Tesla Losing Ground to BYD in Key International Markets
"Then they also outperformed Tesla in the UK market. That's the second largest market for plug-in cars. So we've heard this like Tesla already gave up that title of world's top seller to BYD. I spend a week in Paris ducking in tiny little electric useless cars. I hate them, and I could report I was in at least three BYDs. Yeah. And they're way more car than a Tesla. They're they're way more fancier. They're just you're inside."
The speaker contrasts Tesla's recent performance with BYD, noting that Tesla has lost its status as the world's top seller in key markets like the UK. The commentary, laced with personal observations and comparisons, argues that BYD's superior product appeal may challenge Tesla's dominance, hinting at potential short-term headwinds for Tesla.
Negative Outlook on Tesla Amid EV Rivalry
"Yeah, I mean let's might as well skip to it. That's another uh peer that we're looking at. We see shares of Tesla that ended lower by about 2.6%. This is actually its seventh straight day of losses as we look at that continued streak. Uh, but we did see shares of Tesla that were up about 11% on the day. But we do know that Tesla has essentially given up its title as the world's top seller of EV cars to China's BYD. We were talking about this a bit earlier. Maybe people may not be as familiar with the car BYD in the US, but it's certainly very popular."
The speaker highlights Tesla's recent underperformance, noting a 2.6% drop and a seventh consecutive day of losses even though there was an intraday recovery. There is a strong sentiment that Tesla has lost its status as the top EV seller to BYD, casting doubt on its current strategy as it shifts focus toward autonomous vehicles and AI ambitions.
Tesla Loses Top Seller Status Amid Rising Competition
"Well, speaking of stock that is struggling today, uh Tesla is moving to the downside by about 2%. What's going on with Tesla? >> Yeah, Tesla, we're seeing shares sliding. Uh this is after just an 11% gain that we saw uh year to date for 2025, but we did see that Tesla's essentially giving up its title as the world's top seller of EVs to a Chinese competitor, BYD. I mean, it may not be as popular in the United States, but super super popular in uh China."
The discussion casts a negative light on Tesla as its shares decline by 2% after an earlier year-to-date gain. The speaker points out that Tesla is losing its top EV seller status to BYD, highlighting growing competitive pressure, particularly in China, which undermines its domestic prominence.
Concerns over Tesla's European Delivery Performance
"in the pre-market, Tesla is uh, higher in the pre-market and as it is always, one of the most actively traded higher this morning only because it's taken such a beating over the past week or so. Uh, they finished off a pretty dismal year in Europe. Steep declines in several of the region's major markets for new car sales. Uh, the company registered only 1,942 cars last month in France. Uh that's down 66% from a year earlier. Sales plunged 71% in Sweden at 44% in Spain. Uh deliveries dropping in all three countries for the full year. Now analysts are expecting Tesla to report later today that it's global vehicle deliveries fell around 11% in the fourth quarter."
Tesla's European delivery performance has been dismal with steep declines in key markets, raising concerns ahead of its expected global delivery report later today.
Tesla Q4 Delivery Outlook and European Demand Concerns
"Now, analysts are expecting Tesla to report later today that its global vehicle deliveries fell around 11% in the fourth quarter. That's actually worse than the composite from Bloomberg analysts. Tesla took the unusual step earlier this week of publishing that analysts estimate that was pessimistic again calling for a 15% drop. Demand for Tesla slumping across most of Europe throughout last year, in part because of the blowback over the CEO, Elon Musk, and, you know, the things that he had to say about Europe and supporting some right wing politicians there in countries including in Germany and the U.K."
Tesla is expected to report a significant decline in Q4 deliveries with an anticipated 11% decrease, which underperforms Bloomberg's expectations. The commentary highlights deteriorating European demand and concerns over the negative political fallout from CEO Elon Musk's remarks, adding uncertainty to the near-term outlook.
Tesla's Declining EV Revenue Raises Concerns Over Future Cash Flow
"for investors that pay attention to actual information and investors that value a business based on the present value of the expected cash flow that's expected to be generated for the future, then of course that's information that suggests that this business is worth a lot less than what it's selling for today. And so if your cash flow is decreasing, which is what's happening with Tesla, as the EV sales decline, its cash flow will decline. And simultaneously, it's investing billions of dollars for the development of these new technologies, which are not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2026, not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2027, not likely to generate positive cash flow in 2028, and maybe starting 2029, the driverless car business will grow to sufficient levels where it can achieve positive cash flow for the business."
The speaker highlights that despite investor enthusiasm for Tesla's futuristic driverless and robotics segments, the company's core EV revenue is declining sharply, leading to deteriorating cash flow. This analysis suggests that when considering the present value of future cash flows, Tesla may be overvalued, especially as it invests heavily in new technologies that might not turn profitable for several years.
Bullish Trade Call on Tesla with Support at 436 and Target 592
"Now, you want to keep all eyes on 436. If for some reason we do not bounce here, but we cut through and break this historic support level, then it means that this is going to take a bigger downturn, the downturn that we've talked about possibly happening in 2026. However, if it holds and bounces on high volume, then we could be on our way to a near $600 Tesla. I'm bullish on Tesla and I'm looking for opportunities to buy – follow the charts, and if 436 holds, we're set for an upward move."
The speaker identifies Tesla as a strong buy, recommending traders watch the support at 436. If this level holds, the bullish case indicates a potential rally toward a target near 592. The call is grounded in technical analysis, with the chart setup suggesting a rebound rather than a breakdown. The reference to 2026 as a pivotal year adds a medium-term context to the trade idea.
Tesla Shifts Focus From Cars to Narrative
"Tesla nobody cares about cars anymore. And he's s he being Elon Musk has successfully diverted investor attention away from the bending metal to more of the story side of the game. The >> they could stop they could stop producing cars. Who cares? It's a $1.5 trillion company. If you add Ford's market cap plus GM plus Toyota plus Volkswagen plus Ferrari plus Koig's Egg plus Yugo, like every single car maker in the world, they don't equal this market cap."
The speaker minimizes Tesla's reliance on its core automotive business, suggesting that investor interest is now driven by its overarching narrative and massive market cap rather than traditional car production. This commentary places Tesla's brand and story above its underlying product fundamentals.
Tesla Q4 Vehicle Delivery Caution
"Tesla, let's go there. They have published a compilation of analyst estimates for vehicle deliveries to its website. By Tesla's count, analysts on average expect the company to deliver over 422,000 cars in the fourth quarter, which is down about 15% from the year earlier. It compares with the Bloomberg compiled average of 445,000 vehicles, and the average estimate for 1.6 million deliveries this year is down more than 8% from the year earlier period. Tesla even saw its shares plunge earlier in the year during production line retooling for the redesigned Model Y."
Tesla's delivery estimates for Q4 show a notable decline compared to previous periods, with expectations around 422,000 vehicles and a year-over-year drop of 15%. This comes amid production line adjustments and retooling for the redesigned Model Y, suggesting near-term headwinds for the company.
Tesla Shows a Rebound Amid Recent Weakness
"Uh look, we are seeing shares of Tesla rebound this morning. Uh they're up just shy of 1% which I know doesn't sound like a heck of a lot of movement, but yesterday it slid nearly 3.3% on essentially not a lot of new news. Um we had a lot of weakness uh in tech names yesterday. Tesla seemed to take a big of a brunt of it."
Valerie Titel highlights that Tesla is rebounding this morning after a significant decline yesterday amid a broader weakness in tech stocks. The commentary underscores that while the rebound is modest, Tesla's performance stands out in a challenging environment.