Parkev Tatevosian, CFA
YouTube channel feed
Total Ideas
35
With Returns
12
Equal-Weighted Return
+0.38%
All Ideas (35)
35 Total
Maintaining a Buy Rating on DraftKings Amid Elevated Risks
"I had DraftKings stock rated as a buy this year. I had it rated as one of the best stocks to buy for about the first seven months of the year. And as I noticed the share price had increased and then competition was increasing. I took it off of my list of best stocks to buy and I downgraded it to just a buy. Now, as I'm following further, I'm still keeping it rated as a buy to answer the question I posed in the introduction of the video. I still keep it rated as a buy, but now it's getting closer and closer to another downgrade where I will bring it down to a hold. I'm not doing that just yet. I'm keeping a close eye on how these markets are developing."
The speaker acknowledges that DraftKings remains undervalued based on an intrinsic value calculation, but emphasizes that increased competition and evolving market dynamics are elevating risk. Although he maintains a buy rating for now, he warns that the stock could be downgraded to hold if the risks continue to mount.
Buy Rating for PayPal Based on Undervaluation and Earnings Growth
"Let me share with you my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation for PayPal. I updated this this morning and I value PayPal at an intrinsic value of $135. The current market price is only 70. So this stock looks very undervalued at the current market prices. The risks are like I mentioned that its losing market share as other companies are innovating more quickly. It risks being left behind. However, I do see the reward being worth the risk here. And so to answer the question, do I think PayPal stock is a buy before earnings? I think so. I think the answer is yes. And so I will reiterate my buy rating for PayPal stock today, October 23rd, 2025."
The speaker reiterates a buy rating for PayPal, emphasizing its undervaluation with an intrinsic value of $135 compared to a market price of 70, strong earnings per share growth, and a low forward price-to-earnings ratio. Despite risks from diminishing engagement and competitive pressures, the valuation and growth catalysts make the stock an attractive opportunity.
Meta Buy Call Based on Undervaluation and Robust Metrics
"So to answer the question, do I think Meta Stock is a buy before earnings? Well, I think the stock is meaningfully undervalued. I calculated a fair value at $857. The current price is $735. So this is one of those stocks where if you wanted to buy before earnings, I think it makes sense. You can buy before earnings or do staggered purchases over time. This is a business where I like the long-term prospects and if I were interested, I would invest incrementally to reduce timing risk."
The speaker explicitly states a buy call for META, citing a calculated fair value of $857 versus a current price of $735. He suggests that the stock is undervalued and recommends buying it either entirely before earnings or through a staged investment strategy to manage risk, emphasizing long-term prospects.
Amazon Trade Call: Buy Ahead of Earnings
"To answer the question, is Amazon stock a buy before earnings? I think so. I bought Amazon stock before earnings. It was a few weeks ago, but I guess it was before earnings. Um, if youre interested in Amazon stock, buying before earnings is fine. If you want the less risky approach, you can buy it after earnings or you can split your purchase in two and buy half before and half after. But I wouldnt mind buying ahead of earnings. Its not so uh clear-cut where I would say yes, definitely buy it before earnings. You dont want to miss out on the upside. I cant say that. I also wont say that its too expensive that you should wait until after earnings. No, I think its a buy right now."
The speaker explains his rationale for buying Amazon (AMZN) stock before earnings. He notes that while the decision isnt clear-cut, he believes buying ahead of earnings can capture the upside, citing fair value estimates and strong fundamentals, particularly in AWS and cash flow generation.
Trade Call: Wait for Earnings Before Buying SOFI Due to Overvaluation
"So, if you're interested in buying SoFi stock before they announce earnings on Tuesday, October 28th, I would say it would be more prudent to wait until after the earnings results, digest the information, and then make your purchase after seeing what the company reports. I'm okay with missing out on the upside here because I think there's much more downside following these earnings results than upside."
The speaker advises investors to avoid buying SOFI stock ahead of the upcoming earnings announcement, citing that the stock has significantly overvalued levels with a current market price well above intrinsic value and a forward PE near historical highs. He believes waiting until after the earnings report will provide clearer insights and reduce downside risk.
Positive Catalyst for Alphabet via Specialized AI Chips Deal
"All right, so Alphabet will supply up to 1 million of its specialized AI chips to Anthropic. A deal worth tens of billions of dollars that deepens its partnership with the fast growing AI startup. I did not expect this deal to be this large. So really, really positive news for Alphabet. Not only does it get tens of billions of dollars in revenue, but it also gets to scale up the manufacturing, which will lower the cost per unit and improve its competitive positioning against rivals like Nvidia."
The speaker highlights a transformative deal where Alphabet supplies specialized AI chips to Anthropic, a move that could generate tens of billions in revenue and enhance manufacturing scale and cost efficiency. This deal is seen as a significant catalyst that improves Alphabet's competitive stance in the chip market and offsets other business pressures.
McDonald’s Undervalued with Strong Unit Economics
"And last but not least, McDonald's. So you have one company in financial services, you have one company in technology, and you have one company in restaurants or food delivery. McDonald's has demonstrated a capability to deliver food or provide people with food at a very low price in a very consistent way. What's also impressive about McDonald's, and I think many of you might be underestimating, is the company's use of technology to incorporate and adapt to the times and serve customers more effectively. The fair value I calculated for McDonald's is $429. Current market price is $311. So, McDonald's stock looks undervalued at these prices as well. And again, one of the things underestimated, don't underestimate McDonald's on technology, the food delivery and robotics, right?"
The speaker highlights McDonald’s as an undervalued long-term investment with a fair value of $429 versus a current price of $311. Besides its competitive pricing and consistent service, the company is innovating in technology and robotics to improve service efficiency.
Microsoft as a Reliable Technology Leader
"The next stock I'm recommending here or rating as one you can buy now and hold forever is Microsoft. And I purposely selected these three in three different industries, right? ... The fair value I calculated from Microsoft is $481. The current market price is 520. I would say the business is not undervalued, but it's also not overvalued. It's in that range of between undervalued and overvalued, a place where I call a business fairly valued because I apply a margin of safety to these calculations. So, Microsoft is another one that you can buy now and hold forever."
The speaker recommends Microsoft as a long-term investment, citing its leadership in technology and AI innovation. Although its current market price of $520 is above the fair value of $481, the business is viewed as fairly valued and resilient due to its ability to adapt over the decades.
Visa Undervalued for Long-Term Hold
"So, I mentioned Visa as one of the stocks you can buy now and hold forever. What you're looking at is my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model for Visa, which calculates a fair value for the stock. And I calculate this business to be worth $467 per share. And you can buy Visa stock for $346. So, the stock is undervalued. But I will say that valuation is not as important to me when I'm looking at a stock for very long-term investment. One of the main criteria I look at for investments that I want to hold forever is that the business will be around 20 30 40 50 years from now and I feel relatively confident with Visa that they will be around 30 40 50 years from now."
The speaker presents Visa as a long-term buy, highlighting its strong market position and durability with a discounted cash flow assessment showing a fair value of $467 versus a trading price of $346, indicating undervaluation.
Company Commentary: Adobe's Valuation Amid AI Competition
"Next, let's move on to Adobe, which is trading at a current market price of 356 and the current intrinsic value, the fair value I calculated is $418. I'm forecasting Adobe's free cash flow rises from 9.2 billion to 20 billion by 2034 and the weighted average cost of capital I'm using for Adobe is 12.34%. I estimated an after tax cost of debt of 6% and I calculated a cost of equity of 13%. The reason why Adobe stock is trading at such a low valuation is because investors are concerned about competition that's utilizing artificial intelligence to gain market share in the industry. All that being said, I believe Adobe's management team is capable enough and they have the resources to incorporate the features that customers like."
The speaker discusses Adobe's current undervaluation, highlighting a fair value of $418 versus a market price of $356. Although facing competitive pressures from AI-driven rivals, he expresses confidence in Adobe's management and its ability to innovate, making it an interesting prospect for further consideration.
Trade Call: Trade Desk Offers Attractive Valuation
"And last but not least the trade desk trading at a current market price of $53 per share. The fair value I calculated for the trade desk is $67 per share. I'm estimating its free cash flow grows from 790 million in 2025 to 3.6 billion in 2034. I recently bought the Tradeesk stock and added it to my portfolio. The trade desk is trading at a cheap valuation because of increasing competition from the likes of Amazon and Netflix, yet it operates in the digital advertising industry that's estimated to reach $1 trillion in spending soon."
The speaker highlights The Trade Desk as an attractive buy at a current price of $53 versus a fair value of $67, underpinning the call with forecasts for significant free cash flow growth and long-term industry tailwinds, despite competitive pressures.
Trade Call: Buy Lululemon at Undervalued Levels
"Now, let's start with Lululemon stock. The apparel retailer, the athleisure company, is trading at a current market price of $178 per share. The fair value I calculated for Lululemon is $256, signaling that this stock is undervalued at the current market price. I'm forecasting that Lululemon's free cash flow increases from 1.36 billion in 2025 to 2.31 billion in 2034. Why are they down so much this year? Well, mostly because of tariffs. The company imports a tremendous amount of products into the United States, and higher tariffs have made their products more expensive to U.S. consumers."
The speaker recommends buying Lululemon, noting its market undervaluation compared to a calculated fair value of $256, driven by robust free cash flow growth and the impact of tariffs on pricing.
Undervalued Trade Call on Amazon (AMZN)
"The next undervalued AI stock I'm going to present is Amazon. Amazon's trading at a current market price of $219, and I calculated a fair value for the stock at $295. Of course, Amazon stock is under pressure here in 2025. It is directly exposed to the negative impacts of tariffs and that's why you're seeing Amazon stock trading at such a low valuation. Additionally, investors are concerned about the outages caused by Amazon this week. But that really hasn't had a negative impact on the company's stock price. In fact, on the day of the outage, Amazon stock price was up."
The speaker highlights Amazon as an undervalued stock trading at $219 with a calculated fair value of $295, noting that negative factors like tariffs and outages are offset by favorable trade developments. This presents an actionable buy call based on strong free cash flow projections and tailwinds in online shopping.
Meta Platforms Demonstrates Cost Discipline Amid Aggressive AI Spending
"But with Meta Platforms, the company generates so much free cash flow, right? $49 billion in free cash flow it generated in 2024 and it's estimated to generate 57 billion in free cash flow here in 2025 even after all of that aggressive spending. So I like to point this out for investors to keep this in perspective that for many years the risk with these companies was that they were generating all this cash and they didn't know what to do with it. But now with artificial intelligence, they found that category they can invest and they expect to get a good return on that investment. In fact, I expect Meta's free cash flow to rise from 57 billion all the way up to 151 billion by 2035 or roughly triple between now and then over the decade."
The speaker highlights Meta Platforms' ability to generate robust free cash flow despite its aggressive $65 billion capital expenditures on AI expansion. He underscores the discipline in cost management by noting that even with cutting 600 AI jobs, the company remains well-positioned to invest in AI initiatives. The expectation is a significant rise in free cash flow by 2035, reinforcing the company’s efficient capital allocation strategy.
Robust Merchant Partnerships and Revenue Growth in CLA
"CLA's already signed some major merchants and four of the top five in fact in the US work with CLA including eBay and Walmart. So these are huge retailers that generate billions of dollars in sales. Walmart approaching 700 billion in sales. And so working with CLA offers them the access to all of their customers. So revenue in the most recently completed quarter grew to over 800 million and they have 20% growth in revenue on a like forlike basis. Transaction margin dollars before provisions for credit losses grew 19% year-over-year on a like forlike basis which was an 8 point acceleration."
The speaker outlines CLA's strong merchant partnerships and significant revenue growth, underlining the company's ability to leverage high-profile retailers to drive a virtuous cycle of customer acquisition and enhanced transaction margins.
Netflix Stock Rated as Buy Despite Earnings Miss
"So to update my recommendation, I will keep Netflix stock rated as a buy after evaluating those results. And here's an example of um why you know surrounding earnings events. Sometimes it's better to wait for the earnings to come out, digest the figures, and then make your allocation, especially when you had a company that was trading at a relatively expensive valuation going into the earnings release."
The speaker reviews Netflix's Q3 earnings where missed operating margin forecasts, due to an unexpected one-time tax expense in Brazil, led to a downgrade of its full-year margin forecast. Despite these issues, he emphasizes Netflix's structural strengths and dominant position in streaming, updating his recommendation to maintain a buy rating on NFLX.
Trade Call: Upgrade to Buy UPST with Significant Upside
"So if the company's on track and all else remains equal, the share price could rise all the way to $84 by the end of next year. That would be a nice increase from the current stock price of $52 per share. That would be an almost 60% increase in a little over one year. But what I see as a more likely scenario actually is the forward PE multiple increasing. And if we're to increase to 30, the stock price could rise to $97 a share, a much better increase closer to 80%. If the forward PE ratio were to increase to 35, a scenario I don't see as the most likely. The share price could rise to $113 per share. And that's one of the reasons why I recently upgraded Upstart Stock to a buy."
The speaker provides an actionable trade call for UPST, outlining multiple scenarios where rising forward PE multiples could drive the stock price significantly higher. He forecasts a potential increase from $52 to between $84 and $113 per share, and based on this scenario analysis, he upgraded UPST to a buy.
Buy Call on Alphabet Over Rally
"I ranked Alphabet stock as one of the best stocks to buy this year. So hopefully you saw that research and uh came to a similar conclusion as Alphabet stock has rallied. Now it's trading at a forward PE ratio of 25. It's about in the middle of where this stock has traded for according to this valuation metric going all the way back to 2016. So if you're interested in this kind of data, fisc.ai has this and much much more."
The speaker explicitly calls Alphabet (GOOG) one of the best stocks to buy, citing its current forward PE ratio of 25 which aligns with its historical valuation range. The commentary implies a bullish stance as the stock has rallied and data support from fisc.ai is noted to back up the analysis.
Bullish Commentary on Alphabet's Growing Cloud Revenue
"Okay, so I've highlighted here in their most recent quarter which ended June 30th. That's the most recent data we have available for Alphabet and their Google Cloud Business. In the same quarter that ended last year, they generated $10.3 billion in this segment, which increased to $13.6 billion most recently—a roughly 30% growth year-over-year. To put that into comparison, Amazon's web services increased by around 17%. Even though Google Cloud is still a small part of overall profitability, this deal could add north of $2 billion annually, making it great news for Alphabet stock investors."
The speaker outlines strong growth in Alphabet's Google Cloud segment with a 30% year-over-year revenue increase. He highlights the potential for a multi-year deal that could boost annual revenue by over $2 billion and compares these gains to Amazon's lower growth rate, establishing a bullish case for Alphabet.
Explicit Buy Call on PINS with Detailed Price Scenarios
"I've had Pinterest stock rated as one of the best stocks to buy all year long in 2025. And I recently bought Pinterest stock for my own portfolio. So, investors are asking me, what do I think about Pinterest stock in its upside for next year? Where do I think the stock price will end up by the end of 2026? Between $46 and $50 a share is where I think Pinterest shares end up by the end of next year. And that's one of the reasons why I bought Pinterest stock myself, and I see nice upside here for 2026."
The speaker explicitly endorses Pinterest (PINS) as a top buy, sharing that he recently added it to his portfolio. He outlines a scenario analysis based on forward PE multiples and earnings estimates, suggesting that if trends hold, the stock could reach between $46 and $50 by the end of next year. Key catalysts include improvements in AI-driven advertising, positioning the company for better revenue per user.
Amazon Stock Price Target and Trade Position
"So if we combine these two and we think that everything is on track and remains the same, nothing changes and the company moves forward progressing towards the $922 in earnings per share and the market values the company at a forward PE of 31.22. In that scenario, Amazon stock price could end next year at $287.85. That would be a nice increase from the current market price of $21642 as I'm recording this video. As an Amazon shareholder myself, I bought Amazon stock roughly 3 weeks ago. I would be grateful for that return on investment."
The speaker presents a model-based price target for Amazon stock next year, using the company’s EPS estimate and forward PE ratio. He highlights a base scenario of $287.85 per share, notes potential upside if multiples expand, and acknowledges downside risks. His recent purchase of Amazon stock reinforces his bullish conviction despite potential negatives.
SoFi Stock Forecast with Mixed Catalysts and Risk
"So all that being said, where do I see SoFi stock by the end of next year? Well, I still think SoFi stock is most likely to move higher, but with substantial risk. And so, I see the share price rising to between $35 a share and $40 per share by the end of next year. But this is going to come with significant risk. The downside could be much more. And the upside could also be much more. Its a high risk, high-reward type situation for SoFi stock investors next year."
The speaker outlines his forecast for SoFi, stating that while the stock has performed strongly and is expected to move higher based on various forward PE scenarios, there are significant risks from a slowing economy and potential defaults in its lending portfolio. He projects the stock price to reach between $35 and $40 by the end of next year, highlighting a high risk, high-reward situation.
TSMC Margin Dilution Forecast Raises Longer-Term Caution
"So here's the comments that I'm talking about from Taiwan Semiconductors management team in the company's earnings call with Wall Street analysts late last week. They now expect the gross margin dilution from the ramp up of our overseas fabs to be closer to 2% in the second half of 2025 and 1 to 2% for the full year, compared to the previous estimate of 2 to 3%. But then, just as quickly as Taiwan Semiconductor gets your hopes up, they then put your hopes down by forecasting a 2 to 3% hit in the early stages and 3 to 4% in the later stages as more production moves overseas."
The speaker highlights TSMC's earnings call where management forecast a lower-than-expected margin dilution for 2025, but warned that as more production shifts overseas, the gross margin dilution will climb to between 2% and 4% over the coming years. This commentary cautions investors to temper short-term optimism with longer-term margin pressures.
Adobe Stock Rated as a Buy with Upside Potential
"If nothing changes, forward PE stays the same, earnings per share stays the same, the stock price could rise to $393 per share by the end of next year. Overall, I like the risk versus reward for investors and the upside here for Adobe is nice and the downside here I think is relatively limited given its already very low record low forward PE multiples. I have Adobe stock rated as a buy and my estimate for 2026 suggests meaningful upside for investors in Adobe."
The speaker delivers an actionable trade call on Adobe stock, citing its current low forward P/E ratio and favorable earnings estimates as catalysts for a price increase. He outlines a scenario where, if fundamentals remain unchanged, Adobe could reach $393 per share, with even higher targets if the forward PE expands. Despite acknowledging potential risks from AI-driven competition, he maintains a bullish view and rates Adobe as a buy.
Apple Stock Rated as Hold Due to Overvaluation and Headwinds
"So, I looked at the valuation and looked at the risks and said that it didn't look like a good situation for Apple. And revisiting that situation right now, I don't see very much difference. Apple has improved its customer value proposition with the latest lineup of iPhones giving consumers a bigger reason to upgrade and switch in their older iPhones. But the headwinds have gotten much worse with the increased geopolitical tension and the valuation is also still stretched because it's trading at a 52-week high. It's trading at $263 a share right now and the 52-week high is $264. The intrinsic value I calculate is $215. So, even applying a margin of safety to the current market price compared to the intrinsic value, the stock looks slightly overvalued. And with all these additional risks, I don't see a reason to buy Apple stock right now. So, I would say no. This doesn't look like a buy. I have Apple stock rated as a hold."
The speaker assesses that despite recent positive news on iPhone sales, Apple stock remains overvalued due to its near all-time high price, significant headwinds like geopolitical tensions, and supply chain risks. With an intrinsic value estimate of $215 versus a trading price of $263, the speaker concludes that there is no compelling reason to buy Apple stock right now and thus rates it as a hold.
Positive Margin Outlook Amid Diversification Risks
"Looking ahead, the company's forecasting fourth quarter revenue to be about $33 billion. That would be a 1% increase from the previous quarter or a 22% increase from the same quarter last year at the midpoint. They are also forecasting their gross profit margin to come in at 60% which is much better than I was expecting. Taiwan Semiconductor, as I mentioned, is diversifying its manufacturing base outside of Taiwan, expanding into the United States, into Japan, into Europe, and production in those regions is much more costly than production in its home country in Taiwan. But so far the margins have not declined by what the company was expecting. So far, the results have been better than expected on the cost front for these facilities."
The speaker highlights TSMC's optimistic outlook with a forecasted Q4 revenue of approximately $33 billion and a strong gross profit margin of 60%, contrary to expectations of a decline due to costlier global diversification. This commentary emphasizes that early results have shown less margin erosion than anticipated, reducing downside risks.
Do Not Buy Intel Stock Ahead of Earnings Due to Stretched Valuation and Volatility
"So, to answer the question, should investors buy Intel stock going into the earnings release? I don't see any urgency to do that. And especially when you combine the fact that the earnings release and the trading days following the earnings release tend to bring the most volatility to a stock price, with the additional volatility surrounding an earnings release coupled with the fact that the valuation already looks stretched, I would say no. I wouldn't be buying Intel stock ahead of the earnings release. I would wait for the figures to come out. Take some time to digest the financial figures and the updates from management."
The speaker advises against buying Intel stock before the earnings release, citing the heightened volatility typically seen post-earnings along with a stretched valuation relative to his intrinsic value calculation. He suggests waiting for the earnings figures and management updates to drive a more informed decision.
Oracle Stock Rated as a Buy with Early Entry Advantage
"Of course, I"m happy about Oracle success. I"ve had Oracle stock rated as a buy all year long and I identified this stock early on when no one else was talking about Oracle. I rated Oracle in fact as one of the best stocks to buy this year in 2025 and I made that recommendation around January. I took it, I since took it off my list of best stocks to buy roughly a month ago after the stock price had increased by so much already. I downgraded it from one of the best stocks to buy and I kept it rated as a buy and still the company has performed extremely well and I"m happy about its success and I"m happy for all of you that I"ve made money on Oracle stock."
The speaker highlights his long-standing conviction in Oracle, rating it as a buy and one of the best stocks for 2025. He emphasizes that he entered early before widespread attention, later removing it from his top list after significant price appreciation, yet maintaining a buy rating due to strong performance.
Updated Buy Recommendation for Roku
"So, now let's look at the company's valuation. And according to my discounted cash flow model, Roku's business is worth $11 per share. The current market price is $95. So, applying a margin of safety, this stock looks fairly valued using my proprietary discounted cash flow model. And then going back to fiscal.ai, which is my preferred data source, I'm using the forward price to operating cash flow for Roku because the company's earnings per share is more volatile. So, I'm using the forward OCF price to OCF. And this number at 18 looks undervalued for Roku given its prospects and the longer-term tailwinds for the streaming industry. This stock looks overall comprehensively slightly undervalued based on current market prices. So, I still like the business and even at current market prices, I like the long-term opportunity for investors. So, I will update my buy recommendation for Roku stock today."
The speaker updates his buy recommendation for Roku citing a discounted cash flow model that values the stock at $11 per share compared to a market price of $95, and a forward operating cash flow multiple at 18. He considers Roku slightly undervalued due to its long-term growth prospects in the streaming industry, reinforcing a bullish stance on the company.
China Sales Decline as a Catalyst
"But it wasn't all good news for ASML and ASML stock investors. They do expect to see China customer demand and therefore their total net sales in China to decline significantly in 2026 compared to their very strong business there in 2024 and 2025. So, they're telling investors they saw outsized sales in 24 and 25 and they expect that to decline significantly in 2026. This could be many customers front-loading their purchases of ASML products in China, fearful of inventory availability or restrictions, etc. And so, they frontloaded, they bought as much as they could get their hands on."
The speaker notes that ASML is expecting a significant decline in net sales in China in 2026 compared to previous years due to customers front-loading their purchases. This commentary adds a risk factor to consider for the stock, reflecting potential headwinds from reduced sales in that particular market.
Downgrade ASML from Buy to Hold
"I had ASML stock rated as a buy all year long in 2025. But yesterday, I downgraded ASML stock to a hold because of the rapid increase in share price and because of the valuation difference. Now, where I no longer see this stock as where coming into the year was closer to being fairly valued. It's now overvalued in my opinion according to my DCF calculation and when measuring on a forward price to earnings calculation."
The speaker explains a downgrade on ASML stock from a buy to a hold, citing the rapid increase in share price and overvaluation relative to his discounted cash flow model as main reasons for the change in rating.
Boeing Stock Rated as Hold Due to Overvaluation
"So, I've calculated a fair value for this business using my proprietary discounted cash flow valuation model of $161 per share. The current market price is $212 per share after the stock is down about 2% today. I see this business even after applying a margin of safety, I see this business being overvalued. On top of that, I've also decreased the company's beta by multiplying it by 0.85 because I see this business as being less risky than the beta suggests. Still, the stock looks overvalued and I'm not rating this business as a buy. In fact, to update my recommendation, I'm keeping Boeing stock rated as a hold."
The speaker assigns a fair value of $161 per share to Boeing versus its current trading price of $212, indicating the stock is overvalued. Despite improvements in manufacturing efficiency and reduced beta assumptions to reflect lower future risk, the overvaluation leads to a hold rating rather than a buy recommendation.
Buy United Health Group at Attractive Valuation
"So, if Hims and Hers and United Health were trading at the same valuation, Hims and Hers would be the better stock to buy. But they're not trading at the same valuation. The stock market is full of individuals that are savvy and have identified Hims and Hers as one of the excellent growth stocks in the market today and it trades at a premium valuation. By the way, these charts I was getting from fiscal.ai and there's a link in the description. If I was to pick between these two, the valuation makes the biggest difference and I would choose United Health, United Health Group as the better stock to buy right now at the current market prices."
The speaker compares United Health Group and Hims & Hers, ultimately recommending United Health because its valuation is more attractive despite Hims & Hers' higher growth rate. The analysis highlights that UNH is trading at a lower forward PE with an intrinsic value gap, making it a better immediate buy move.
Luminar Technologies Faces Operational Challenges Amid Slower Adoption
"So, one of the challenges Luminar Technologies faces is the slower adoption of driverless technology. And as a result of that slower adoption than anticipated, the company is losing a lot more money. And so, they're reviewing the business to increase operational discipline and reduce expenses and cash burn. They are exiting non-core initiatives like their data and insurance businesses areas that are not aligned with their near-term priorities or path to scale. And these actions are expected to reduce their operating expense by nearly 23 million in gross rate annual savings in 2026."
The speaker highlights Luminar Technologies' challenges with slower-than-expected adoption of driverless technology, which has led to higher losses. In response, the company is restructuring by cutting non-core operations and shifting production to boost operational discipline. Despite these challenges, there is a hint of optimism that focusing on core activities might eventually benefit the company.
Strong Fundamentals and Growth Catalysts for Palantir
"Palantir has grown revenue from 600 million to 3.4 billion, and its return on invested capital soared from negative 130% to almost 50%. Additionally, major contracts with Boeing and the UK Ministry of Defense have boosted its backlog."
The commentary highlights Palantir's impressive operational turnaround, including accelerated revenue growth, marked improvement in profitability metrics, and several strategic contract wins. These elements underline the company’s robust business fundamentals and free cash flow growth potential, although the high current valuation tempers the trade call.