Daily Podcast Recordings
YouTube channel feed (https://www.youtube.com/feeds/videos.xml?playlist_id=PLqb8v7HuIngqBJb-s0eOT9GHwZL5RQqOT)
Total Ideas
35
With Returns
18
Equal-Weighted Return
-1.02%
All Ideas (35)
35 Total
Market Reaction to Intel's Earnings Beat
"Look at Intel. Shares gained after the company delivered a stronger than expected Q3 with both earnings and guidance beating Wall Street estimates up 8%. And if you don't, Decker is an example. The shares tumbled 12% despite delivering a Q2 beat. They beat, but it's a softer full-year guidance. That's the problem. The market is priced for perfection."
The speaker compares Intel's robust earnings and guidance, which led to an 8% gain, against other companies that underperformed despite beats, highlighting market intolerance for anything less than perfection.
Apple's Modest YTD Performance Affecting Portfolio
"Why? I know why. It's because of Apple. Apple year to date. By the way, we can look at this. Apple year to date. It's up 4% 3.66%. What's the S&P up? Let's just track it against the S&P. The S&P year to date up 14%. If 50% of my portfolio is in Apple and I'm coming close year to date to the S&P, I'm not beating it. That means the rest of my portfolio, which is heavy in alpha picks, is really outpacing the S&P."
The speaker points out that Apple's modest year-to-date gains, when weighed heavily in a portfolio, may be limiting overall outperformance relative to the broader market index.
Caution on Tesla Post-Earnings
"We went over Tesla. They had their earnings. I said, "Hey, the stock's not going to do much." Well, it pulled back and then it was the top MAG7 name yesterday in the market. It pulled up 4hour algorithm has you in here at 443 to 447 right now. Is this going to be one of the 37% winners that actually beats buy and hold? Maybe your average win is 16%. I don't trust it."
The speaker expresses skepticism regarding Tesla's ability to outperform following its earnings, citing technical levels and past average wins as reasons for caution.
Trading Strategy Discussion on CIFFR via AI Tools
"I want to ask Trendpider Sidekick to find me a strategy for trading CIFFR stock. Can you help me write a prompt that will help it find a strategy? I'd like to focus on moving averages and indicators along with known catalyst like news or earnings. Ask me any questions you need to know before proceeding. This is a highly volatile play. Cipher can move 10% in a day. Without stop losses, you're basically playing Russian roulette with five bullets in the chamber, but that's how we roll."
The speaker demonstrates using AI tools to craft a trading strategy specifically for CIFFR, warning about its volatility and the inherent risks of the stock without proper risk management.
Holding PSIX with a Long-Term Plan
"I got an email yesterday. I got several emails this week about stocks. One in particular asked me about PSIX. They said, "Hey, are you still in PSIX because I'm thinking of trimming it today." I wrote back, "Yes, I own it. I own it for a specific reason. I own it. I'm down on this one. I'm not up on this one. This one's at 83. They almost trimmed it yesterday. It's up 4%. This was at about 77 yesterday. And I hope that person didn't sell. I hope they still have it. And if they sold, I hope they journaled about this. Because it's a trade for me.""
The speaker discusses receiving inquiries about trimming his position in PSIX but defends holding the stock as a long-term trade, emphasizing the importance of journaling trades and maintaining conviction in his strategy.
DPST: Triple-Leveraged ETF Trade Call Amid Bank Stress
"The third thing that I said was I got an alert from DPST. I had made this public. I said, "Hey, DPST because of the regional bank issues last week. We've seen this before. This was last year, the year before when Silicon Valley Bank went bust and you saw a huge surge in DPST off of that drop. This one went from $80 to $650 during that run. It was super simple. Again, a triple leveraged ETF. And you can see the alert right there is the buy in the 4hour algorithm.""
The speaker highlights a trade alert for DPST, a triple-leveraged ETF, triggered by regional bank issues reminiscent of the Silicon Valley Bank episode. He recalls historical moves from $80 to $650 and indicates that the 4hour algorithm has signaled a buy, suggesting a tactical trading opportunity based on prior momentum during banking stress.
Tesla: Waiting for a Lower Entry Post-Earnings
"Tesla earnings. I will give you a reason to own Tesla stock. Tesla's stock is down what 3 or 4% today. Let's see. Tesla's down 3.68%. 4hour algorithm got you in at 443. I said before this I don't trust this particular buy and I'm not buying. I have identified my range that I like in here. As it gets down closer to this range, I'll start buying. But I will give you a reason to own the stock later in the show. You don't own this for car deliveries. You don't own this for gross margins right now. You own it for one thing and that one thing will come up later in the show."
The speaker discusses Tesla (TSLA) earnings, noting a 3.68% drop and his reluctance to buy immediately. He emphasizes that he has a target range in mind and plans to start buying when the price approaches that range, highlighting that his rationale for owning Tesla is not based on operational metrics but future catalysts tied to CEO compensation and growth.
Caution on Buying Apple at All-Time Highs
"Hell no. I'm not buying at an all-time high."
The speaker discusses his strategy regarding his Apple position. He explains that despite having a large stake, he is not inclined to buy additional shares at 263, an all-time high, and prefers waiting for a pullback to around 260 to ensure a better risk-reward entry.
Trade Call to Add Netflix Ahead of Earnings
"41 right there"
The speaker indicates a need to add to his Netflix position in anticipation of earnings on October 21st. Although he expresses capital constraints, the alert and his intention to buy before earnings suggest a short-term trade opportunity.
Bullish Company Commentary on Amazon
"The first thing, Amazon, it's a top five position in my portfolio. And I want to acknowledge the internet was shut down yesterday. If you were affected by this outage, own the company. Because if you're bitching about Snapchat not being available, about some of your apps not being available, it's because of Amazon. That's how big AWS is. You want to own a company that can shut the world down."
The speaker underscores Amazon's dominant market position and resilience during a major internet outage, noting its highly rated quant score and emphasizing that owning Amazon gives you exposure to a company capable of impacting global connectivity.
Trade Call on PWL via the 4-Hour Algorithm
"Well, Gary, you brought this one up yesterday. How did I know?"
The speaker emphasizes that PWL was a strong performer based on his 4-hour algorithm. He explicitly recalls that if you had used his algorithm, you would have bought PWL at 244 on August 11th following a golden cross, suggesting a high-conviction entry.
Day Trading Call: Buy the Dip in QQQ
"Now, if you look at a monthly chart of QQQ, and I'm just going over this is what you should be doing. The dips are getting bought on a five-minute chart. Whether it's the light shaded area, which is after hours, or during the day, the dips are being bought. And where are we today? Well, if you bought in the after hours on Thursday, way down here, $591, you're up again. QQQ looks like it's a buy the dip. And you can use some of these other indicators to find out when you should buy. The MACD was way down here at 4:15 on October 17th. The RSI went all the way down to 17 overbought. If you're day trading this, boom, buy it. Buy it again."
The speaker discusses QQQ with a focus on technical indicators and intraday chart patterns. He notes that buying on dips—especially after hours at around $591—could be profitable as technical signals like the MACD and RSI support a dip-buying strategy for day traders.
Trade Call on Oracle (ORCL) Below $300
"And Oracle, I had said this, hey, get Oracle under $300. I've said get Oracle under $300. It was a good one. Want to know why? This one pumped. I mean, let's look at the chart on this one. Because the chart on this one, this one pumped all the way up to $321. Okay, I'm sorry. 322 just last week. And it's going to pump. It's going to cover this gap down, but as you enter this gap and you get down here under $300, I still think that this is a good stock to buy."
The speaker recommends buying Oracle if it dips below $300, citing its recent strong upward movement and potential to cover the gap. The call is supported by technical chart observations and recent price action.
Trade Call on DPST (Triple Leveraged Regional Banks ETF)
"I wrote on Friday that I was looking to buy DPST. What is DPST? It is a triple leveraged ETF on the regional banks. I want to buy the dip. So I set an alert and Trend Spider. Hey, tell me when this is a buy in the 4hour algorithm. Now, does it beat buy and hold? You bet. Over the last two years, it makes 160. This is a triple leveraged ETF. You should not be holding. It should not beat buy and hold. This is a decaying asset. And yet DPST has beaten buy and hold. It wins 43% of the time."
The speaker details a trade call for DPST, a triple leveraged ETF on regional banks. He emphasizes buying the dip using technical alerts from a 4-hour algorithm and highlights its historical performance against buy-and-hold strategies, despite its intrinsic decay.
Taiwan Semi as a Must-Buy in the AI-Driven Market
"Conviction in the AI mega trend is strengthening."
The speaker emphasizes the bullish outlook on Taiwan Semi driven by the AI mega trend. He notes the stock's long-standing strong buy rating, its historical doubling from the $175 level, and expresses a clear investment conviction by stating that although he does not currently own it, investors should consider buying it.
GCT Warehouse Visit Reaffirms Strong Fundamentals
"I contacted the company and asked, "Do you mind if I go visit your warehouse tomorrow?" With only one day’s notice, they agreed. When I visited, it was like walking into a super Walmart—the shelves were stacked high with inventory and you couldn’t fit a pencil between them. I spoke with the manager who explained, "The trucks don’t come during the day; they come at night." This experience made it clear that the negative reports based solely on a parking lot observation were misleading."
Steve Crest recounts his proactive visit to the GCT warehouse after a negative short report. His firsthand observation, which contradicted the short seller’s parking lot claims, reaffirmed the company’s robust inventory and operational fundamentals, bolstering his confidence in their data-driven ratings.
Partial Profit Taking on Palo Alto Networks
"One of my best decisions lately was I took half of my PaloAlto position because that's bumping right up. And I don’t know if you use technical trading at all in your research, but we use momentum indicators which have been very predictive. So far, I think during the time period, PaloAlto Networks is up 5%. You could be upset that I did that, but it’s up 240-250% somewhere in that neighborhood."
Steve Crest explains his decision to partially take profits on his Palo Alto Networks holding. He cited technical indicators and momentum as key factors behind the move, noting that despite a modest short-term gain of about 5%, the stock has delivered an impressive overall return of 240-250%.
Hold MP Amid US Rare Earth Rally
"MP is up 8%. It was up 8% on Friday... It's a hold in the quant. Why? The valuation is stretched. The profitability is stretched. Wall Street, they think it's worth $77. That's where it's trading right now."
The speaker offers commentary on MP, a company in the rare earth space, noting recent gains and overall government support but cautioning that its valuation and profitability are stretched. The recommendation is to hold the stock.
Buy and Hold BMNR after 11% Drop
"the biggest stock movers on Monday, BMNR. This one was down like 11% though. So, it's not like you're, you know, you're totally up on this. For me, it's a buy and hold."
The speaker identifies BMNR, which dropped 11%, as a buying opportunity and recommends a buy-and-hold strategy, implying confidence in its recovery.
Closed-End Fund Discount Opportunity in JQC
"In closed-end funds like JQC, the net asset value is shown right there. For example, it is trading at $5.35 while the NAV is $5.64, showing a discount of 5%. Ask perplexity what that means it could be a good buying opportunity."
The analyst points out a potential opportunity in the closed-end fund JQC, which is trading at a 5% discount to its net asset value. This detail, highlighted through new premium tools, suggests that investors may want to evaluate JQC as an income-generating opportunity.
Netflix: Hold for Now and Look to Add on a Dip
"Netflix is a hold according to the quant. However, if it dips under $1,000, I will be loading into this. I think the cancel culture movement is overblown, and this dip could be an opportunity."
The discussion around Netflix (NFLX) is mixed. While the quant model currently signals a hold, the analyst views any dip below $1,000 as a potential buying opportunity, dismissing the current cancel culture concerns as overblown.
Comparative Commentary on SoFi Versus Robinhood
"SoFi drops for the seventh straight day. It hasn’t taken off the way Robinhood has, yet I like SoFi. If their growth continues their phenomenal 29% growth, I think SoFi is going to take off, despite their higher valuation."
The analyst compares SoFi (SOFI) with Robinhood, noting that while Robinhood has seen explosive gains, SoFi appears to be lagging. Despite its expensive valuation, the analyst remains optimistic about SoFi if its growth momentum continues, suggesting it could be an interesting opportunity.
Sell Call on Underperforming Trading Desk Stock
"The worst performer, the Trading Desk, is showing a short-term 200-day moving average down and a 50-day crossing down. It was a sell in the quant, and I should have sold this a long time ago."
The analyst presents a clear sell signal for a stock referred to as "Trading Desk" due to its deteriorating technical indicators, including declining long-term and short-term moving averages. The recommendation is to exit or avoid this stock.
Buy Signal on Eli Liy with $900 Price Target
"Eli Liy makes 53% versus a buy and hold of 49%. I think it's going to get up there to $900. I would consider buying around $825 with a bottom at $795 and a target around $900."
The analyst outlines a detailed trade call for a pharma stock, referred to as "Eli Liy" (assumed ticker LLY), suggesting an entry around $825 with a price target of $900 and a potential add-on near $795 if it dips further. The rationale is based on both technical gap fills and a change in valuation dynamics.
Mastercard Underperforming With Strong November Catalyst
"Mastercard has the highest average November return at 5.9% with a 74% win rate while underperforming SPY by about 5% year-to-date. Boom. Put it on a watch list."
Mastercard (MA) is noted for its robust November performance, showing an average return of 5.9% and a 74% win rate, albeit currently underperforming the broader market by 5% YTD. This discrepancy presents a potential short-term trade opportunity.
Buy UNH for Q4 Seasonal Mean Reversion
"UNH has the strongest overall Q4 seasonality with all three months showing 65% win rate. Yet, it's dramatically underperforming with a minus 31% year-to-date return. If you’re looking for mean reversion with strong seasonal tailwinds, this one stands out. Put it on a watch list."
The analyst highlights UnitedHealth Group (UNH) as an attractive short-term opportunity. Despite a -31% YTD return, its strong Q4 seasonal win rate of 65% suggests a potential mean reversion play that could benefit from seasonal tailwinds.
Buy the dip in Capital One Financial (COF) on pullbacks
"Capital One Financial, COF. You'll remember I brought this up because Stephanie Link, who I fully respect, went over the numbers, loves the stock, and bought the stock. She bought the stock. So, she's saying, "Hey, in my portfolio, I like this one." Well, guess what? You're getting it well below where she bought it."
The host highlights Capital One Financial (COF) as a potential buy-on-dip opportunity. Citing a strong quant score of 4.91 out of 5 and a favorable ranking (number two in finance stocks), he suggests that investors consider getting into COF if it pulls back further.
Technical Support Commentary on Tesla
"First one it found is Tesla. You can see the month of July did nothing and then you took off. Now, is that a correction one? Maybe. Does it have more room to go? I would say on the weekly as you're getting past this, if you can hold the 400 mark, I think you're good for going higher."
The speaker provides a technical analysis of Tesla, suggesting that if the stock maintains the 400 level as support, there is potential for further upside in the near term.
Adding to Carnival Cruise Line Position on Dip
"Carnival Cruise Line, they reported earnings last week, 10th straight quarter of record revenue, and they lifted their outlook. ... It's still a strong buy in the quant. I will be looking to add to this position."
The speaker highlights Carnival Cruise Line as a compelling trade based on record revenue, an upgraded outlook, and supportive quant signals, indicating plans to add to the position on a dip.
Long-Term Buy Opportunity at Coinbase on Dip
"Then you've got Coinbase. Okay, this is a bet on crypto. Yes, it's overvalued. But guess where the biggest inflows in ETFs were over the last 6 months? It's crypto ETFs. It's IBIT. It's ETHA. And so it's a very simple, hey, the 4hour algorithm makes me about as much as buy and hold. It got me out here. I don't want to get out here. I think the base is putting in right around 300. So if it dips down to 280, I'm buying more. A long-term buy and hold."
The speaker outlines Coinbase as a long-term buying opportunity despite acknowledging its overvaluation, citing strong ETF inflows and a support level around 280 as an attractive entry point for accumulation.
Bullish Buy the Dip on HOOD
"Hood. This was up 12% yesterday. I just got a signal to buy more. You can see it right there. Buy $136.71. Am I going to buy? You damn well know I'm going to buy. This is a buy the dip for me. If it pulls back to 80, I'm okay. I will just add more."
The speaker explicitly recommends buying further into HOOD during a dip, noting an initial entry signal around $136.71 with plans to add more if the price retreats to $80, emphasizing a buy-the-dip strategy.
IEN's Technical Strength Amid Pullback
"I bought IEN around 17 and although it's now trading at 43, the MACD and RSI suggest continued strength and a potential rebound."
The host reflects on his experience with IEN, noting significant gains and emphasizing its strong technical indicators despite a recent pullback. He advises that while the chart remains attractive, investors should objectively review the current technical signals.
Alpha Pix Portfolio: SSRM as a Standout Gold Stock Pick
"June they picked SSRM. It was an alpha pick back then and it's been a strong performer, up 87% in the portfolio with quant ratings showing a strong buy signal since it was at $10."
The host provides commentary on SSRM within the Alpha Pix portfolio, noting its impressive performance and top ranking (number one of 47 gold stocks). Despite its high current valuation, SSRM remains highlighted for its strong quantitative buy signal.
Open Door Short Squeeze Opportunity
"Open Door has 22% short interest and as it pumps up, it starts to squeeze because the shorts have to get out again. I haven't gotten in yet, but if the market starts taking it down, it might be time to get into this one."
The host highlights Open Door as a potential short squeeze candidate. With 22% short interest and a history of rapid upward movement during squeezes, the stock is framed as a tactical trade if a pullback occurs.
Technical Trade on BMNR Below $50
"Another one that I love is BMNR. Wall Street says it's a strong buy, but there's one analyst that covers this. They think it's worth 60 bucks while it's trading at 52 right now. This is a technical trade, and if it dips below 50, it seems like a pretty good buy."
The host presents BMNR as a technical trade opportunity. Despite limited fundamental insights, the stock is trading near a key technical level with a target valuation of $60, making it an attractive entry point if a dip below $50 occurs.