YouTube channel feed (https://www.youtube.com/feeds/videos.xml?channel_id=UCMiJUXvEpHHW5JTnW-ez9EA)
Total Ideas
12
With Returns
4
Equal-Weighted Return
+1.36%

"I didn't buy GE because it's cheap. I bought it because the quarter was strong, the setup was clean, and the riskreward was impressive. That's what I wait for. On Friday, I sent out a trade alert when I bought GE. Not because I'm guessing, because it showed up on my brand new post-earnings hottock list. And that list is fire. It filters for highquality businesses with monster quarters, clean technicals, and post-earnings bullishness. GE popped. I was ready. This wasn't a buy the dip play. It wasn't a hype spike. It was a slow, steady, post-earnings grind into a momentum squeeze backed by expanding margins and rising free cash flow. The kind of setup I absolutely love."
The speaker details a trade call for GE Aerospace, emphasizing its strong post-earnings performance, clean technical setup, and robust recurring cash flow from engine servicing, making it a high conviction long position.

"I sold my Tesla positions back in January when the fundamentals started breaking down, margin shrinking, competition rising, and the story getting louder than the numbers. Since then, I've made better returns in companies with stronger margins and clearer growth. I'm staying out for now. I want to see real margin recovery, real cost discipline, and proof that the energy and AI bets can scale profitably. Until then, I'm watching, not buying. If you're holding Tesla long-term, fine, but it should be a small slice of a diversified portfolio, not the centerpiece, because this kind of stock doesn't crash gently. It snaps when sentiment flips."
The speaker explicitly notes that they sold their Tesla positions due to deteriorating fundamentals such as shrinking margins, rising costs, and intensifying competition. They advise investors to avoid allocating significant capital to Tesla until there is clear evidence of margin recovery and cost discipline. The recommendation is to remain cautious with Tesla, limiting exposure despite its profitability and cash reserves.

"s talk about the real question here. Is Nvidia still a good long-term investment? Let"
The speaker provides a balanced commentary on Nvidia's long-term potential by highlighting its dominant market position, superior financial metrics, and strategic moat, while also acknowledging inherent risks such as reliance on TSMC and geopolitical factors.

"Now, let's break it down. First, the $176 level. That's not just a random number. It's where the majority of volume has occurred over the last 6 months. Big money has been loading up right there. Nvidia has built a massive support level at 176, and currently, we're consolidating around $182, which makes the risk low and the upside wide open. When you get all three at once, you don't hesitate. You execute. Because the market doesn't reward opinions, it rewards positioning."
The speaker outlines a strong buying opportunity for Nvidia, emphasizing a key support level at $176 and consolidation near $182. The analysis cites heavy volume buildup and a momentum squeeze that signals an exceptional risk-to-reward setup, prompting immediate action.

"TSMC isn\"t cheap because it\"s weak. It\"s cheap because people don\"t know how to price dominance under political pressure. And the longer that misunderstanding exists, the more upside you get. This isn\"t a momentum stock. This is a control asset. And when investors finally figure that out, they stop treating it like a trade and start treating it like infrastructure."
The speaker argues that TSMC is undervalued not due to any operational weakness but because investors misprice its dominance amid geopolitical fears. They highlight that as the market corrects this misunderstanding, the stock’s upside could be significant, making it more of an infrastructure play than a typical cyclical semiconductor.

"So, what am I doing right now? TSMC is pulling back, not because the business is broken, but because the market is uncertain. That's the gap real investors live in. I'm watching, waiting, and when the indicators flash green, I'm buying. Small size, core position, long hold. This is not a trade. It's a long-term bet on the infrastructure behind AI."
The speaker outlines a strategy to buy TSMC when technical indicators confirm market compression, positioning the stock as a long-term infrastructure play in the midst of geopolitical undervaluation. The emphasis is on waiting for confirmation rather than chasing short-term green candles.

"And heres the bare case. Revenue is distorted. Cash flow is deeply negative. Profit is driven by unrealized Bitcoin gains and isnt coming from real operations. The AI side isnt generating genuine revenue yet, and key contracts are missing from the books because of accounting tweaks. That lack of transparency makes it hard to value the business and raises the risk of being completely wrong. This shell game between real growth and nothing shows why most investors miss the hidden dangers in the headline numbers."
The speaker provides a detailed commentary on the companys financials, noting that while headline figures appear impressive, underlying financial distortions and hidden risks persist. Revenue numbers are distorted with significant non-operational profit driven by unrealized Bitcoin gains. Additionally, the AI segment has yet to produce real revenue, and key contracts are obscured by accounting methods, increasing valuation risk.

"So, lets get this out of the way. Im bullish on the business, but Im not chasing the stock here. In the last 6 months, the stock has rocketed up 306%. Im looking to build a position the right way, either on a pullback or through consolidation where the risk gets reset. This is not a core position. This is a high-risk, high-reward name that could explode higher or get chopped in half. So, Im treating it that way with tight sizing and a clear plan. Right now, Im going to sell cash secured puts where the math is stacked in my favor. Im getting paid to wait and if the stock pulls back into my levels, Ill get assigned into a price I actually want to own."
The speaker outlines a trade call on HUD8 by selling cash secured puts. He explains that despite the stock's 306% surge in the last six months, he prefers to build a position on a pullback or during consolidation. The strategy highlights tight position sizing and a clear plan to enter at a more attractive price, positioning it as a high-risk, high-reward opportunity.

"And the last stock we want to look at today is going to be Nvidia. And I want to jump right over here to our risk management bar. So, let's say your account is $10,000. You want to risk no more than 5%, which is $500. So, the question is, will I risk $38 and buy three shares for $567? This $38 comes from where you'd put your trail stop, and that trail stop is 7%. Our target price would be 208.41, risk-to-reward 1.5, and our profit per share would be $19.13. So, if you're a new or seasoned investor, you can set this up, and all of the thinking is almost done for you right here. Looking at the chart, we can see we've got major support right here coming in around $176. So, potential buy points would be at the 176 or if it bounces off this 20-day EMA. And we can also be looking for buy signals. And one thing to notice here, notice how it's gone sideways here for almost 2 months. Before, we had all kinds of buy signals. Well, my indicators are doing all of the work for us."
The speaker provides an explicit trade call for Nvidia, detailing a systematic approach to risk management and entry points. He outlines specific metrics including a target price of 208.41, a trail stop of 7% ($38 risk), a risk-to-reward ratio of 1.5, and potential support at $176. The explanation emphasizes using technical indicators to time entries and exits, aiming for a disciplined, rule-based strategy.

"So, here's the bottom line. If AMD hits their numbers, grows margin, and locks in ecosystem support, this will be one of the best performing tech stocks of the next decade. But they don't have a moat yet. They're building one on the fly. This is not a stock you buy and forget. This is one you watch closely. It's execution that separates winners from headlines."
The speaker highlights how AMD's new OpenAI deal transforms its future revenue trajectory by converting a mere chip sale into a strategic partnership. While underscoring the potential for AMD to become a top-performing tech stock if it executes successfully, he cautions that the current high valuation (PE 117) and unproven ecosystem moat make the investment conditional, suggesting a watchful approach for any pullback before a trade is initiated.

"Now, here\'s where most people get this wrong. They look at the cash and assume strength. But raising money doesn\'t fix execution. It just delays judgment... And when you see a company torch $200 million in non-cash charges, write off $70.6 million in goodwill, and face a concentrated $380 million backlog mostly in government work, it\'s a clear signal that the fundamentals are deteriorating."
The commentary highlights significant risks for BigBear.ai, including a heavily concentrated government backlog that could rapidly evaporate due to contract disruptions, along with worsening margins and massive non-cash charges. This paints a picture of a company that has bought time with cash but has not turned around its operational challenges.

"So, for me, this isn\'t a position. Not until I see revenue stabilize, margins expand, and execution start matching the story. My thesis on Big Bear AI right now is neutral with elevated downside risk."
The speaker advises against taking a position in BigBear.ai (BBAI) at this time due to declining revenues, shrinking margins, and an execution gap despite having a record cash balance. The recommendation is to avoid buying until the company demonstrates a turnaround in operational performance.