the end of next year. Key catalysts include improvements in AI-driven advertising, positioning the company for better revenue per user.
Amazon Stock Price Target and Trade Position
"So if we combine these two and we think that everything is on track and remains the same, nothing changes and the company moves forward progressing towards the $922 in earnings per share and the market values the company at a forward PE of 31.22. In that scenario, Amazon stock price could end next year at $287.85. That would be a nice increase from the current market price of $21642 as I'm recording this video. As an Amazon shareholder myself, I bought Amazon stock roughly 3 weeks ago. I would be grateful for that return on investment."
The speaker presents a model-based price target for Amazon stock next year, using the company's EPS estimate and forward PE ratio. He highlights a base scenario of $287.85 per share, notes potential upside if multiples expand, and acknowledges downside risks. His recent purchase of Amazon stock reinforces his bullish conviction despite potential negatives.
SoFi Stock Forecast with Mixed Catalysts and Risk
"So all that being said, where do I see SoFi stock by the end of next year? Well, I still think SoFi stock is most likely to move higher, but with substantial risk. And so, I see the share price rising to between $35 a share and $40 per share by the end of next year. But this is going to come with significant risk. The downside could be much more. And the upside could also be much more. Its a high risk, high-reward type situation for SoFi stock investors next year."
The speaker outlines his forecast for SoFi, stating that while the stock has performed strongly and is expected to move higher based on various forward PE scenarios, there are significant risks from a slowing economy and potential defaults in its lending portfolio. He projects the stock price to reach between $35 and $40 by the end of next year, highlighting a high risk, high-reward situation.
TSMC Margin Dilution Forecast Raises Longer-Term Caution
"So here's the comments that I'm talking about from Taiwan Semiconductors management team in the company's earnings call with Wall Street analysts late last week. They now expect the gross margin dilution from the ramp up of our overseas fabs to be closer to 2% in the second half of 2025 and 1 to 2% for the full year, compared to the previous estimate of 2 to 3%. But then, just as quickly as Taiwan Semiconductor gets your hopes up, they then put your hopes down by forecasting a 2 to 3% hit in the early stages and 3 to 4% in the later stages as more production moves overseas."
The speaker highlights TSMC's earnings call where management forecast a lower-than-expected margin dilution for 2025, but warned that as more production shifts overseas, the gross margin dilution will climb to between 2% and 4% over the coming years. This commentary cautions investors to temper short-term optimism with longer-term margin pressures.
Adobe Stock Rated as a Buy with Upside Potential
"If nothing changes, forward PE stays the same, earnings per share stays the same, the stock price could rise to $393 per share by the end of next year. Overall, I like the risk versus reward for investors and the upside here for Adobe is nice and the downside here I think is relatively limited given its already very low record low forward PE multiples. I have Adobe stock rated as a buy and my estimate for 2026 suggests meaningful upside for investors in Adobe."
The speaker delivers an actionable trade call on Adobe stock, citing its current low forward P/E ratio and favorable earnings estimates as catalysts for a price increase. He outlines a scenario where, if fundamentals remain unchanged, Adobe could reach $393 per share, with even higher targets if the forward PE expands. Despite acknowledging potential risks from AI-driven competition, he maintains a bullish view and rates Adobe as a buy.
Apple Stock Rated as Hold Due to Overvaluation and Headwinds
"So, I looked at the valuation and looked at the risks and said that it didn't look like a good situation for Apple. And revisiting that situation right now, I don't see very much difference. Apple has improved its customer value proposition with the latest lineup of iPhones giving consumers a bigger reason to upgrade and switch in their older iPhones. But the headwinds have gotten much worse with the increased geopolitical tension and the valuation is also still stretched because it's trading at a 52-week high. It's trading at $263 a share right now and the 52-week high is $264. The intrinsic value I calculate is $215. So, even applying a margin of safety to the current market price compared to the intrinsic value, the stock looks slightly overvalued. And with all these additional risks, I don't see a reason to buy Apple stock right now. So, I would say no. This doesn't look like a buy. I have Apple stock rated as a hold."
The speaker assesses that despite recent positive news on iPhone sales, Apple stock remains overvalued due to its near all-time high price, significant headwinds like geopolitical tensions, and supply chain risks. With an intrinsic value estimate of $215 versus a trading price of $263, the speaker concludes that there is no compelling reason to buy Apple stock right now and thus rates it as a hold.
Positive Margin Outlook Amid Diversification Risks
"Looking ahead, the company's forecasting fourth quarter revenue to be about $33 billion. That would be a 1% increase from the previous quarter or a 22% increase from the same quarter last year at the midpoint. They are also forecasting their gross profit margin to come in at 60% which is much better than I was expecting. Taiwan Semiconductor, as I mentioned, is diversifying its manufacturing base outside of Taiwan, expanding into the United States, into Japan, into Europe, and production in those regions is much more costly than production in its home country in Taiwan. But so far the margins have not declined by what the company was expecting. So far, the results have been better than expected on the cost front for these facilities."
The speaker highlights TSMC's optimistic outlook with a forecasted Q4 revenue of approximately $33 billion and a strong gross profit margin of 60%, contrary to expectations of a decline due to costlier global diversification. This commentary emphasizes that early results have shown less margin erosion than anticipated, reducing downside risks.
Do Not Buy Intel Stock Ahead of Earnings Due to Stretched Valuation and Volatility
"So, to answer the question, should investors buy Intel stock going into the earnings release? I don't see any urgency to do that. And especially when you combine the fact that the earnings release and the trading days following the earnings release tend to bring the most volatility to a stock price, with the additional volatility surrounding an earnings release coupled with the fact that the valuation already looks stretched, I would say no. I wouldn't be buying Intel stock ahead of the earnings release. I would wait for the figures to come out. Take some time to digest the financial figures and the updates from management."
The speaker advises against buying Intel stock before the earnings release, citing the heightened volatility typically seen post-earnings along with a stretched valuation relative to his intrinsic value calculation. He suggests waiting for the earnings figures and management updates to drive a more informed decision.
Oracle Stock Rated as a Buy with Early Entry Advantage
"Of course, I"m happy about Oracle success. I"ve had Oracle stock rated as a buy all year long and I identified this stock early on when no one else was talking about Oracle. I rated Oracle in fact as one of the best stocks to buy this year in 2025 and I made that recommendation around January. I took it, I since took it off my list of best stocks to buy roughly a month ago after the stock price had increased by so much already. I downgraded it from one of the best stocks to buy and I kept it rated as a buy and still the company has performed extremely well and I"m happy about its success and I"m happy for all of you that I"ve made money on Oracle stock."
The speaker highlights his long-standing conviction in Oracle, rating it as a buy and one of the best stocks for 2025. He emphasizes that he entered early before widespread attention, later removing it from his top list after significant price appreciation, yet maintaining a buy rating due to strong performance.
Updated Buy Recommendation for Roku
"So, now let's look at the company's valuation. And according to my discounted cash flow model, Roku's business is worth $11 per share. The current market price is $95. So, applying a margin of safety, this stock looks fairly valued using my proprietary discounted cash flow model. And then going back to fiscal.ai, which is my preferred data source, I'm using the forward price to operating cash flow for Roku because the company's earnings per share is more volatile. So, I'm using the forward OCF price to OCF. And this number at 18 looks undervalued for Roku given its prospects and the longer-term tailwinds for the streaming industry. This stock looks overall comprehensively slightly undervalued based on current market prices. So, I still like the business and even at current market prices, I like the long-term opportunity for investors. So, I will update my buy recommendation for Roku stock today."
The speaker updates his buy recommendation for Roku citing a discounted cash flow model that values the stock at $11 per share compared to a market price of $95, and a forward operating cash flow multiple at 18. He considers Roku slightly undervalued due to its long-term growth prospects in the streaming industry, reinforcing a bullish stance on the company.
China Sales Decline as a Catalyst
"But it wasn't all good news for ASML and ASML stock investors. They do expect to see China customer demand and therefore their total net sales in China to decline significantly in 2026 compared to their very strong business there in 2024 and 2025. So, they're telling investors they saw outsized sales in 24 and 25 and they expect that to decline significantly in 2026. This could be many customers front-loading their purchases of ASML products in China, fearful of inventory availability or restrictions, etc. And so, they frontloaded, they bought as much as they could get their hands on."
The speaker notes that ASML is expecting a significant decline in net sales in China in 2026 compared to previous years due to customers front-loading their purchases. This commentary adds a risk factor to consider for the stock, reflecting potential headwinds from reduced sales in that particular market.
Downgrade ASML from Buy to Hold
"I had ASML stock rated as a buy all year long in 2025. But yesterday, I downgraded ASML stock to a hold because of the rapid increase in share price and because of the valuation difference. Now, where I no longer see this stock as where coming into the year was closer to being fairly valued. It's now overvalued in my opinion according to my DCF calculation and when measuring on a forward price to earnings calculation."
The speaker explains a downgrade on ASML stock from a buy to a hold, citing the rapid increase in share price and overvaluation relative to his discounted cash flow model as main reasons for the change in rating.
Boeing Stock Rated as Hold Due to Overvaluation
"So, I've calculated a fair value for this business using my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model of $161 per share. The current market price is $212 per share after the stock is down about 2% today. I see this business even after applying a margin of safety, I see this business being overvalued. On top of that, I've also decreased the company's beta by multiplying it by 0.85 because I see this business as being less risky than the beta suggests. Still, the stock looks overvalued and I'm not rating this business as a buy. In fact, to update my recommendation, I'm keeping Boeing stock rated as a hold."
The speaker assigns a fair value of $161 per share to Boeing versus its current trading price of $212, indicating the stock is overvalued. Despite improvements in manufacturing efficiency and reduced beta assumptions to reflect lower future risk, the overvaluation leads to a hold rating rather than a buy recommendation.
Buy United Health Group at Attractive Valuation
"So, if Hims and Hers and United Health were trading at the same valuation, Hims and Hers would be the better stock to buy. But they're not trading at the same valuation. The stock market is full of individuals that are savvy and have identified Hims and Hers as one of the excellent growth stocks in the market today and it trades at a premium valuation. By the way, these charts I was getting from fiscal.ai and there's a link in the description. If I was to pick between these two, the valuation makes the biggest difference and I would choose United Health, United Health Group as the better stock to buy right now at the current market prices."
The speaker compares United Health Group and Hims & Hers, ultimately recommending United Health because its valuation is more attractive despite Hims & Hers' higher growth rate. The analysis highlights that UNH is trading at a lower forward PE with an intrinsic value gap, making it a better immediate buy move.
Luminar Technologies Faces Operational Challenges Amid Slower Adoption
"So, one of the challenges Luminar Technologies faces is the slower adoption of driverless technology. And as a result of that slower adoption than anticipated, the company is losing a lot more money. And so, they're reviewing the business to increase operational discipline and reduce expenses and cash burn. They are exiting non-core initiatives like their data and insurance businesses areas that are not aligned with their near-term priorities or path to scale. And these actions are expected to reduce their operating expense by nearly 23 million in gross rate annual savings in 2026."
The speaker highlights Luminar Technologies' challenges with slower-than-expected adoption of driverless technology, which has led to higher losses. In response, the company is restructuring by cutting non-core operations and shifting production to boost operational discipline. Despite these challenges, there is a hint of optimism that focusing on core activities might eventually benefit the company.
Strong Fundamentals and Growth Catalysts for Palantir
"Palantir has grown revenue from 600 million to 3.4 billion, and its return on invested capital soared from negative 130% to almost 50%. Additionally, major contracts with Boeing and the UK Ministry of Defense have boosted its backlog."
The commentary highlights Palantir's impressive operational turnaround, including accelerated revenue growth, marked improvement in profitability metrics, and several strategic contract wins. These elements underline the company's robust business fundamentals and free cash flow growth potential, although the high current valuation tempers the trade call.