Speculative Trade Call on Nibius
"I really like it as a speculative investment, you could say. I think this is a speculative investment in general. It would not be a core holding of mine. I would not put in, let's say, 10% of my portfolio, go all in stock. I would buy a small position if I ever bought Nibius because it's really cheap at three times 2026 guidance for such revenue growth. And if I'm right, I make a lot of money. Even if I'm wrong, I don't lose too much."
The analyst outlines a speculative trade call on Nibius, emphasizing its massive revenue growth and attractive valuation relative to its 2026 guidance. Despite acknowledging concerns about the capex-heavy business model, the analyst recommends taking a small position to capitalize on the strong contracts with Microsoft and Meta.
Strong Holiday Catalyst Makes TTD a Buy
"Now, it's time for stock number one, TTD, the Trade Desk. TTD is now trading at just under a 70% discount from its highs reached in December of last year. We are hitting key support levels in the low 40s that TTD has for years, proving to be a great buy. The current drop has much more to do with short-term macro fear and rate cut delays, not long-term fundamentals. With a major holiday catalyst and digital ad spend trends coming in, I believe TTD is a very solid buy."
The speaker presents a compelling trade call for TTD, highlighting its steep discount relative to historical highs and strong support levels. Supported by a robust holiday ad spend season and favorable digital advertising trends, TTD is recommended as a high-conviction buy with minimal long-term downside.
The Trade Desk – Oversold, Misunderstood, and Too Cheap to Ignore
"It’s been a tough stretch for The Trade Desk (TTD) in most of 2025, with shares down 64% YTD and 67% over the last twelve months. For years, TTD held a leadership position in the open internet and CTV ad-tech stack, but that dominance has come under question. Amazon’s recent ramp-up of its DSP efforts, integrating Prime Video inventory and signing a major CTV ad deal with Netflix, has sparked fears that TTD’s opportunity set is shrinking. There’s no denying that, at least at first glance, the TTD investment thesis has become more complicated."
It’s been a tough stretch for The Trade Desk (TTD) in most of 2025, with shares down 64% YTD and 67% over the last twelve months. After years of near-flawless execution, the company’s stock has come under heavy pressure this year as a mix of adverse developments sparked concerns about its long-term competitiveness in the increasingly crowded digital advertising industry. For one, growth has slowed meaningfully. After years of 25%+ expansion, revenue growth has cooled to the high teen
Buy Call on The Trade Desk (TTD)
"So, to put it all together, do I think the Trade Desk stock is a buy on this dip? I think so. Yes. It's trading near its 52-week low. And while the risks are elevated, the upside is huge. And I like this business. The way they've been able to demonstrate capability and effectiveness and growing market share in a very attractive industry, the advertising industry, and the most attractive part of the advertising industry, which is the digital advertising industry. They've been buying back shares, signaling the management team thinks the shares are undervalued with a $500 million buyback authorization. I own Tradeesk stock myself and I'm interested in adding more shares. I will reiterate my buy rating for this business today."
The speaker expresses a bullish view on The Trade Desk (TTD), emphasizing that despite elevated risks from competition and decelerating revenue growth, the stock is trading near its 52-week low and appears undervalued based on its valuation metrics and active share repurchase program. He indicates that this presents a buying opportunity, and he is personally interested in adding to his position.
Trade Call: Trade Desk Offers Attractive Valuation
"And last but not least the trade desk trading at a current market price of $53 per share. The fair value I calculated for the trade desk is $67 per share. I'm estimating its free cash flow grows from 790 million in 2025 to 3.6 billion in 2034. I recently bought the Tradeesk stock and added it to my portfolio. The trade desk is trading at a cheap valuation because of increasing competition from the likes of Amazon and Netflix, yet it operates in the digital advertising industry that's estimated to reach $1 trillion in spending soon."
The speaker highlights The Trade Desk as an attractive buy at a current price of $53 versus a fair value of $67, underpinning the call with forecasts for significant free cash flow growth and long-term industry tailwinds, despite competitive pressures.
Understanding The Trade Desk's Competitive Dynamics
"In my opinion, the market has gotten this one wrong in two ways: The ad-tech market has made TTD out to be a villain The financial markets are fixated on the next quarter and missing the bigger competitive picture Nonetheless, the opportunity for TTD is significant. Founder and CEO Jeff Green still believes the maturity of this market is in the top of the first inning. More on the digital advertising market size and projected growth rates later."
A nuanced analysis of TTD's business model and how it competes, especially against walled gardens + looking ahead
Sell Call on Underperforming Trading Desk Stock
"The worst performer, the Trading Desk, is showing a short-term 200-day moving average down and a 50-day crossing down. It was a sell in the quant, and I should have sold this a long time ago."
The analyst presents a clear sell signal for a stock referred to as "Trading Desk" due to its deteriorating technical indicators, including declining long-term and short-term moving averages. The recommendation is to exit or avoid this stock.
My Stock Portfolio Review, September 2025 - The Trade Desk, Inc.
"TTD (holding update): Launched Audience Unlimited AI marketplace for cost-efficient 3rd-party data targeting + Koa Adaptive Trading Modes (Performance Mode w/ full AI optimization vs Control Mode w/ manual mgmt at 3.3-4.4% impression costs). Rolling out to select agencies late 2025, all users early 2026."
Is The Trade Desk’s Growth Engine Starting to Stall?
"TTD (overview): Rev growth decelerated from +25.5% to +18.6% YoY; weak Q2 beat of 1.8% vs record Q1 beat of 7.1%. If Q3 matches Q2 beat level, growth could slow to 16.2%. Kokai AI platform showing >20pt KPI lifts, 95%+ retention rate maintained. Trades at historical low 6.7x forward EV/Sales vs 14.3x median."
Sustainable’s Substack | August ‘25 Portfolio Review - Added On Position: The Trade Desk, Inc.
"TTD added to position: 19% Q revenue growth, 14% guidance amid Amazon DSP competition concerns. AI-powered Kookai platform showing results, expected to reaccelerate growth when scaled. Added in low $50s after selling 1/3 at $120s. Fast-moving ad tech space w/ questions on Amazon market share impact."