Potential Buy Opportunity for MSTR at a Discount
"So for me, I'm keeping an eye on MSDR. And if it goes to 90 cents or 85 cents, then I think it on the dollar, which is 8.5 MNAV, I think it would make sense for me to potentially maybe bet on it and buying Bitcoin at a discount and see if what happens if something happens and it goes back to par."
The speaker outlines an actionable trade idea for Micro Strategy (MSTR) by suggesting that if the stock trades at around 90 or 85 cents on the dollar (8.5 MNAV), it could be an attractive entry point. The rationale is that buying at a discount may allow investors to benefit from potential premium reversion and additional Bitcoin exposure, though the opportunity carries inherent risks.
MicroStrategy's Mixed Momentum Amid MSCI Decision
"One more. One more, One more. Let's get to Michael Saylor strategy at formally MicroStrategy. IBM's TR their shares have been up as much as 6%. The stock has actually slumped almost 6% in the past year. Yeah, six zero. The reason why the climb, well, you have MSCI MSCI, they decided for now to keep digital asset treasury companies in stock market indexes. So I say for now, because they didn't close the door they said they're going to do this broader consultation. So they may do a potential crackdown in the future."
The commentary on MicroStrategy (ticker MSTR) underscores a mixed performance where shares have risen by 6% recently despite a 6% decline over the past year. The discussion centers on MSCI's decision to continue including digital asset treasury companies in its indexes, while also hinting at a potential future crackdown, adding a layer of uncertainty for investors.
MicroStrategy Rally Amid Index Inclusion News
"This all has to do with the index inclusion fight. So, Micro Strategy, also known as Strategy, up 4.3% in the pre-market trade. MCI indexes has shelved for now a plan to eject cryptoheavy firms like strategy from its major indexes. Has decided to keep these digital asset treasury companies in its stock market indexes for now. But it has says that it had launched a broader consultation on how these non-operating companies should be treated which does signal that there could still be a potential crackdown coming. But we know the index inclusion has been really important for these cryptoheavy firms. So we're seeing Micro Strategy uh rally this morning maybe in relief that the exclusion is not coming anytime soon."
The commentary notes that MicroStrategy (ticker MSTR) is witnessing a pre-market rally, driven by the news that index providers have decided to maintain crypto-heavy firms in their indexes despite broader consultations on potential regulatory changes. The sentiment is that relief from immediate exclusion pressures is fueling the stock's upward move.
Trade Call: Short Micro Strategy Ahead of January 15th Decision
"I think for January 15th, if they don't get delisted, I think that could give Micro Strategy a little bit of a boost. I wouldn't say that they'll go on some kind of parabolic run, unless it's succinctly timed with Bitcoin having its relief bounce, which it might work out to be. We might see some double good news with Bitcoin having a bounce and Micro Strategy not getting delisted. Otherwise, I'm going short, Josh, you know, on Micro Strategy."
Mark outlines a trade call on Micro Strategy, suggesting that if the upcoming January 15th decision does not prevent delisting, the stock is likely to experience forced selling. His rationale is based on technical and institutional cues, prompting a short position as the downside catalyst.
MicroStrategy's Massive Bitcoin Acquisition Raises Questions
"So Michael Sailor's strategy is also a big one today it acquired almost a billion dollars in Bitcoin for a second straight week as the cryptocurrency has been falling. This was the largest amount of Bitcoin acquired since July and its second straight week of buying over 10,000 Bitcoin to its books. It used proceeds from uh sales of its class A common stock, which is a model that some critics say dilutes the existing shareholders equity. Uh there has been market speculation that the company might be removed from some key equity indexes, but the NASDAQ 100 actually opted late Friday uh to keep strategy in the index when it had its annual reconstitution. Shares are down right now. It looks like 7% and of course Bitcoin has been tumbling to this year's lows."
The commentary focuses on MicroStrategy's substantial Bitcoin purchases, which have reached almost a billion dollars over two consecutive weeks. Despite the massive acquisition, shares are down about 7% and Bitcoin continues to decline, raising questions about whether the strategy genuinely reflects confidence in the cryptocurrency.
Burberry Turnaround Strategy Shows Promise
"So for Burberry this also confirms that the turnaround under the new CEO is working. So he's refocused on the Burberry classics of trench coats and scarves, leaving behind a previous push into handbags that really failed. And that seems to be paying off kind of going back to its roots. And he's also made some big cost cuts. So earlier this year the company announced plans to get rid of about a fifth of its workforce. So all of that this kind of refocus on the British roots of Burberry and then also those cost cuts seem to be working quite well and paying off and analysts have said that all the boxes were ticked that the execution was on track."
The commentary focuses on Burberry's strategic turnaround under a new CEO, emphasizing a return to its traditional product lines and significant cost cuts, which have resulted in improved retail sales growth and share gains of up to 5%.
MicroStrategy's Collapsed Bitcoin Premium Raises Concerns
"So, the company formerly known as Micro Strategy reported earnings this week. Chart Kid made this looking at the ratio of Strategy to Bitcoin. And this peaked a year ago actually in November 2024 and it has been straight down for the last really since July. It's been acting really funky in a bad way. The next chart shows the value of their Bitcoin holdings compared to the market cap and people are heming and hawing a year ago. Why are they getting such a premium? Well, guess what? That premium collapsed. Matt also showed the market cap value divided by the Bitcoin holdings value and it peaked at like 3.5 times. It's now 1.2 times."
The discussion highlights MicroStrategy's recent earnings report, emphasizing a significant collapse in the premium between its market cap and Bitcoin holdings. The ratio that peaked at 3.5 times has now shrunk to 1.2 times, indicating mounting concerns about the sustainability of its valuation and underlying fundamentals. This company-specific commentary gives investor color on potential risks associated with the current premium levels.
Shell CEO Strategy and Strong Trading Recovery
"Yeah, so as you said, weaker energy prices that dragged down earnings a little bit. We saw that with Ecuador yesterday. But what was helpful for Shell was that there was a rebound in performance by its oil and gas traders. So last month, Shell had already said that oil and gas trading profits had actually recovered. Um and that was after Shell and also a lot of its peers had really struggled to navigate the really sharp market swings that we saw over the second quarter that were of course driven by a lot of geopolitical uncertainty. Um Shell also maintain the pace of share buybacks which is something that investors care a lot about when it comes to those oil majors and that really reassured the market. Um it seems that the overall the CEO strategy has been working out quite well for Shell. He's been spending the past couple of years cutting costs and getting rid of underperforming assets to try and close that valuation gap with US rivals. And so far that seems to be working quite well. Uh shares are up 16% uh since the start of 2025 and outperforming its peers. So everything is going quite well for Shell so far. We'll see how BP actually does next week."
The insight outlines Shell's strong recovery in oil and gas trading profits amid volatile energy prices, highlighting its effective cost-cutting and share buyback program. The CEO's strategy appears to be bearing fruit as evidenced by a 16% rise in share price since early 2025 and an improved competitive stance compared to US rivals.
MicroStrategy Remains Flat Despite Bitcoin Rally
"I have an update on Micro Strategy that I asked Chart Kid to do a couple of weeks ago, but haven't got around to sharing on the show. We'll do it next week. Let's just say that Micro Strategy, the stock, is basically flat on the year. It's interesting. ... No, I'm talking about Micro Strategy. Oh, so Bitcoin's up 25% or something and Micro Strategy is up two. But if you look at MicroStrategy divided by BTC, it is at multi‐year lows."
The speaker highlights that despite Bitcoin posting a significant gain, MicroStrategy's stock performance remains essentially flat over the year. When measured relative to Bitcoin, the performance gap is at multi‐year lows, suggesting that the stock is underperforming compared to the broader crypto rally.
Trading Strategy Discussion on CIFFR via AI Tools
"I want to ask Trendpider Sidekick to find me a strategy for trading CIFFR stock. Can you help me write a prompt that will help it find a strategy? I'd like to focus on moving averages and indicators along with known catalyst like news or earnings. Ask me any questions you need to know before proceeding. This is a highly volatile play. Cipher can move 10% in a day. Without stop losses, you're basically playing Russian roulette with five bullets in the chamber, but that's how we roll."
The speaker demonstrates using AI tools to craft a trading strategy specifically for CIFFR, warning about its volatility and the inherent risks of the stock without proper risk management.