Materials Stocks

Lithium Americas Rally on Govt Stake Announcement

"What was really hot was Lithium Americas, man. This one was up about 23%. Shares rallying after US Secretary of Energy saying that the government agreed to acquire a 5% stake in the company."

MP Materials (MP): Investment Thesis Explained

"Like I often say about other companies I like but find richly valued, if I were a diversified investor, I could probably make room for a small position here and add on weakness with a 10+ year horizon and modest allocation. However, as a concentrated investor already heavily exposed to higher-risk plays, I don’t feel comfortable initiating a position in MP at these levels. After two years of triple-digit portfolio returns achieved without leverage or options, I’m being more selective with new capital, prioritizing downside protection over momentum chasing."

Kinross Gold (KGC) Trade Call Based on Quant Metrics

"Another one that they just picked on the 2nd of September is a gold stock. And itds KGC, Kinross Gold Corporation. ... Wall Street has it as a buy. ... average price target. It turned to a strong buy at lower levels."

Dow Chemical Commentary

"Dow shares are up 11% now. Dowo Chemical. Exactly. Your ticker is DW operating a bedab beat the average analyst estimates as volume rose. Analysts said they saw upside driven by packaging and specialty plastics. However, they noted that the backdrop for commodity chemicals remains weakened. I think you know this is a very important name to go back to the credit concerns because this is one of the industry that those credit investors are watching very closely after the auto industry because it has been for some uh under pressure for some times battered by many headwinds like weak demand tariffs and capacity constraints. Uh well so far Dow provides uh sort of a uh a good result there that should allay some of those concerns. This is a name where sentiment has been very negative. If you look at the stock is down 45% uh this year, so it can definitely use some good news this morning."

Bullish View on Precious Metals via Agnico Eagle

"Agniko Eagle has been really a major holding now for a number of years just simply because of the quality of the management, the quality of the assets, the political stability in terms of where theya0are located. And ita0a0it's quite interesting if you actually look at a company like Agnico Eagle and you look at the free cash flow yield, currently, even though the price of the stock has gone a0tripled over the last couple of years, it's still trading the free cash flow yield at a higher rate than it was three or four years ago. And if you factor in maybe a $4,500 gold, $50 silver scenario over the next year if you are bullish on the metals, you can really justify like a 9 to 10% free cash flow yield in some of these stocks. What it's telling you is that they're incredibly profitable; with the increase in gold going up a couple thousand dollars, thata0all flows to the bottom line for these well-run companies."

Trade Call: ALB is Positioned for a Breakout

"Breakouts well above the $150 plus line are likely, in my opinion, if the White House specifically targets ALB."

Cleveland Cliffs Gains 21.5% on Strong Earnings and Rare Earth Discoveries

"Got to mention Cleveland Cliffs. That stock up just about 21 a.5% today after the company posted stronger than expected earnings and disclosed a pact with another metal producer. The company said it discovered two sites with potential to produce rare earth minerals, one in Michigan, another in Minnesota and is evaluating whether rare earth minerals can be extracted from those mines. So again that trade play we continue to see that having momentum here in 2025."

CRH Targets and Infrastructure Tailwinds

"Let's talk about CRH, which is a building materials company. And those shares are up almost 5%... laying out midterm targets for revenue and growth, EBITDA margins into 2030... averaging an annual revenue growth between 7% and 9%."

FutureFuel Corporation: A Forgotten Small Cap with Two Engines

"FutureFuel stands in an awkward but interesting spot: too chemical for energy investors, too energy-linked for chemical investors. The market sees a stranded biodiesel producer; in reality, it’s a cash-conservative manufacturer with embedded optionality on the clean-fuel rebound. If management keeps execution tight and the policy environment normalizes, this could quietly double or triple from current levels. Not in one quarter, but over a cycle."

GFI Trade Call

"GFI. This one has a trigger today. If you had bought it at $26, just over a month and a few days later it's at $41, up 58% in 49 days."

Gold Royalty Stocks Demonstrate Resilient Bullish Momentum

"We have had a great run so far on Royal Gold in extreme value because we love royalty companies. It’s a wonderful, just cash gushing model business model. And then when we type RGLD into our discovery engine, we see other gold names with bullish ratings."

Strong SMG IPO Debut Signals Robust Market Demand

"Swiss Marketplace Group, which had its debut today, is trading above the offer price, about 9% higher than the 46 Swiss francs offer. This strong debut indicates robust demand and is the first in a series of IPOs expected across Europe."

Alpha Pix Portfolio: SSRM as a Standout Gold Stock Pick

"June they picked SSRM. It was an alpha pick back then and it's been a strong performer, up 87% in the portfolio with quant ratings showing a strong buy signal since it was at $10."

LAR Price Cuts Signal Shifts in Housing Market Dynamics

"Home builders have cut prices significantly. LAR, the second largest home builder in America, has cut their average selling price by about 24% over the last three years, LAR's average selling price net of incentives was 383,000. That's the lowest it's been at least going back to 2018. Some element of that is price cuts. Some element of that's the mortgage rate buy downs and closing costs. And look at this: LAR was selling at 491,000 in August 2022 and is now selling at 383,000. Lenar's order book is actually two times bigger today than it was in 2019."

Newmont Exits Canadian Market to Reduce Costs

"So increasing some of those earlier gains we saw at the open. And that is because we did get news of its latest steps to exit the Canadian market. So the latest is that Newmont sold a stake of 13.3% in Orla Mining, which is a Canadian mineral exploration company. Last week, we did get the announcement that they're also agreeing to sell its coffee project in the Yukon to Fuerte Metals Corporation for about $150 million."

ASM International Lowers Revenue Outlook Amid Weak Demand

"ASM International cut its revenue outlook for the second half of the year due to lower than expected demand from chip making clients. Key customers like Intel have been more conservative, even canceling some factory projects."

Corteva (CTVA) Faces Breakup Concerns

"We saw shares that fell about 5.7% at market close today ... Wall Street said that they are finding a potential breakup of the company, their seed and pesticide businesses as a negative for the firm. ... Bank of America saying that a separation would create two weaker entities."

Freeport-McMoRan Impacted by Mine Accident and Guidance Cut

"Freeport-McMarin, among the worst performers in the S&P 500 as well, fell another 6%, down 6.2% today. Followed from the accident at the Grassberg copper mine in Indonesia continues. The accident at the mine killed two workers that left five missing, and it's led Freeport to declare force majeure on contracted supplies and slash its production guidance."

Cyber Disruption Weighing on European Airlines (IAG)

"Lufthansa IAG, which owns British Airways and EasyJet, were all weaker at the open this morning on the back of that cyber attack that you mentioned, which caused delays at airports in Berlin, London, and Brussels."